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Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 131-129
26-35 35-42 35-12 35-40
Position#6
Record25-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game118.7
Allowed / game118.3
vs
Position#14
Record24-22
FormLWLLW
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· American Airlines Center (Dallas)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Orlando Magic
02 Dec 2026
DAL v ORL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
DAL127
ORL138
03 Nov 2024
DAL108
ORL85
29 Jan 2024
DAL131
ORL129
30 Oct 2022
DAL114
ORL105
15 Jan 2022
DAL108
ORL92
09 Jan 2021
DAL112
ORL98
06 Nov 2019
DAL107
ORL106
10 Dec 2018
DAL101
ORL76
09 Jan 2018
DAL114
ORL99
11 Feb 2017
DAL112
ORL80
01 Mar 2016
DAL121
ORL108
18 Mar 2015
DAL107
ORL102
13 Jan 2014
DAL107
ORL88
20 Feb 2013
DAL111
ORL96
08 Jan 2011
DAL107
ORL117
01 Apr 2010
DAL82
ORL97
14 Nov 2008
DAL100
ORL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
115-108
115
108
+7
99avg 109
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-120
103
120
-17
88avg 109
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
128-124
128
124
+4
119avg 109
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
108-118
108
118
-10
98avg 109
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-120
125
120
+5
116avg 109
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
110-127
110
127
-17
102avg 109
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
110-119
110
119
-9
98avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
109-132
109
132
-23
94avg 109
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
148-143
148
143
+5
145avg 109
A27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
115-120
115
120
-5
108avg 109
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
30-27
31-26
24-26
22-29
31-39
30-35
20-17
44-26
30-29
27-31
27-38
20-29
34-20
27-39
27-30
33-17
26-42
33-40
33-21
26-32
27-23
27-42
30-30
26-24
33-41
24-29
27-25
34-25
24-32
20-43
31-32
27-31
39-35
42-36
40-41
25-29
24-34
26-31
40-26
240.2Avg total
117.1Scored
123.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)118.7118.3237.0+0.354%
Season at home (25)119.6117.1236.7+2.452%
Season away (21)117.6119.8237.4-2.257%
Last 10 (10)117.1123.1240.2-6.040%
Last 5 (5)118.4128.2246.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0122.5237.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)114.7120.4235.1-5.741%
vs Weaker (11)124.3114.5238.7+9.873%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
92-113
92
113
-21
74avg 102
H10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
96-99
96
99
-3
87avg 102
A13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
100-112
100
112
-12
93avg 102
A14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
98-94
98
94
+4
92avg 102
A15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
104-106
104
106
-2
88avg 102
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
109-124
109
124
-15
103avg 102
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
105-87
105
87
+18
100avg 102
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
99-126
99
126
-27
91avg 102
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
106-107
106
107
-1
96avg 102
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-98
113
98
+15
103avg 102
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-33
21-34
29-23
26-23
22-30
33-26
18-19
23-24
21-23
19-26
33-37
27-26
24-24
26-28
23-26
25-16
26-26
25-23
25-29
28-28
34-32
26-36
16-21
33-35
22-19
26-27
33-23
24-18
19-38
28-34
27-35
25-19
31-31
28-37
25-22
22-17
26-37
25-19
31-29
31-13
208.8Avg total
102.2Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)111.3110.8222.1+0.652%
Season at home (22)114.0108.3222.3+5.768%
Season away (24)108.9113.0222.0-4.138%
Last 10 (10)102.2106.6208.8-4.430%
Last 5 (5)106.4108.4214.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.7118.0220.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (18)108.4111.7220.1-3.239%
vs Weaker (9)119.7113.8233.4+5.967%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.5+4.5
Dallas MavericksOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H08/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H28/01
NBA
117.8Avg total
58.5Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.058.7119.7+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (19)61.258.5119.6+2.763%-
Last 30 away (11)60.659.1119.7+1.545%-
Last 10 (10)58.559.3117.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)57.061.2118.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.568.5126.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)58.757.5116.2+1.259%-
vs Weaker (11)65.158.7123.8+6.464%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
37-67
37
67
-30
H10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A13/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A14/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A15/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
