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Ukmerges Stekas vs Jurbarkas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-69
18-20 23-26 23-11 20-12
Position#8
Record12-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#3
Record20-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game78.1
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Jurbarkas
03 Mar 2026
UKME79
JURB87
27 Jan 2026
UKME71
JURB88
18 Jan 2025
UKME84
JURB69
02 Dec 2023
UKME62
JURB54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 70
A16/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
18-22
17-19
21-19
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
151.3Avg total
77.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.278.4155.6-1.143%
Season at home (14)79.676.1155.6+3.564%
Season away (14)74.980.6155.5-5.821%
Last 10 (10)77.274.1151.3+3.150%
Last 5 (5)79.472.8152.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)76.078.7154.6-2.733%
vs Weaker (4)87.078.8165.8+8.275%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
86-76
86
76
+10
86avg 79
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
70-96
70
96
-26
63avg 79
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
104-91
104
91
+13
108avg 79
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
66avg 79
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 79
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
72-57
72
57
+15
71avg 79
A05/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
80-53
80
53
+27
78avg 79
H09/01
NKL
Silute
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 79
A11/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 79
H14/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
73avg 79
H16/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-22
36-13
14-21
14-26
25-16
15-28
16-26
27-14
38-27
15-23
24-27
14-19
17-19
27-6
18-27
18-25
29-31
19-18
18-21
19-11
12-23
18-10
23-13
30-9
14-11
8-21
28-12
21-24
22-21
23-15
26-19
29-18
16-17
19-23
16-24
28-11
11-26
17-26
30-21
161.4Avg total
83.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.378.1160.4+4.274%
Season at home (14)84.877.2162.0+7.686%
Season away (13)79.779.1158.8+0.662%
Last 10 (10)83.078.4161.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)82.071.0153.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.085.0152.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.381.2164.6+2.070%
vs Weaker (9)84.070.6154.6+13.4100%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Ukmerges StekasJurbarkas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A05/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
77.5Avg total
38.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.977.8-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.336.573.8+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.443.381.7-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.977.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.475.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.640.478.0-2.846%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
65-41
65
41
+24
H14/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A17/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H20/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A05/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H09/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/01
NKL
81.0Avg total
42.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.736.579.2+6.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.935.679.5+8.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.437.478.8+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.081.0+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.434.274.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)43.537.581.0+6.070%-
vs Weaker (9)41.933.775.6+8.256%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.1
51.2%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.2
31.4%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.3%
70.5%10.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.8
57.6%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.0
32.6%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.813.8
69.7%
70.5%13.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLWWLWWLL
Jurbarkas
WLWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#3
+5.0
Net rating
+6.8
103.0
Offensive rating
112.3
98.0
Defensive rating
105.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.4%
3-point %
32.6%
59.0%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 112.3Defence98.0 · 105.4Shooting49.4% · 53.8%3-point %31.4% · 32.6%Ball care20.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds35.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Jurbarkas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
1
Jurbarkas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86
05/12/24ABC Olimpas Palanga70-85
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga86-84
14/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-82
11/01/25ASilute92-79
09/01/25HAlytaus Alytus80-53
05/01/25AKretinga72-57
20/12/24HNeptunas 284-95
17/12/24ADelikatesas Joniskis76-71
14/12/24HOmega-Tauras104-91
12/12/24AVilkaviskis70-96
30/11/24HSuduva-Mantinga86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %43%64%21%
Points / game77.279.674.9
Allowed / game78.476.180.6
Point differential-1.1+3.5-5.8
Avg total155.6155.6155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Jurbarkas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWLWLW86%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %74%86%62%
Points / game82.384.879.7
Allowed / game78.177.279.1
Point differential+4.2+7.6+0.6
Avg total160.4162.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)80% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2821775%85.477.8+7.6
2 Jurbarkas2720774%82.378.1+4.2
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2820871%82.172.5+9.6
4 Vilkaviskis28181064%82.977.1+5.8
5 Vytis VDU28181064%90.184.5+5.6
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 227171063%79.975.3+4.5
7 Omega-Tauras27161159%81.179.6+1.4
8 Suduva-Mantinga28161257%81.978.3+3.6
9 Neptunas 227151256%79.379.1+0.2
10 Ukmerges Stekas28121643%77.278.4-1.1
11 Silute28111739%80.482.6-2.2
12 Rytas 229111838%79.782.8-3.1
13 Plunges Olimpas2791833%76.981.3-4.4
14 Alytaus Alytus2891932%78.287.4-9.1
15 Kretinga2882029%77.283.4-6.2
16 Delikatesas Joniskis281274%77.193.2-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1823232084
Jurbarkas2026111269
← all games of the day
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