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Palencia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-59
12-17 24-8 24-20 14-14
Position#18
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#16
Record1-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.8
SpainACBRound 6· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Palencia v Breogan
21 Oct 2023
PAL74
BRE59
13 Dec 2020
PAL65
BRE76
11 Oct 2019
PAL90
BRE76
10 Nov 2017
PAL70
BRE74
20 Jan 2017
PAL97
BRE89
09 Oct 2015
PAL74
BRE85
28 Apr 2015
PAL81
BRE66
28 Nov 2014
PAL75
BRE50
13 Dec 2013
PAL73
BRE77
14 Dec 2012
PAL77
BRE67
03 Feb 2012
PAL72
BRE65
29 Dec 2010
PAL81
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
63-60
63
60
+3
no box
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
90-60
90
60
+30
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 63
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 63
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 63
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 63
A15/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
27-10
19-22
22-11
21-20
23-12
16-20
15-16
9-10
16-12
16-19
22-19
19-8
17-24
31-12
23-16
28-22
22-20
23-19
22-22
20-28
11-19
18-27
15-10
18-19
7-15
23-16
24-22
21-20
19-23
23-21
11-23
17-14
12-21
19-25
21-15
22-16
27-34
22-20
20-22
154.2Avg total
79.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.284.4160.6-8.20%
Season at home (2)76.079.5155.5-3.50%
Season away (3)76.387.7164.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)79.275.0154.2+4.250%
Last 5 (5)76.284.4160.6-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)78.086.8164.8-8.80%
vs Similar (4)79.586.0165.5-6.525%
vs Weaker (22)83.572.0155.5+11.482%
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 65
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
66-83
66
83
-17
57avg 65
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
64avg 65
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
80-77
80
77
+3
68avg 65
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
79-88
79
88
-9
67avg 65
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
69-63
69
63
+6
57avg 65
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
no box
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 65
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 65
H18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
15-17
21-22
12-27
18-17
19-22
23-14
19-23
20-23
18-20
18-14
20-19
24-24
19-23
18-26
20-18
22-21
17-17
19-23
13-17
20-6
18-28
25-21
21-10
13-18
24-18
3-11
15-14
32-31
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
147.2Avg total
72.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.677.8152.4-3.220%
Season at home (3)74.379.3153.7-5.00%
Season away (2)75.075.5150.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)72.874.4147.2-1.630%
Last 5 (5)72.469.8142.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.984.3156.2-12.47%
vs Similar (13)79.679.2158.8+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)86.362.7149.0+23.7100%
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.2+3.2
PalenciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H26/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H28/05
Primera FEB
Alicante
#10
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A02/06
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/06
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H18/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H29/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H07/10
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A15/10
ACB
73.7Avg total
37.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.076.7+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.835.075.8+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.439.477.7-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.173.7+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.876.6-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.243.579.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (4)37.040.277.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker (22)40.835.376.0+5.568%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A10/05
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/05
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H24/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A29/09
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H01/10
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A07/10
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
69.6Avg total
34.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.738.674.4-2.927%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.037.474.4-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)34.340.074.3-5.714%-
Last 10 (10)34.035.669.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.432.865.2-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.440.673.0-8.17%-
vs Similar (13)37.438.976.3-1.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.028.372.3+15.767%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.5
51.2%
53.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
34.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
75.6%13.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.619.3
44.3%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.4
29.8%
34.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws18.411.7
63.6%
75.6%11.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LLLLLWWWWW
Breogan
WLLLWLWLLL
#18
League position
#16
-15.5
Net rating
-6.5
103.1
Offensive rating
98.1
118.6
Defensive rating
104.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
44.4%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
29.8%
52.9%
Assist %
50.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 98.1Defence118.6 · 104.6Shooting49.6% · 44.4%3-point %31.9% · 29.8%Ball care18.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 33.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Palencia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Palencia wins
6
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
28/02/21Breogan v Palencia84-76
13/12/20Palencia v Breogan65-76
01/02/20Breogan v Palencia75-74
11/10/19Palencia v Breogan90-76
04/03/18Breogan v Palencia80-82
10/11/17Palencia v Breogan70-74
20/01/17Palencia v Breogan97-89
18/10/16Breogan v Palencia89-87
10/01/16Breogan v Palencia70-79
09/10/15Palencia v Breogan74-85
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AManresa91-92
07/10/23HJoventut Badalona69-75
01/10/23AMoraBanc Andorra74-87
29/09/23HBarcelona83-84 OT
23/09/23AObradoiro CAB64-84
18/06/23HSan Pablo Burgos95-83
17/06/23HReal Valladolid90-60
02/06/23AAlicante63-60
28/05/23HAlicante75-68
26/05/23HAlicante88-57
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
07/10/23ATenerife81-88 OT
01/10/23HManresa85-89 OT
29/09/23AMoraBanc Andorra69-63
24/09/23HBaskonia79-88
24/05/23AValencia80-77
14/05/23HManresa81-82
10/05/23ABilbao66-83
07/05/23HMurcia60-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.276.076.3
Allowed / game84.479.587.7
Point differential-8.2-3.5-11.3
Avg total160.6155.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%50%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game74.674.375.0
Allowed / game77.879.375.5
Point differential-3.2-5.0-0.5
Avg total152.4153.7150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %40%33%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%96.080.6+15.4
2 Baskonia54180%86.280.0+6.2
3 Barcelona54180%86.481.6+4.8
4 Valencia54180%81.477.8+3.6
5 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
6 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
7 Murcia53260%86.485.6+0.8
8 Manresa53260%88.488.4+0.0
9 Joventut Badalona53260%84.086.4-2.4
10 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
11 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
12 MoraBanc Andorra52340%80.483.6-3.2
13 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
14 Gran Canaria52340%77.084.2-7.2
15 Breogan51420%74.677.8-3.2
16 Basket Zaragoza51420%79.487.8-8.4
17 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
18 Palencia5050%76.284.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1224241474
Breogan178201459
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