60-68
60
68
-8
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H23/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H28/01
NBA
108.1Avg total
49.8Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.759.2112.9-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.857.5110.3-4.736%-
Last 30 away (16)54.660.7115.2-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)49.858.3108.1-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)53.062.0115.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.058.0105.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.959.7112.6-6.717%-
vs Weaker (9)57.658.7116.2-1.156%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.8
54.0%
54.4%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.615.1
38.1%
36.3%45.3
🏀 Free throws23.218.2
78.4%
78.2%18.2
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.527.2
53.9%
54.4%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.1
30.5%
36.3%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
78.2%17.5
They take 83.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LWLLLWLWLW
Orlando Magic
WLLWLLWLLL
#6
League position
#14
-6.0
Net rating
-4.6
116.8
Offensive rating
107.6
122.8
Defensive rating
112.2
55.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
11.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.1%
3-point %
30.5%
60.1%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 107.6Defence122.8 · 112.2Shooting55.4% · 50.7%3-point %38.1% · 30.5%Ball care11.7% · 12.8%Off. rebounds24.3% · 27.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
3
Orlando Magic wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HSacramento Kings115-120
27/01/24AAtlanta Hawks148-143
25/01/24HPhoenix Suns109-132
23/01/24HBoston Celtics110-119
18/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-127
15/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-120
14/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans108-118
12/01/24HNew York Knicks128-124
10/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies103-120
08/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves115-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HPhoenix Suns113-98
27/01/24AMemphis Grizzlies106-107
23/01/24HCleveland Cavaliers99-126
21/01/24HMiami Heat105-87
20/01/24HPhiladelphia 76ers109-124
18/01/24AAtlanta Hawks104-106
15/01/24ANew York Knicks98-94
14/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder100-112
13/01/24AMiami Heat96-99
10/01/24HMinnesota Timberwolves92-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL54%
HomeLWLLL52%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %54%52%57%
Points / game118.7119.6117.6
Allowed / game118.3117.1119.8
Point differential+0.3+2.4-2.2
Avg total237.0236.7237.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeLLWLW68%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462224
Win %52%68%38%
Points / game111.3114.0108.9
Allowed / game110.8108.3113.0
Point differential+0.6+5.7-4.1
Avg total222.1222.3222.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%50%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)67% (3)42% (12)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics46361078%120.4110.5+9.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks44311370%124.0119.9+4.2
3 Minnesota Timberwolves47331470%112.9107.4+5.5
4 Oklahoma City Thunder47321568%120.8112.9+7.9
5 Denver Nuggets47321568%115.1111.0+4.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers45301567%117.9111.8+6.1
7 Philadelphia 76ers44291566%119.5112.0+7.5
8 New York Knicks46301665%115.2108.6+6.5
9 Cleveland Cavaliers44281664%114.1109.8+4.3
10 Sacramento Kings44271761%118.4117.2+1.2
11 Phoenix Suns46271959%116.7114.4+2.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans45252056%117.0112.6+4.4
13 Indiana Pacers45252056%124.8123.1+1.7
14 Dallas Mavericks46252154%118.7118.3+0.3
15 Orlando Magic46242252%111.3110.8+0.6
16 Miami Heat47242351%110.4111.7-1.3
17 Utah Jazz48242450%117.8119.9-2.1
18 Houston Rockets46222448%113.7112.5+1.2
19 Los Angeles Lakers46222448%115.9118.1-2.2
20 Chicago Bulls47222547%110.9112.3-1.4
21 Golden State Warriors43192444%118.6119.0-0.5
22 Brooklyn Nets46192741%114.0114.9-0.8
23 Atlanta Hawks46192741%120.2123.3-3.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%107.5112.6-5.1
25 Toronto Raptors46163035%114.4116.8-2.4
26 Portland Trail Blazers46133328%107.8117.0-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets45103522%108.6120.3-11.8
28 San Antonio Spurs47103721%112.9121.4-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4693720%115.2124.0-8.8
30 Detroit Pistons4664013%112.4122.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks26353535131
Orlando Magic35421240129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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