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Olympiacos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 90-85
26-19 18-22 25-21 21-23
Position#2
Record10-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#18
Record3-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2024
Meetings · Olympiacos v Alba Berlin
20 Dec 2024
OLY90
ABE85
30 Jan 2024
OLY101
ABE87
24 Nov 2022
OLY86
ABE76
26 Oct 2021
OLY87
ABE83
12 Nov 2020
OLY75
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
90-60
90
60
+30
101avg 82
A17/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 82
H21/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 82
A28/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 82
H01/12
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 82
A04/12
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
84avg 82
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 82
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 82
A15/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
85avg 82
H18/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
24-13
24-17
13-17
30-24
26-14
17-15
19-16
25-16
11-22
21-12
13-28
20-27
23-17
18-22
23-12
22-19
25-26
18-17
24-18
21-21
23-28
16-24
30-23
24-8
22-17
24-26
18-22
17-19
21-20
15-28
20-20
20-16
20-19
16-18
28-25
29-17
14-29
21-10
23-21
162.3Avg total
84.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.080.9165.9+4.162%
Season at home (8)87.576.6164.1+10.988%
Season away (8)82.585.2167.8-2.838%
Last 10 (10)84.777.6162.3+7.170%
Last 5 (5)84.482.2166.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)81.881.7163.5+0.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.475.6165.0+13.888%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
88-115
88
115
-27
76avg 77
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
85avg 77
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
78avg 77
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
85-103
85
103
-18
80avg 77
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
60-74
60
74
-14
55avg 77
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
84avg 77
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 77
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
67-80
67
80
-13
62avg 77
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
90-91
90
91
-1
89avg 77
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
17-34
14-34
30-19
33-22
17-29
16-19
27-26
22-23
33-32
13-24
16-19
16-32
20-20
20-25
29-26
13-17
4-23
23-14
20-20
26-18
22-20
20-23
10-17
18-34
19-21
25-24
18-21
16-21
20-14
17-27
14-18
28-30
18-21
18-23
26-17
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
173.4Avg total
80.3Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.691.5171.1-11.919%
Season at home (9)81.289.2170.4-8.022%
Season away (7)77.694.4172.0-16.914%
Last 10 (10)80.393.1173.4-12.810%
Last 5 (5)78.689.0167.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.789.9168.6-11.222%
vs Similar (6)74.274.7148.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)87.587.0174.5+0.517%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.0+1.0
OlympiacosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#6
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A17/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H21/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A04/12
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/12
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H18/12
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
44.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.437.681.0+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.437.982.2+6.564%-
Last 30 away (16)42.637.379.9+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.583.1+6.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)41.239.280.5+2.069%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.136.381.4+8.865%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#7
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A14/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A17/11
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A21/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H28/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
17-40
17
40
-23
H01/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A04/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A06/12
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/12
German Cup
Partizan
#12
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H12/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
88.3Avg total
39.9Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.481.9-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.279.8-4.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.884.4-5.221%-
Last 10 (10)39.948.488.3-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.884.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.845.683.4-7.817%-
vs Similar (6)35.737.072.7-1.367%-
vs Weaker (6)43.543.386.8+0.233%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.6
60.8%
54.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.1
78.5%
78.0%16.1
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.4
55.0%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.4
28.4%
36.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.615.1
73.3%
78.0%15.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWLWLWWLWW
Alba Berlin
LLLLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#18
+9.5
Net rating
-16.9
118.8
Offensive rating
101.4
109.3
Defensive rating
118.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.8%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.9%
3-point %
28.4%
66.7%
Assist %
67.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.8 · 101.4Defence109.3 · 118.3Shooting57.2% · 50.6%3-point %34.9% · 28.4%Ball care17.9% · 20.8%Off. rebounds33.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olympiacos wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HVirtus Bologna87-77
15/12/24APanionios84-78
13/12/24ACrvena zvezda73-87
08/12/24AKolossos Rhodes88-73
06/12/24HParis90-96
04/12/24AMonaco89-80
01/12/24HPeristeri84-78
28/11/24APartizan70-78
21/11/24HBaskonia92-69
17/11/24APAOK90-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86
12/12/24HPartizan90-91
08/12/24ABamberg67-80
06/12/24AMonaco80-100
04/12/24AVirtus Bologna90-88 OT
01/12/24HLudwigsburg60-74
28/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-103
21/11/24AReal Madrid84-98
17/11/24AVechta93-96
14/11/24ABayern88-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%88%38%
Points / game85.087.582.5
Allowed / game80.976.685.2
Point differential+4.1+10.9-2.8
Avg total165.9164.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL19%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %19%22%14%
Points / game79.681.277.6
Allowed / game91.589.294.4
Point differential-11.9-8.0-16.9
Avg total171.1170.4172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%11%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
2 Monaco1711665%86.381.3+5.0
3 Olympiacos1610662%85.080.9+4.1
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
7 Anadolu Efes1710759%85.081.6+3.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1710759%76.975.0+1.9
9 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
10 Barcelona179853%86.084.9+1.1
11 Crvena zvezda168850%83.682.4+1.1
12 Real Madrid178947%84.782.6+2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne178947%82.384.5-2.2
14 Partizan1771041%81.281.2-0.1
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1741324%80.985.1-4.2
18 Alba Berlin1631319%79.691.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2618252190
Alba Berlin1922212385
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