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Cantu vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-67
21-11 21-21 23-23 20-12
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game72.5
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Orzinuovi
Italy
Position#14
Record9-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game80.0
ItalySerie A2Round 20· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Orzinuovi
12 Jan 2025
KAN85
ORZI67
14 Nov 2021
KAN76
ORZI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 71
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
89-60
89
60
+29
92avg 71
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 71
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 71
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
81-51
81
51
+30
83avg 71
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 71
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 71
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
56avg 71
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
82-77
82
77
+5
82avg 71
A28/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
69-60
69
60
+9
66avg 71
H05/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
28-25
17-25
27-22
22-16
31-13
18-20
18-11
20-16
15-21
21-25
20-9
19-20
20-25
20-27
8-18
28-16
25-11
20-14
8-10
30-16
16-26
20-18
21-18
21-15
12-22
25-16
22-23
21-27
12-15
18-16
23-25
24-21
17-14
22-23
19-19
19-13
20-16
13-13
17-18
152.5Avg total
79.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.472.5150.9+5.974%
Season at home (9)79.465.9145.3+13.689%
Season away (10)77.578.5156.0-1.060%
Last 10 (10)79.073.5152.5+5.570%
Last 5 (5)78.474.8153.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)73.277.1150.4-3.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)79.169.6148.6+9.581%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
80avg 74
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
102avg 74
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
71avg 74
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 74
A24/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
64avg 74
H01/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
75avg 74
A08/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
87-68
87
68
+19
90avg 74
H15/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 74
A21/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
60avg 74
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 74
H05/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
15-19
16-15
22-18
27-18
27-19
21-21
16-33
13-14
17-16
20-21
22-13
23-17
12-22
15-14
16-24
17-13
23-19
10-15
16-11
20-20
19-22
16-21
28-25
24-25
27-13
14-11
22-19
25-26
17-21
23-10
24-30
12-18
17-21
15-21
21-22
28-15
16-12
19-27
18-30
158.4Avg total
79.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.980.0158.9-1.147%
Season at home (10)81.278.4159.6+2.870%
Season away (9)76.481.8158.2-5.322%
Last 10 (10)79.179.3158.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)81.081.8162.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.280.1156.3-3.944%
vs Similar (18)80.481.7162.2-1.339%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.3160.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
CantuOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H13/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A17/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A01/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H08/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H22/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/01
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
41.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.975.3+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.633.475.0+8.171%-
Last 30 away (16)37.538.075.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.577.8+4.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.075.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)35.338.473.7-3.121%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.033.676.6+9.481%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A24/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H01/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H15/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H05/01
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
40.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.481.8+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.183.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.979.5-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.377.4+2.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.679.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.441.780.1-3.233%-
vs Similar (18)42.240.482.7+1.856%-
vs Weaker (3)44.736.781.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.4
50.1%
50.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.2
35.1%
34.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.913.6
68.3%
74.4%13.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.3
51.0%
50.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.9
32.2%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
74.4%14.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
WWLWWWLWWL
Orzinuovi
LLWWLWLWWL
#2
League position
#14
+6.9
Net rating
+0.1
105.7
Offensive rating
104.5
98.8
Defensive rating
104.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.1%
3-point %
32.2%
67.8%
Assist %
73.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 104.5Defence98.8 · 104.4Shooting51.2% · 50.0%3-point %35.1% · 32.2%Ball care16.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cantu wins
2
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
29/09/24Orzinuovi v Cantu77-76 OT
11/02/24Orzinuovi v Cantu88-86
20/02/22Orzinuovi v Cantu73-86
14/11/21Cantu v Orzinuovi76-61
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HNardo69-60
28/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza82-77
22/12/24HUdine74-83
15/12/24ARimini80-76
11/12/24HJuVi Cremona87-78
08/12/24HUrania Milano81-51
01/12/24APesaro67-90
17/11/24AForli76-71
13/11/24HFortitudo Bologna89-60
10/11/24AVigevano85-89
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HAvellino Basket81-84
29/12/24AUdine65-82
21/12/24ACividale89-87
15/12/24HLibertas Livorno87-68
08/12/24ABrindisi83-88
01/12/24HNardo66-58
24/11/24ASebastiani Rieti66-77
17/11/24HVerona72-64
13/11/24HVigevano100-98 OT
10/11/24AForli82-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game78.479.477.5
Allowed / game72.565.978.5
Point differential+5.9+13.6-1.0
Avg total150.9145.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%70%22%
Points / game78.981.276.4
Allowed / game80.078.481.8
Point differential-1.1+2.8-5.3
Avg total158.9159.6158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %16%20%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1915479%83.476.6+6.7
2 Udine1914574%83.174.3+8.8
3 Cantu1914574%78.472.5+5.9
4 Cividale1913668%80.276.5+3.6
5 Urania Milano2013765%77.574.0+3.5
6 Verona1912763%77.072.9+4.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%73.972.8+1.1
8 Avellino Basket2012860%78.177.7+0.4
9 Forli1911858%77.374.7+2.6
10 Fortitudo Bologna2011955%76.275.0+1.2
11 Orzinuovi1991047%78.980.0-1.1
12 Pesaro1991047%77.579.6-2.1
13 Brindisi1981142%75.676.9-1.3
14 Basket Torino2081240%75.876.8-1.1
15 Libertas Livorno1971237%74.376.0-1.7
16 JuVi Cremona2071335%79.283.0-3.8
17 Vigevano1961332%77.781.2-3.5
18 Cento1951426%70.477.9-7.6
19 Nardo2051525%71.580.8-9.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza2031715%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2121232085
Orzinuovi1121231267
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