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Olympiacos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-76
18-21 21-17 22-21 25-17
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#17
Record3-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10
European cup2022
Meetings · Olympiacos v Alba Berlin
20 Dec 2024
OLY90
ABE85
30 Jan 2024
OLY101
ABE87
24 Nov 2022
OLY86
ABE76
26 Oct 2021
OLY87
ABE83
12 Nov 2020
OLY75
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
97avg 85
A21/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
88avg 85
A24/10
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 85
H27/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
98-61
98
61
+37
104avg 85
H30/10
Basket League
Valencia
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
86avg 85
H04/11
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
107-81
107
81
+26
116avg 85
A06/11
Basket League
Partizan
#6
W
87-58
87
58
+29
86avg 85
H10/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
82-71
82
71
+11
83avg 85
A17/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
99-64
99
64
+35
101avg 85
H19/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
10-31
23-27
32-18
20-13
21-12
27-21
15-20
16-17
21-16
14-23
25-25
25-19
28-10
20-20
25-12
28-22
19-12
24-24
11-25
30-22
20-21
31-18
26-20
22-14
23-24
23-16
19-4
27-11
13-23
27-20
15-17
23-16
28-9
23-18
25-21
20-22
25-21
24-20
15-27
164.2Avg total
89.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.279.1164.3+6.167%
Season at home (4)83.875.5159.2+8.250%
Season away (5)86.482.0168.4+4.480%
Last 10 (10)89.574.7164.2+14.870%
Last 5 (5)91.872.8164.6+19.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)79.279.5158.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.271.1161.3+19.188%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 82
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 82
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 82
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
104-70
104
70
+34
103avg 82
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
85avg 82
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
76avg 82
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
72-90
72
90
-18
58avg 82
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
101avg 82
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-9
26-24
21-12
30-20
23-22
14-19
23-17
14-20
16-18
17-12
16-18
29-22
20-23
19-27
16-22
18-15
26-18
20-18
25-16
33-18
25-13
19-19
17-22
20-34
15-26
24-19
19-23
19-11
20-26
17-27
15-17
20-20
23-24
22-20
27-25
27-22
19-20
21-17
17-18
18-20
164.2Avg total
83.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.781.4163.1+0.233%
Season at home (4)88.879.0167.8+9.850%
Season away (5)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)83.680.6164.2+3.040%
Last 5 (5)82.687.2169.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)82.084.0166.0-2.033%
vs Similar (6)81.580.2161.7+1.333%
vs Weaker (20)91.477.6169.0+13.895%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
OlympiacosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A24/10
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H30/10
Basket League
Valencia
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H04/11
Euroleague
Ionikos
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/11
Basket League
Partizan
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H10/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H19/11
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A22/11
Euroleague
80.2Avg total
45.1Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.234.478.5+9.883%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.632.878.4+12.893%-
Last 30 away (15)42.735.978.7+6.873%-
Last 10 (10)45.135.180.2+10.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.236.682.8+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)38.038.276.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.133.878.9+11.388%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H19/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H23/10
BBL
Valencia
#13
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/10
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A04/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/11
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H20/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/11
Euroleague
80.4Avg total
40.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.939.584.4+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.741.087.7+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)42.637.580.1+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.180.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.045.790.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (6)40.537.878.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (20)46.238.584.8+7.780%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.921.1
62.2%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.8
42.0%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
78.5%14.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
53.5%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.4
38.1%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws18.112.9
71.3%
78.5%12.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
LWWWWLWLWW
Alba Berlin
LWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#17
+20.5
Net rating
+5.1
122.6
Offensive rating
110.7
102.2
Defensive rating
105.6
62.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
42.0%
3-point %
38.1%
78.4%
Assist %
72.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.6 · 110.7Defence102.2 · 105.6Shooting62.6% · 53.4%3-point %42.0% · 38.1%Ball care17.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.4% · 33.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olympiacos wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
10/03/22Alba Berlin v Olympiacos90-75
26/10/21Olympiacos v Alba Berlin87-83
18/03/21Alba Berlin v Olympiacos80-84
12/11/20Olympiacos v Alba Berlin75-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-90
19/11/22HKolossos Rhodes99-64
17/11/22ABayern82-71
10/11/22HPartizan87-58
06/11/22AIonikos107-81
04/11/22HValencia82-83
30/10/22HLavrio98-61
27/10/22HMonaco76-81
24/10/22AAris83-66
21/10/22ABaskonia97-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/22HCrvena zvezda84-88 OT
20/11/22HLudwigsburg99-91
17/11/22AReal Madrid72-90
10/11/22HBayern77-79
04/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-88
30/10/22ARostock104-70
27/10/22AValencia73-87
23/10/22HHeidelberg78-70
21/10/22AAnadolu Efes74-78
19/10/22HPanathinaikos94-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game85.283.886.4
Allowed / game79.175.582.0
Point differential+6.1+8.2+4.4
Avg total164.3159.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game81.788.876.0
Allowed / game81.479.083.4
Point differential+0.2+9.8-7.4
Avg total163.1167.8159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %22%25%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce98189%87.475.8+11.7
2 Olympiacos96367%85.279.1+6.1
3 Real Madrid96367%82.376.7+5.7
4 Barcelona96367%78.675.3+3.2
5 Monaco96367%83.780.9+2.8
6 Baskonia95456%88.384.8+3.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%78.378.9-0.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv105550%81.883.3-1.5
9 Anadolu Efes94544%83.480.0+3.4
10 Virtus Bologna94544%74.676.1-1.6
11 Partizan94544%82.884.9-2.1
12 Valencia94544%78.681.8-3.2
13 Crvena zvezda104640%72.778.2-5.5
14 Alba Berlin93633%81.781.4+0.2
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne93633%73.277.3-4.1
16 Bayern93633%73.077.3-4.3
17 Panathinaikos93633%79.686.0-6.4
18 Olimpia Milano93633%67.974.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos1821222586
Alba Berlin2117211776
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