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Zalgiris Kaunas 2 vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-75
24-20 26-20 13-22 19-13
Position#2
Record19-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#8
Record13-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game78.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kaunas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Dec 2026
ZALG v UKME
upcoming
30 Oct 2025
ZALG116
UKME84
25 Jan 2025
ZALG82
UKME75
09 Jan 2024
ZALG74
UKME75
17 Dec 2022
ZALG74
UKME68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 70
A12/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
73avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
75avg 70
H17/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
76-69
76
69
+7
68avg 70
A04/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 70
H09/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
69-56
69
56
+13
63avg 70
A11/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
74avg 70
A14/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 70
H16/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 70
A18/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-80
91
80
+11
81avg 70
A21/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
15-20
12-20
31-22
19-15
26-8
26-17
13-20
14-20
26-20
21-17
18-27
24-20
18-17
16-15
18-17
24-20
15-21
28-20
20-12
14-17
9-13
22-11
24-15
18-29
17-16
23-19
24-16
20-18
18-13
22-24
28-16
20-15
19-21
27-12
15-26
31-19
22-23
15-18
23-20
154.0Avg total
81.3Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.375.4155.7+4.866%
Season at home (14)79.075.1154.1+3.957%
Season away (15)81.575.8157.3+5.773%
Last 10 (10)81.372.7154.0+8.680%
Last 5 (5)82.272.2154.4+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.572.5142.0-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.479.4161.8+3.056%
vs Weaker (12)79.571.7151.2+7.875%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 70
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
101-79
101
79
+22
110avg 70
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
68-59
68
59
+9
61avg 70
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
62-68
62
68
-6
51avg 70
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 70
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 70
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 70
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 70
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 70
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 70
H18/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
13-23
23-21
14-16
21-19
24-20
31-13
25-27
21-16
19-10
17-19
11-14
18-22
21-24
8-10
15-12
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
151.1Avg total
78.6Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.478.0155.5-0.645%
Season at home (15)79.975.6155.5+4.367%
Season away (14)74.980.6155.5-5.821%
Last 10 (10)78.672.5151.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)81.075.0156.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)75.977.9153.8-2.038%
vs Weaker (4)87.078.8165.8+8.275%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.5+0.5
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Ukmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A12/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H14/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A04/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A11/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H16/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A21/01
NKL
75.0Avg total
38.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.677.7+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.737.375.9+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.637.979.5+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.375.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.874.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.539.180.6+2.450%-
vs Weaker (12)38.836.375.2+2.542%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/12
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H10/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A19/12
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
78.3Avg total
39.5Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.2-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.537.174.6+0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)37.342.980.1-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.538.878.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.140.277.3-3.142%-
vs Weaker (4)41.035.876.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.3
49.6%
52.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.8
30.4%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
70.5%16.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.2
51.2%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.2
31.8%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
70.5%12.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWWWWWWLWL
Ukmerges Stekas
WLWLWWLWWL
#2
League position
#8
+11.0
Net rating
+9.2
107.7
Offensive rating
103.5
96.6
Defensive rating
94.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
49.7%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
35.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.4%
3-point %
31.8%
54.4%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 103.5Defence96.6 · 94.3Shooting48.0% · 49.7%3-point %30.4% · 31.8%Ball care18.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds37.1% · 35.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/25ANeptunas 291-80
18/01/25ABC Olimpas Palanga81-74
16/01/25HSuduva-Mantinga88-71
14/01/25AJurbarkas82-80
11/01/25AAlytaus Alytus69-56
09/01/25HKretinga87-73
04/01/25ATelsiai76-69
17/12/24HVytis VDU79-84
14/12/24HVilkaviskis84-60
12/12/24ASilute76-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
19/12/24ATelsiai62-68
14/12/24HRytas 268-59
10/12/24HDelikatesas Joniskis101-79
07/12/24HSuduva-Mantinga74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW66%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %66%57%73%
Points / game80.379.081.5
Allowed / game75.475.175.8
Point differential+4.8+3.9+5.7
Avg total155.7154.1157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%67%21%
Points / game77.479.974.9
Allowed / game78.075.680.6
Point differential-0.6+4.3-5.8
Avg total155.5155.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai2922776%85.778.0+7.7
2 Jurbarkas2921872%81.978.2+3.7
3 BC Olimpas Palanga3021970%81.672.6+8.9
4 Vytis VDU29191066%90.584.9+5.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 229191066%80.375.4+4.8
6 Vilkaviskis30191163%83.178.0+5.1
7 Suduva-Mantinga29171259%82.178.2+3.9
8 Omega-Tauras29171259%81.980.6+1.4
9 Neptunas 229151452%79.880.2-0.4
10 Ukmerges Stekas29131645%77.478.0-0.6
11 Silute29111838%81.083.2-2.3
12 Rytas 229111838%79.782.8-3.1
13 Alytaus Alytus2992031%78.487.5-9.1
14 Plunges Olimpas3092130%76.581.3-4.8
15 Kretinga3092130%78.484.0-5.7
16 Delikatesas Joniskis292277%77.993.2-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas 22426131982
Ukmerges Stekas2020221375
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