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CD Povoa vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 99-87
25-23 24-26 28-13 22-25
Position#6
Record8-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#12
Record1-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game90.4
PortugalLPBRound 17· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Lusitania
10 Jan 2026
CD P82
LUSI72
09 Mar 2024
CD P99
LUSI87
04 Jan 2023
CD P70
LUSI63
18 Apr 2022
CD P82
LUSI66
05 Dec 2021
CD P77
LUSI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 75
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
75avg 75
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 75
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 75
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 75
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 75
A02/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
21-20
12-22
10-23
21-18
19-12
21-23
19-19
20-27
17-25
22-22
22-23
28-20
26-21
25-13
19-14
22-16
22-19
20-27
17-19
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
165.7Avg total
82.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.884.5166.3-2.750%
Season at home (7)77.485.0162.4-7.629%
Season away (9)85.284.1169.3+1.167%
Last 10 (10)82.183.6165.7-1.550%
Last 5 (5)83.685.6169.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.591.3166.7-15.818%
vs Similar (7)80.779.0159.7+1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.875.5160.4+9.364%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 58
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 58
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 58
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 58
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 58
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 58
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 58
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 58
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 58
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 58
H02/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
163.3Avg total
71.7Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.790.4163.1-17.67%
Season at home (6)74.790.5165.2-15.817%
Season away (8)71.290.2161.5-19.00%
Last 10 (10)71.791.6163.3-19.910%
Last 5 (5)69.894.2164.0-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)73.191.1164.3-18.07%
vs Similar (2)66.572.0138.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.6-5.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -8.1-8.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -5.6-5.6
CD PovoaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
81.3Avg total
40.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.781.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.778.6-0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)39.643.483.1-3.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.281.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.281.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.546.581.9-11.09%-
vs Similar (7)40.640.681.1+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.837.579.3+4.473%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
77.2Avg total
35.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.380.4-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.642.281.8-2.538%-
Last 30 away (17)35.144.279.3-9.26%-
Last 10 (10)35.541.777.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.473.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.444.381.7-6.919%-
vs Similar (2)32.534.567.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.6
48.8%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.0
35.9%
33.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws27.217.1
62.9%
69.3%17.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.0
45.7%
51.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.7
29.2%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
69.3%11.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WLWLWLWLWL
Lusitania
LLLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#12
-4.9
Net rating
-26.1
101.6
Offensive rating
89.9
106.6
Defensive rating
115.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
44.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
23.1%
Turnover %
19.7%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.9%
3-point %
29.2%
52.9%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 89.9Defence106.6 · 115.9Shooting50.6% · 44.9%3-point %35.9% · 29.2%Ball care23.1% · 19.7%Off. rebounds35.5% · 24.5%Free throws0.44 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
CD Povoa wins
4
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Lusitania v CD Povoa73-100
04/01/23CD Povoa v Lusitania70-63
15/10/22Lusitania v CD Povoa73-67
18/04/22CD Povoa v Lusitania82-66
02/04/22Lusitania v CD Povoa96-70
13/03/22Lusitania v CD Povoa71-57
05/12/21CD Povoa v Lusitania77-80
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
20/01/24HImortal86-88 OT
14/01/24HMaia98-68
05/01/24AFC Porto81-97
28/12/23AEsgueira80-72
16/12/23HBenfica58-83
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
02/12/23ABenfica51-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%29%67%
Points / game81.877.485.2
Allowed / game84.585.084.1
Point differential-2.7-7.6+1.1
Avg total166.3162.4169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%14%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %19%29%11%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %7%17%0%
Points / game72.774.771.2
Allowed / game90.490.590.2
Point differential-17.6-15.8-19.0
Avg total163.1165.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1612475%92.280.4+11.8
4 Oliveirense1511473%79.174.1+4.9
5 Ovarense1610662%80.178.4+1.8
6 CD Povoa168850%81.884.5-2.7
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania141137%72.790.4-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2524282299
Lusitania2326132587
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