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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 94-47
26-13 33-10 18-10 17-14
Position#1
Record25-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game69.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas
Lithuania
Position#3
Record22-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game77.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
86avg 109
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
W
69-58
69
58
+11
no box
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
77-65
77
65
+12
113avg 109
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
81-88
81
88
-7
107avg 109
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
no box
H25/03
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
112avg 109
H30/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
L
90-93
90
93
-3
no box
A02/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
no box
A06/04
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
82-60
82
60
+22
no box
A08/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-6
19-25
21-15
17-27
19-27
14-16
12-24
19-17
14-20
20-14
26-11
9-13
17-16
14-18
23-16
23-15
16-19
28-22
18-24
19-23
19-20
20-25
22-15
24-12
23-18
25-24
16-18
21-13
21-28
24-27
19-19
26-19
10-25
21-18
25-16
24-21
18-24
21-17
24-6
19-13
154.9Avg total
79.8Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.669.2151.8+13.386%
Season at home (13)84.866.8151.6+17.992%
Season away (16)80.871.2152.0+9.681%
Last 10 (10)79.875.1154.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)85.676.6162.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.080.5163.5+2.550%
vs Similar (6)80.884.3165.2-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.875.0158.8+8.781%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H13/02
LKF Cup
Siauliai
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
no box
H01/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
H07/03
Champions League
Skycop
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
no box
H10/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
no box
A14/03
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
A18/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
no box
H31/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H07/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
15-20
25-20
20-26
24-16
9-19
14-16
24-27
15-11
18-24
24-16
24-13
22-12
16-22
20-22
15-12
24-7
16-15
15-21
18-22
19-13
24-17
14-21
13-24
32-30
21-18
13-17
33-21
24-25
15-10
24-30
27-16
18-27
27-22
17-16
20-17
23-18
23-18
28-15
16-20
159.6Avg total
81.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.477.7163.0+7.776%
Season at home (16)86.575.5162.0+11.081%
Season away (13)84.080.3164.3+3.769%
Last 10 (10)81.977.7159.6+4.260%
Last 5 (5)88.883.4172.2+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.784.2160.8-7.533%
vs Similar (5)76.880.4157.2-3.640%
vs Weaker (18)87.676.8164.4+10.778%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/03
LKL
Baskonia
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/03
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H30/03
Euroleague
Siauliai
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A02/04
LKL
Olympiacos
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A06/04
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/04
LKL
79.4Avg total
38.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.336.979.1+5.473%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.980.9+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.979.4-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.285.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.041.587.5+4.5100%-
vs Similar (6)38.240.278.3-2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.137.579.7+4.657%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H13/02
LKF Cup
Siauliai
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H01/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/03
Champions League
Skycop
#10
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H10/03
LKL
Strasbourg
#16
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A14/03
Champions League
Rytas
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A18/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H31/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/04
LKL
76.5Avg total
40.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.681.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.438.580.9+3.950%-
Last 30 away (12)40.141.281.3-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.376.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.684.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.845.385.2-5.517%-
vs Similar (5)40.440.881.2-0.460%-
vs Weaker (18)42.937.480.3+5.561%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.2
53.4%
55.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.26.8
44.7%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
73.8%16.6
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWLWWLW
Neptunas
WLWWLWWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+5.1
Net rating
+9.4
116.0
Offensive rating
97.6
110.8
Defensive rating
88.2
57.0%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.28
44.7%
3-point %
37.0%
70.3%
Assist %
60.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 97.6Defence110.8 · 88.2Shooting57.0% · 52.6%3-point %44.7% · 37.0%Ball care18.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 12.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
21/01/18Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas75-83
05/11/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas88-62
28/09/17Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas73-64
22/05/17Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas53-69
19/05/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas83-60
16/05/17Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas73-70
13/05/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas83-54
15/04/17Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas77-81
05/03/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas69-78
11/12/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas67-95
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/18AAlytaus Dzukija82-60
06/04/18AOlympiacos86-85 OT
02/04/18ASiauliai90-93
30/03/18HCSKA Moscow85-73
25/03/18HLietkabelis85-72
22/03/18AReal Madrid81-88
20/03/18HOlimpia Milano77-65
17/03/18HSiauliai69-58
15/03/18ABaskonia64-84
12/03/18ANevezis79-73
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/18HPieno Zvaigzdes90-71
31/03/18HJuventus87-91 OT
24/03/18AJuventus90-81
18/03/18ARytas99-86
14/03/18AStrasbourg78-88 OT
10/03/18HSkycop73-65
07/03/18HStrasbourg73-68
04/03/18HNevezis81-64
01/03/18HSiauliai71-78
13/02/18HAlytaus Dzukija77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLWLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %86%92%81%
Points / game82.684.880.8
Allowed / game69.266.871.2
Point differential+13.3+17.9+9.6
Avg total151.8151.6152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%77%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeLWWLW81%
AwayWLWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %76%81%69%
Points / game85.486.584.0
Allowed / game77.775.580.3
Point differential+7.7+11.0+3.7
Avg total163.0162.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%82.669.2+13.3
2 Rytas2924583%87.275.1+12.2
3 Neptunas2922776%85.477.7+7.7
4 Lietkabelis29181162%83.781.5+2.1
5 Siauliai29121741%79.281.7-2.5
6 Juventus29111838%82.284.0-1.8
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes29111838%80.186.6-6.5
8 Alytaus Dzukija2992031%74.583.4-8.9
9 Nevezis2982128%76.482.3-6.0
10 Skycop2952417%78.888.5-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2633181794
Neptunas1310101447
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