PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Orzinuovi vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 57-61
14-13 18-14 18-14 7-20
Position#14
Record9-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game81.9
Orzinuovi
Italy
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record15-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.5
ItalySerie A2Round 27· PalaBertocchi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Orzinuovi v Forli
16 Feb 2025
ORZI57
FORL61
17 Dec 2023
ORZI71
FORL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
65-82
65
82
-17
60avg 71
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 71
H05/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 71
A12/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 71
H15/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 71
A19/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
88-89
88
89
-1
92avg 71
H26/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
57-88
57
88
-31
45avg 71
A29/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
72avg 71
H02/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 71
A09/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
17-21
23-10
24-30
12-18
17-21
15-21
21-22
28-15
16-12
19-27
18-30
11-21
21-21
23-23
12-20
12-24
24-16
18-22
17-21
17-30
17-18
20-19
15-29
21-30
22-20
28-17
17-22
16-12
15-26
10-29
16-21
23-19
21-26
17-16
14-19
24-16
18-28
22-31
14-14
160.3Avg total
74.0Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.181.9159.0-4.835%
Season at home (13)80.579.7160.2+0.854%
Season away (13)73.884.2157.9-10.415%
Last 10 (10)74.086.3160.3-12.310%
Last 5 (5)73.488.4161.8-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.979.0151.9-6.143%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.583.0161.5-4.429%
vs Weaker (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 70
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 70
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
56avg 70
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 70
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 70
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 70
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 70
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 70
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 70
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 70
H09/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
14-21
24-25
31-23
24-19
25-16
17-20
18-20
17-17
18-7
13-17
16-24
20-20
19-13
13-23
27-26
9-32
25-19
22-23
21-19
16-28
22-11
18-19
22-15
14-21
19-18
19-18
21-23
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
156.4Avg total
79.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.775.5153.1+2.258%
Season at home (13)79.073.2152.2+5.869%
Season away (13)76.377.7154.0-1.446%
Last 10 (10)79.177.3156.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)78.873.4152.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (23)74.675.8150.3-1.243%
vs Weaker (5)87.075.2162.2+11.8100%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -6.0-6.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
OrzinuoviForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/12
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H05/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H15/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A19/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H26/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A29/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H02/02
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A09/02
Serie A2
79.7Avg total
37.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.282.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.640.184.7+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.342.279.5-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.079.7-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.083.8-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.142.478.6-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.441.082.5+0.443%-
vs Weaker (2)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
38.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.236.675.8+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.935.173.0+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.178.7+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.075.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.036.074.0+1.957%-
vs Weaker (5)45.636.081.6+9.680%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.4
49.0%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.6
31.8%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.115.2
75.6%
74.4%15.2
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.7
47.8%
50.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
74.4%14.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orzinuovi
LLLLLLLLLW
Forli
WWWLWLLLWW
#14
League position
#6
-17.4
Net rating
+3.3
99.6
Offensive rating
107.4
117.0
Defensive rating
104.1
48.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.8%
3-point %
36.5%
61.2%
Assist %
61.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 107.4Defence117.0 · 104.1Shooting48.5% · 50.7%3-point %31.8% · 36.5%Ball care17.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.8% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Orzinuovi   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Orzinuovi wins
3
Forli wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Forli v Orzinuovi87-82 OT
17/12/23Orzinuovi v Forli71-72
15/10/23Forli v Orzinuovi86-69
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AAvellino Basket78-89
02/02/25HBrindisi75-80
29/01/25ALibertas Livorno57-88
26/01/25HJuVi Cremona88-89
19/01/25ABasket Torino69-96
15/01/25HFortitudo Bologna71-83
12/01/25ACantu67-85
05/01/25HAvellino Basket81-84
29/12/24AUdine65-82
21/12/24ACividale89-87
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
26/01/25ALibertas Livorno73-80
19/01/25HRimini78-73
16/01/25AVerona77-93
12/01/25HCividale79-82
05/01/25HSebastiani Rieti64-65
29/12/24ANardo84-75
22/12/24HVigevano93-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLLLL54%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%54%15%
Points / game77.180.573.8
Allowed / game81.979.784.2
Point differential-4.8+0.8-10.4
Avg total159.0160.2157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeLLWWW69%
AwayLWLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game77.779.076.3
Allowed / game75.573.277.7
Point differential+2.2+5.8-1.4
Avg total153.1152.2154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)43% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2720774%83.474.9+8.5
2 Rimini2720774%81.877.4+4.4
3 Sebastiani Rieti2718967%76.273.1+3.1
4 Cantu27171063%76.672.8+3.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna26161062%76.272.9+3.3
6 Cividale28171161%79.978.5+1.4
7 Urania Milano27161159%77.676.3+1.3
8 Avellino Basket27161159%79.178.9+0.2
9 Pesaro26151158%81.679.2+2.5
10 Forli26151158%77.775.5+2.2
11 Verona26141254%77.275.0+2.2
12 Brindisi26131350%76.775.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino26111542%75.376.6-1.3
14 JuVi Cremona26101638%80.683.0-2.3
15 Orzinuovi2691735%77.181.9-4.8
16 Cento2691735%72.577.7-5.2
17 Libertas Livorno2791833%74.776.2-1.5
18 Vigevano2681831%75.681.0-5.4
19 Nardo2772026%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza2652119%75.881.8-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orzinuovi141818757
Forli1314142061
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.