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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-65
17-16 14-18 23-16 23-15
Position#4
Record15-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game81.0
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#15
Record9-17
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2017
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano
12 Mar 2027
ZAL v MIL
upcoming
16 Oct 2025
ZAL78
MIL89
06 Feb 2025
ZAL87
MIL89
28 Mar 2024
ZAL87
MIL73
18 Nov 2022
ZAL71
MIL62
08 Feb 2022
ZAL70
MIL74
05 Mar 2021
ZAL64
MIL69
29 Nov 2018
ZAL83
MIL78
20 Mar 2018
ZAL77
MIL65
31 Mar 2017
ZAL84
MIL88
29 Nov 2013
ZAL73
MIL71
01 Nov 2012
ZAL92
MIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
H14/02
LKF Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
86-70
86
70
+16
114avg 109
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
90-74
90
74
+16
123avg 109
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
101avg 109
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
86avg 109
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
no box
H17/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
26-19
26-21
16-17
25-17
29-17
18-24
16-16
20-19
13-16
27-18
21-9
21-23
24-13
23-20
18-14
19-15
25-19
26-16
20-24
19-18
12-10
17-19
24-16
24-17
16-14
18-21
20-33
22-6
19-25
21-15
17-27
19-27
14-16
12-24
19-17
14-20
20-14
26-11
9-13
151.3Avg total
79.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.481.0162.4+0.558%
Season at home (13)81.581.2162.7+0.469%
Season away (13)81.380.8162.1+0.546%
Last 10 (10)79.272.1151.3+7.180%
Last 5 (5)72.472.6145.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.482.6163.0-2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.974.4157.3+8.586%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
89-100
89
100
-11
112avg 108
A09/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
179avg 108
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 108
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
104avg 108
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
116-93
116
93
+23
146avg 108
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
115avg 108
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
99avg 108
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
102avg 108
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
114avg 108
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
25-27
20-21
24-29
18-25
22-17
20-7
24-23
18-28
20-29
25-23
24-25
20-23
13-25
15-17
22-24
17-17
27-12
14-16
19-19
32-23
28-22
31-19
25-29
30-20
19-19
12-23
25-15
22-11
18-17
14-19
19-20
17-25
19-24
18-19
23-20
18-20
20-16
23-25
27-19
168.2Avg total
84.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.585.8167.3-4.335%
Season at home (13)82.486.0168.4-3.638%
Season away (13)80.585.6166.2-5.131%
Last 10 (10)84.783.5168.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)88.081.0169.0+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.887.4167.1-7.638%
vs Similar (9)85.085.0170.0+0.033%
vs Weaker (12)82.472.3154.8+10.183%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
Zalgiris KaunasOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/02
LKF Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H17/02
LKF Cup
Rytas
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/02
LKF Cup
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H01/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/03
LKL
Fenerbahce
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/03
Euroleague
Nevezis
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
LKL
74.4Avg total
39.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.3+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.436.578.9+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)40.337.477.7+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.834.674.4+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.469.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.339.779.0-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.036.077.9+6.073%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A09/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/03
Lega A
84.6Avg total
42.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.382.3+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.285.7+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.139.378.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.384.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.844.484.1-4.638%-
vs Similar (9)44.641.686.1+3.056%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.377.2+6.575%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.5
54.2%
51.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.37.1
41.0%
37.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
76.3%15.8
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.8
56.2%
51.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.3
37.5%
37.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.516.8
78.1%
76.3%16.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLLWL
#4
League position
#15
+0.0
Net rating
+9.4
114.6
Offensive rating
118.9
114.6
Defensive rating
109.4
56.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
41.0%
3-point %
37.5%
66.4%
Assist %
53.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 118.9Defence114.6 · 109.4Shooting56.4% · 56.2%3-point %41.0% · 37.5%Ball care19.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds31.5% · 32.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
09/11/17Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas62-94
31/03/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano84-88
29/12/16Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas70-78
29/11/13Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano73-71
24/10/13Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas82-75
07/12/12Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas65-67
01/11/12Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano92-87
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/18HSiauliai69-58
15/03/18ABaskonia64-84
12/03/18ANevezis79-73
09/03/18HFenerbahce78-85
04/03/18HAlytaus Dzukija72-63
01/03/18HBarcelona90-74
23/02/18AAnadolu Efes86-70
18/02/18ARytas81-62
17/02/18HLietkabelis88-74
14/02/18HSiauliai85-78
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/18HTrento88-80
13/03/18HReal Madrid77-88
11/03/18AVirtus Bologna73-67
08/03/18AKhimki M.86-77
04/03/18HSassari116-93
01/03/18HAnadolu Efes77-64
22/02/18AFenerbahce70-89
16/02/18HCantu87-105
11/02/18ABrindisi84-72
09/02/18ACrvena zvezda89-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWWLWL69%
AwayLLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game81.481.581.3
Allowed / game81.081.280.8
Point differential+0.5+0.4+0.5
Avg total162.4162.7162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWWLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%38%31%
Points / game81.582.480.5
Allowed / game85.886.085.6
Point differential-4.3-3.6-5.1
Avg total167.3168.4166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2621581%90.079.6+10.5
2 Fenerbahce2719870%80.675.1+5.5
3 Olympiacos2618869%76.775.3+1.4
4 Real Madrid26161062%85.579.0+6.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas26151158%81.481.0+0.5
6 Khimki M.26151158%78.278.1+0.2
7 Panathinaikos26151158%78.178.0+0.1
8 Baskonia26131350%82.279.5+2.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27131448%81.884.6-2.8
10 Crvena zvezda26111542%78.483.5-5.0
11 Unicaja26101638%77.681.0-3.4
12 Bamberg26101638%75.979.5-3.6
13 Barcelona2691735%80.779.2+1.6
14 Valencia2691735%78.081.3-3.3
15 Olimpia Milano2691735%81.585.8-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2662023%77.083.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1714232377
Olimpia Milano1618161565
← all games of the day
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