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Zalgiris Kaunas vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-73
23-18 25-24 16-18 21-13
Position#4
Record16-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.6
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
CSKA Moscow
Position#1
Record23-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2017
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow
10 Dec 2021
ZAL51
CMO73
17 Nov 2020
ZAL78
CMO87
04 Jan 2019
ZAL79
CMO84
30 Mar 2018
ZAL85
CMO73
24 Jan 2017
ZAL79
CMO74
05 Feb 2016
ZAL59
CMO94
06 Mar 2014
ZAL86
CMO88
17 Jan 2013
ZAL73
CMO87
28 Oct 2012
ZAL76
CMO66
17 Oct 2011
ZAL74
CMO87
03 Feb 2010
ZAL68
CMO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
114avg 109
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
123avg 109
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
101avg 109
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
86avg 109
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
no box
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
77-65
77
65
+12
113avg 109
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
107avg 109
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H25/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
24-13
23-20
18-14
19-15
25-19
26-16
20-24
19-18
12-10
17-19
24-16
24-17
16-14
18-21
20-33
22-6
19-25
21-15
17-27
19-27
14-16
12-24
19-17
14-20
20-14
26-11
9-13
17-16
14-18
23-16
23-15
16-19
28-22
18-24
19-23
19-20
20-25
22-15
24-12
151.3Avg total
78.1Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.280.6161.9+0.657%
Season at home (14)81.280.0161.2+1.271%
Season away (14)81.381.3162.6+0.043%
Last 10 (10)78.173.2151.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)75.273.4148.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.088.0169.0-7.00%
vs Similar (6)78.881.5160.3-2.733%
vs Weaker (22)82.273.6155.8+8.586%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
W
93-86
93
86
+7
117avg 117
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
93-73
93
73
+20
124avg 117
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
no box
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
101-76
101
76
+25
137avg 117
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
no box
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
81-79
81
79
+2
103avg 117
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
118avg 117
H21/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
123avg 117
A23/03
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
108-73
108
73
+35
no box
H26/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-21
21-11
21-23
20-25
26-24
25-22
22-15
22-18
30-18
15-20
26-17
27-28
26-29
30-19
27-22
30-20
27-23
22-18
22-15
24-24
22-23
30-21
26-15
25-23
19-17
10-18
27-21
23-26
21-14
25-22
20-19
29-17
24-20
15-21
22-15
29-17
19-21
27-12
33-23
174.2Avg total
94.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)90.079.4169.4+10.682%
Season at home (14)92.479.5171.9+12.993%
Season away (14)87.679.3166.9+8.371%
Last 10 (10)94.579.7174.2+14.8100%
Last 5 (5)94.077.8171.8+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.980.6172.5+11.382%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +6.1+6.1
Zalgiris KaunasCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/03
LKL
73.9Avg total
38.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.977.7+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.036.177.1+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.637.778.4+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.773.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.041.085.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (6)39.039.378.3-0.350%-
vs Weaker (22)41.135.977.0+5.264%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
VTB United League
Baskonia
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H22/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A01/03
Euroleague
Saratov
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A04/03
VTB United League
Unicaja
#9
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/03
Euroleague
VEF Riga
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A12/03
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/03
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/03
Euroleague
Enisey
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H26/03
VTB United League
90.7Avg total
47.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.039.985.9+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.437.884.1+8.679%-
Last 30 away (16)45.641.887.4+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)47.942.890.7+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.487.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.035.584.5+13.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.840.286.0+5.571%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.1
53.0%
51.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.07.1
44.4%
37.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.8
78.2%
76.3%15.8
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.823.7
56.7%
51.7%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.99.1
41.6%
37.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.314.2
82.1%
76.3%14.2
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWLWLWWW
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+1.9
Net rating
+13.3
115.8
Offensive rating
121.4
113.9
Defensive rating
108.2
56.8%
Effective FG%
58.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
44.4%
3-point %
41.6%
69.2%
Assist %
58.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 121.4Defence113.9 · 108.2Shooting56.8% · 58.6%3-point %44.4% · 41.6%Ball care18.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
8
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
03/11/17CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas94-91
24/01/17Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow79-74
18/11/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas95-86
01/04/16CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas100-86
05/02/16Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow59-94
06/03/14Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow86-88
10/01/14CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas77-62
15/03/13CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas70-61
03/02/13CSKA Moscow v Zalgiris Kaunas68-74
17/01/13Zalgiris Kaunas v CSKA Moscow73-87
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HLietkabelis85-72
22/03/18AReal Madrid81-88
20/03/18HOlimpia Milano77-65
17/03/18HSiauliai69-58
15/03/18ABaskonia64-84
12/03/18ANevezis79-73
09/03/18HFenerbahce78-85
04/03/18HAlytaus Dzukija72-63
01/03/18HBarcelona90-74
23/02/18AAnadolu Efes86-70
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/18HEnisey108-73
23/03/18AKhimki M.90-73
21/03/18HOlympiacos89-81
16/03/18AFenerbahce81-79
12/03/18AVEF Riga102-83
09/03/18HUnicaja101-76
04/03/18ASaratov110-98
01/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-73
22/02/18HBaskonia93-86
14/02/18ALokomotiv Kuban78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game81.281.281.3
Allowed / game80.680.081.3
Point differential+0.6+1.2+0.0
Avg total161.9161.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%93%71%
Points / game90.092.487.6
Allowed / game79.479.579.3
Point differential+10.6+12.9+8.3
Avg total169.4171.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2823582%90.079.4+10.6
2 Fenerbahce2921872%80.374.3+6.0
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.676.4+1.2
4 Real Madrid28171161%85.779.6+6.0
5 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas28161257%81.280.6+0.6
7 Baskonia29161355%83.079.0+4.0
8 Khimki M.29161355%77.878.1-0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29131645%81.284.2-3.0
10 Unicaja29121741%78.981.9-3.0
11 Valencia28111739%79.281.8-2.6
12 Crvena zvezda28111739%77.683.6-6.0
13 Bamberg29111838%76.780.7-4.0
14 Barcelona29101934%81.780.1+1.7
15 Olimpia Milano29101934%81.285.5-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2962321%77.284.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2325162185
CSKA Moscow1824181373
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