PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ovarense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 99-70
31-8 13-18 32-23 23-21
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#12
Record1-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game88.7
PortugalLPBRound 14· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Lusitania
03 Feb 2024
OVAR99
LUSI70
15 Apr 2023
OVAR72
LUSI67
19 Nov 2022
OVAR84
LUSI81
23 Jan 2022
OVAR79
LUSI66
27 Feb 2021
OVAR87
LUSI97
01 Dec 2019
OVAR76
LUSI70
11 May 2019
OVAR86
LUSI69
09 May 2019
OVAR68
LUSI63
05 May 2019
OVAR82
LUSI90
29 Dec 2018
OVAR84
LUSI78
06 May 2018
OVAR78
LUSI97
10 Feb 2018
OVAR73
LUSI65
05 Mar 2017
OVAR102
LUSI77
29 Oct 2016
OVAR68
LUSI61
07 Nov 2015
OVAR76
LUSI77
26 Apr 2015
OVAR72
LUSI46
25 Apr 2015
OVAR74
LUSI53
09 Nov 2014
OVAR77
LUSI83
24 Nov 2013
OVAR66
LUSI69
01 Nov 2012
OVAR82
LUSI58
15 Apr 2012
OVAR63
LUSI65
14 Apr 2012
OVAR66
LUSI81
04 Feb 2012
OVAR74
LUSI56
05 Mar 2011
OVAR74
LUSI51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
60-111
60
111
-51
44avg 71
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
52-84
52
84
-32
42avg 71
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
77avg 71
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 71
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
79avg 71
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 71
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 71
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 71
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 71
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 71
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
14-16
10-22
14-41
17-23
9-19
3-29
23-13
15-20
28-15
18-19
14-17
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
27-32
12-19
18-24
22-16
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
160.5Avg total
75.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.079.3157.3-1.362%
Season at home (6)83.582.5166.0+1.083%
Season away (7)73.376.6149.9-3.343%
Last 10 (10)75.385.2160.5-9.950%
Last 5 (5)83.083.2166.2-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.188.2159.3-17.121%
vs Similar (4)79.578.5158.0+1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)78.775.0153.7+3.783%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
73-100
73
100
-27
58avg 58
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
70-101
70
101
-31
59avg 58
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 58
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 58
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 58
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 58
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 58
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 58
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 58
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 58
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
20-29
14-23
12-26
21-29
17-30
15-28
17-14
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
160.4Avg total
70.7Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.388.7162.0-15.38%
Season at home (5)76.088.2164.2-12.220%
Season away (7)71.489.0160.4-17.60%
Last 10 (10)70.789.7160.4-19.010%
Last 5 (5)74.690.6165.2-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.989.5162.4-16.711%
vs Similar (2)66.572.0138.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -8.2-8.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
OvarenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A11/11
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A18/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H25/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
80.5Avg total
37.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.342.378.5-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.543.280.7-5.740%-
Last 30 away (15)35.141.376.4-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.942.680.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)34.243.978.1-9.811%-
vs Similar (4)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.737.378.0+3.383%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H04/11
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
80.8Avg total
37.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.042.679.6-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.441.881.1-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)35.043.278.2-8.212%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.180.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.443.580.9-6.126%-
vs Similar (2)32.534.567.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.1
48.9%
51.0%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.6
37.1%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
69.3%14.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.9
47.5%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.910.8
67.9%
69.3%10.8
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
LWWWWLLWLL
Lusitania
LLLLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#12
-13.3
Net rating
-25.4
99.6
Offensive rating
89.7
112.9
Defensive rating
115.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
46.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
24.4%
Turnover %
20.9%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
30.0%
71.2%
Assist %
58.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 89.7Defence112.9 · 115.1Shooting51.5% · 46.5%3-point %37.1% · 30.0%Ball care24.4% · 20.9%Off. rebounds32.5% · 23.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Ovarense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ovarense wins
4
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Lusitania v Ovarense82-85
15/04/23Ovarense v Lusitania72-67
18/03/23Lusitania v Ovarense66-72
04/02/23Lusitania v Ovarense88-81
19/11/22Ovarense v Lusitania84-81
23/01/22Ovarense v Lusitania79-66
09/10/21Lusitania v Ovarense79-77
27/02/21Ovarense v Lusitania87-97
07/11/20Lusitania v Ovarense75-69
01/12/19Ovarense v Lusitania76-70
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
09/12/23HSporting CP79-91
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
25/11/23HEsgueira75-71
18/11/23ABenfica52-84
11/11/23AOliveirense60-111
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
02/12/23ABenfica51-94
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
11/11/23HFC Porto70-101
04/11/23HCD Povoa73-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game78.083.573.3
Allowed / game79.382.576.6
Point differential-1.3+1.0-3.3
Avg total157.3166.0149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game73.376.071.4
Allowed / game88.788.289.0
Point differential-15.3-12.2-17.6
Avg total162.0164.2160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1312192%86.873.5+13.2
2 Sporting CP1310377%93.382.8+10.5
3 Benfica1410471%87.967.6+20.3
4 Oliveirense128467%78.574.8+3.7
5 Ovarense138562%78.079.3-1.3
6 Vitoria137654%81.579.4+2.2
7 Imortal147750%77.581.6-4.1
8 CD Povoa146843%81.685.6-3.9
9 Portimonense145936%71.978.1-6.3
10 Galomar1441029%75.579.9-4.4
11 Esgueira1421214%72.987.3-14.4
12 Lusitania121118%73.388.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense3113322399
Lusitania818232170
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.