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Olympiacos vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 101-87
20-17 25-31 33-13 23-26
Position#4
Record12-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#18
Record5-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2023
Meetings · Olympiacos v Alba Berlin
20 Dec 2024
OLY90
ABE85
30 Jan 2024
OLY101
ABE87
24 Nov 2022
OLY86
ABE76
26 Oct 2021
OLY87
ABE83
12 Nov 2020
OLY75
ABE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
79-74
79
74
+5
83avg 81
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 81
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
92-80
92
80
+12
98avg 81
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 81
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
69-80
69
80
-11
68avg 81
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
71-52
71
52
+19
72avg 81
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 81
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 81
A22/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-90
85
90
-5
75avg 81
A25/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 81
H27/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-16
23-15
16-24
17-21
17-15
22-22
19-15
23-16
26-23
22-18
21-23
20-27
21-17
22-31
15-11
17-14
15-19
17-26
20-21
14-11
13-21
23-12
21-8
26-18
16-18
27-21
20-15
18-23
24-21
12-19
26-22
13-30
17-22
25-16
30-22
12-14
30-15
22-14
13-19
154.9Avg total
79.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.975.3153.2+2.652%
Season at home (12)78.273.8152.1+4.467%
Season away (11)77.576.9154.4+0.536%
Last 10 (10)79.575.4154.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)80.472.2152.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)79.978.8158.7+1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.469.1151.4+13.379%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
71-77
71
77
-6
64avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
68-83
68
83
-15
60avg 79
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 79
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
88-63
88
63
+25
90avg 79
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
95avg 79
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
65-82
65
82
-17
57avg 79
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 79
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 79
A28/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
16-26
11-13
19-16
9-26
18-22
24-15
17-20
23-15
18-18
19-28
17-36
17-16
18-21
23-23
18-22
19-20
22-17
21-13
26-13
17-17
25-20
22-14
26-31
19-19
11-24
21-23
14-16
25-30
19-14
27-23
24-20
18-16
33-20
21-18
17-26
19-14
20-23
15-22
21-17
160.3Avg total
79.4Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.084.0160.0-8.022%
Season at home (12)76.883.7160.5-6.833%
Season away (11)75.184.5159.5-9.49%
Last 10 (10)79.480.9160.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)82.881.4164.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.483.7159.2-8.322%
vs Similar (3)88.782.7171.3+6.067%
vs Weaker (9)89.384.0173.3+5.367%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
OlympiacosAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H02/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/01
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A07/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A10/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/01
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H15/01
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/01
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A25/01
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H27/01
Basket League
75.9Avg total
37.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.177.0+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.834.774.5+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)42.037.579.5+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.075.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)39.239.578.7-0.445%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.934.176.0+7.874%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A02/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H05/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/01
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H14/01
BBL
Bayern
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H18/01
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A21/01
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H25/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/01
BBL
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.983.8-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.342.682.9-2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.284.5-1.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.743.782.3-5.022%-
vs Similar (3)47.039.786.7+7.3100%-
vs Weaker (9)43.142.685.7+0.644%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.2
37.4%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.713.5
76.3%
77.4%13.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.8
50.7%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.2
37.7%
36.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.215.6
77.2%
77.4%15.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLLWWLLWWW
Alba Berlin
LWWLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#18
+5.9
Net rating
-3.5
112.6
Offensive rating
109.5
106.7
Defensive rating
112.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.4%
3-point %
37.7%
71.1%
Assist %
64.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 109.5Defence106.7 · 112.9Shooting53.3% · 53.1%3-point %37.4% · 37.7%Ball care17.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds32.2% · 34.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olympiacos wins
1
Alba Berlin wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HPAOK77-62
25/01/24AReal Madrid85-90
22/01/24APanathinaikos80-85
18/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv89-72
15/01/24HKolossos Rhodes71-52
12/01/24ABaskonia69-80
10/01/24ABarcelona78-86
07/01/24AAEK Athens92-80
04/01/24HMonaco75-73
02/01/24HOlimpia Milano79-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24AWurzburg75-76
25/01/24HCrvena zvezda89-80
21/01/24ABonn95-87
18/01/24HBayern65-82
14/01/24HWurzburg90-82
12/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne88-63
09/01/24AOlimpia Milano76-82
07/01/24ABamberg77-97
05/01/24HVirtus Bologna68-83
02/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL52%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game77.978.277.5
Allowed / game75.373.876.9
Point differential+2.6+4.4+0.5
Avg total153.2152.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW22%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLW9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%33%9%
Points / game76.076.875.1
Allowed / game84.083.784.5
Point differential-8.0-6.8-9.4
Avg total160.0160.5159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2320387%89.079.0+10.0
2 Barcelona2315865%82.479.6+2.8
3 Virtus Bologna2315865%81.381.0+0.3
4 Fenerbahce2415962%84.081.4+2.6
5 Panathinaikos2314961%81.878.6+3.2
6 Monaco23131057%81.479.9+1.5
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv23131057%85.886.8-1.0
8 Olympiacos23121152%77.975.3+2.6
9 Partizan23121152%83.783.6+0.2
10 Valencia24121250%76.476.3+0.0
11 Baskonia24121250%82.583.7-1.1
12 Olimpia Milano23101343%77.676.5+1.1
13 Crvena zvezda24101442%81.980.2+1.8
14 Bayern24101442%79.982.8-2.8
15 Anadolu Efes2391439%84.687.6-3.0
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2381535%79.081.3-2.3
17 Alba Berlin2351822%76.084.0-8.0
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2451921%78.285.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos20253323101
Alba Berlin1731132687
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