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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-81
19-16 22-28 24-18 23-19
Position#3
Record16-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#4
Record16-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2017
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
101-74
101
74
+27
138avg 117
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
107avg 117
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
134avg 117
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
123avg 117
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
93avg 117
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
88-77
88
77
+11
121avg 117
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
96-81
96
81
+15
130avg 117
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
120avg 117
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
26-19
19-11
21-10
21-15
13-25
18-27
38-25
30-13
22-22
31-22
18-17
20-20
25-20
20-28
18-18
28-13
25-18
21-28
22-22
19-20
19-17
26-18
28-20
14-21
15-24
17-27
26-22
25-17
24-19
19-18
20-23
22-12
31-15
19-27
24-27
21-22
19-24
20-24
28-26
169.8Avg total
88.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.679.6165.2+6.059%
Season at home (13)86.276.8163.1+9.469%
Season away (14)85.082.1167.1+2.950%
Last 10 (10)88.381.5169.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)87.284.6171.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.077.5167.5+12.481%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
114avg 110
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
123avg 110
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
101avg 110
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
86avg 110
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
no box
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
77-65
77
65
+12
113avg 110
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
29-17
18-24
16-16
20-19
13-16
27-18
21-9
21-23
24-13
23-20
18-14
19-15
25-19
26-16
20-24
19-18
12-10
17-19
24-16
24-17
16-14
18-21
20-33
22-6
19-25
21-15
17-27
19-27
14-16
12-24
19-17
14-20
20-14
26-11
9-13
17-16
14-18
23-16
23-15
149.2Avg total
78.4Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.380.4161.6+0.959%
Season at home (14)81.280.0161.2+1.271%
Season away (13)81.380.8162.1+0.546%
Last 10 (10)78.470.8149.2+7.680%
Last 5 (5)73.473.0146.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)78.881.5160.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (23)82.674.0156.6+8.687%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
43.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.838.281.0+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.938.381.2+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)42.638.180.8+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)43.037.580.5+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.280.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)36.940.076.9-3.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.937.282.0+7.776%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/03
Euroleague
72.6Avg total
38.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.777.7+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.736.478.1+5.375%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.177.4+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.072.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.670.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (6)39.039.378.3-0.350%-
vs Weaker (23)41.535.977.3+5.670%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.9
58.3%
51.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.6
37.2%
37.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.416.0
71.4%
76.3%16.0
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.3
53.9%
51.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.46.8
41.5%
37.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
76.3%16.3
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWLWWLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#4
+8.7
Net rating
+3.7
119.1
Offensive rating
117.2
110.4
Defensive rating
113.4
57.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.2%
3-point %
41.5%
63.2%
Assist %
68.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 117.2Defence110.4 · 113.4Shooting57.4% · 56.2%3-point %37.2% · 41.5%Ball care14.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18AValencia88-96
17/03/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza96-81
13/03/18AOlimpia Milano88-77
11/03/18ABarcelona72-94
08/03/18HPanathinaikos92-75
04/03/18HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
02/03/18HFenerbahce83-86
23/02/18ABarcelona101-74
18/02/18HBarcelona90-92
17/02/18ATenerife77-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18HOlimpia Milano77-65
17/03/18HSiauliai69-58
15/03/18ABaskonia64-84
12/03/18ANevezis79-73
09/03/18HFenerbahce78-85
04/03/18HAlytaus Dzukija72-63
01/03/18HBarcelona90-74
23/02/18AAnadolu Efes86-70
18/02/18ARytas81-62
17/02/18HLietkabelis88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL59%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game85.686.285.0
Allowed / game79.676.882.1
Point differential+6.0+9.4+2.9
Avg total165.2163.1167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW59%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%71%46%
Points / game81.381.281.3
Allowed / game80.480.080.8
Point differential+0.9+1.2+0.5
Avg total161.6161.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2722581%90.079.6+10.4
2 Fenerbahce2820871%80.674.7+5.9
3 Olympiacos2718967%76.975.8+1.1
4 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
5 Real Madrid27161159%85.679.6+6.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas27161159%81.380.4+0.9
7 Khimki M.27161159%78.577.9+0.6
8 Baskonia27141352%82.979.5+3.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%81.684.3-2.7
10 Unicaja27111641%78.381.4-3.1
11 Crvena zvezda28111739%77.683.6-6.0
12 Valencia27101737%78.781.5-2.9
13 Bamberg27101737%76.080.3-4.3
14 Barcelona2791833%81.179.7+1.4
15 Olimpia Milano2791833%80.985.5-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes2762122%76.983.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1922242388
Zalgiris Kaunas1628181981
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