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Olympiacos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-83
27-19 25-23 19-17 16-24
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#14
Record2-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6
European cup2021
Meetings · Olympiacos v Alba Berlin
20 Dec 2024
OLY90
ABE85
30 Jan 2024
OLY101
ABE87
24 Nov 2022
OLY86
ABE76
26 Oct 2021
OLY87
ABE83
12 Nov 2020
OLY75
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#11
W
90-55
90
55
+35
no box
A22/09
Greek Cup
Baskonia
#15
W
75-50
75
50
+25
68avg 74
H01/10
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
103-78
103
78
+25
no box
H03/10
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 74
H08/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
108-72
108
72
+36
104avg 74
A10/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#1
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
no box
A13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
75avg 74
H15/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
108-75
108
75
+33
111avg 74
H17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
81avg 74
A22/10
Euroleague
Iraklis
#12
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
21-12
20-15
24-13
28-13
19-9
16-20
12-8
23-21
21-22
28-21
31-14
13-10
22-26
19-16
20-16
29-22
20-16
39-13
20-21
17-10
15-17
15-28
20-12
12-23
24-16
27-10
20-19
28-24
24-17
26-18
30-16
25-20
13-28
21-18
23-22
15-13
21-21
27-20
15-24
162.0Avg total
89.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.470.6149.0+7.860%
Season at home (3)77.362.0139.3+15.3100%
Season away (2)80.083.5163.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)89.772.3162.0+17.480%
Last 5 (5)89.480.0169.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.281.6150.8-12.40%
vs Similar (14)79.178.8157.9+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.473.0167.4+21.4100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
101-63
101
63
+38
107avg 77
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
47avg 77
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
no box
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
67-71
67
71
-4
51avg 77
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
62-74
62
74
-12
59avg 77
A10/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 77
H12/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 77
H14/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 77
A17/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
78-63
78
63
+15
72avg 77
A22/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#10
L
59-65
59
65
-6
37avg 77
H24/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
23-15
26-14
25-19
15-28
14-22
17-13
18-33
14-17
17-21
19-19
20-13
18-13
13-21
12-15
24-22
15-17
18-28
20-13
9-16
18-19
9-16
30-18
27-17
15-21
14-31
18-10
29-18
25-24
13-19
28-11
26-20
12-10
26-15
20-21
20-17
16-11
19-22
11-12
13-20
150.2Avg total
76.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.876.0149.8-2.240%
Season at home (3)75.773.7149.3+2.033%
Season away (2)71.079.5150.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)76.673.6150.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)64.096.0160.0-32.00%
vs Similar (10)78.374.5152.8+3.860%
vs Weaker (18)86.176.4162.5+9.772%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
OlympiacosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraklis
#11
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A22/09
Greek Cup
Baskonia
#15
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H01/10
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/10
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A10/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A13/10
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/10
Basket League
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A22/10
Euroleague
Iraklis
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/10
Basket League
77.0Avg total
41.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.777.9-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.278.8+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.577.0+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.876.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.242.874.0-11.60%-
vs Similar (14)35.938.974.7-3.021%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.638.383.9+7.390%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/09
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A01/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H03/10
German Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H08/10
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/10
BBL
Fenerbahce
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H12/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#15
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H14/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A17/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A22/10
Euroleague
Gottingen
#10
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H24/10
BBL
72.6Avg total
34.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.178.6+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.637.375.9+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.981.3+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.572.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.671.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)29.050.079.0-21.00%-
vs Similar (10)36.437.573.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (18)44.037.781.7+6.378%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.6
58.4%
52.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.0
37.7%
35.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
77.2%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.0
51.8%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.3
32.5%
35.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws14.510.4
71.7%
77.2%10.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWLWWWWW
Alba Berlin
LWWLWLLWLW
#5
League position
#14
+19.8
Net rating
+3.7
118.6
Offensive rating
104.2
98.9
Defensive rating
100.5
57.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.7%
3-point %
32.5%
64.2%
Assist %
58.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 104.2Defence98.9 · 100.5Shooting57.6% · 50.5%3-point %37.7% · 32.5%Ball care15.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 36.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olympiacos wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
18/03/21Alba Berlin v Olympiacos80-84
12/11/20Olympiacos v Alba Berlin75-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21AIraklis96-90 OT
22/10/21ACSKA Moscow82-88
17/10/21HPromitheas108-75
15/10/21HZalgiris Kaunas83-68
13/10/21ABarcelona78-79 OT
10/10/21ALavrio108-72
08/10/21HReal Madrid74-68
03/10/21HAEK Athens103-78
01/10/21HBaskonia75-50
22/09/21AIraklis90-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21HGottingen59-65
22/10/21ACrvena zvezda78-63
17/10/21AOldenburg92-74
14/10/21HBaskonia76-80
12/10/21HFenerbahce84-70
10/10/21ALudwigsburg62-74
08/10/21HLyon-Villeurbanne67-71
03/10/21HBonn83-80 OT
01/10/21ABarcelona64-96
28/09/21HFrankfurt101-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game78.477.380.0
Allowed / game70.662.083.5
Point differential+7.8+15.3-3.5
Avg total149.0139.3163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game73.875.771.0
Allowed / game76.073.779.5
Point differential-2.2+2.0-8.5
Avg total149.8149.3150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona660100%83.371.2+12.2
2 Olimpia Milano550100%78.670.6+8.0
3 Real Madrid54180%80.472.6+7.8
4 CSKA Moscow54180%83.481.0+2.4
5 Olympiacos53260%78.470.6+7.8
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne53260%78.276.4+1.8
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv53260%74.876.8-2.0
8 Baskonia53260%70.674.8-4.2
9 Zenit Petersburg53260%68.873.0-4.2
10 Monaco63350%77.777.0+0.7
11 Alba Berlin52340%73.876.0-2.2
12 Fenerbahce62433%73.569.8+3.7
13 Crvena zvezda62433%67.768.5-0.8
14 Bayern51420%71.274.8-3.6
15 Anadolu Efes51420%76.080.0-4.0
16 Panathinaikos51420%74.281.6-7.4
17 Unics Kazan51420%66.275.8-9.6
18 Zalgiris Kaunas5050%68.477.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2725191687
Alba Berlin1923172483
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