PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

PAOK vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 88-89
25-19 15-28 22-21 26-21
Position#9
Record10-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Cholet 🏆
Position#1
Record12-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Semi-finals· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · PAOK v Cholet
26 Mar 2025
PAK88
CHO89
22 Nov 2011
PAK74
CHO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Dijon
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
95avg 74
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
51avg 74
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
84-65
84
65
+19
82avg 74
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
67avg 74
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
65avg 74
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
62-62
62
62
+0
53avg 74
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
77avg 74
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 74
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 74
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
83-84
83
84
-1
84avg 74
A23/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
23-22
23-26
27-19
21-17
14-17
8-27
17-25
23-18
18-14
20-19
23-14
17-13
18-31
20-22
20-28
24-17
15-19
16-13
20-14
13-12
7-9
17-18
25-23
26-23
21-26
8-19
21-19
29-17
12-17
16-21
25-21
15-9
19-17
15-19
22-16
26-19
22-18
20-18
15-29
153.6Avg total
76.1Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.476.6158.1+4.871%
Season at home (7)86.074.6160.6+11.4100%
Season away (7)76.978.7155.6-1.943%
Last 10 (10)76.177.5153.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)74.874.0148.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.487.8163.2-12.322%
vs Similar (17)81.279.0160.2+2.265%
vs Weaker (3)77.379.7157.0-2.333%
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 91
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
W
73-70
73
70
+3
84avg 91
A07/02
LNB
Nanterre
#50
W
97-84
97
84
+13
99avg 91
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
103avg 91
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 91
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
98avg 91
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
83-83
83
83
+0
83avg 91
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
104avg 91
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
97avg 91
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
97avg 91
H22/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
19-18
20-19
15-19
11-27
16-11
28-18
18-14
21-22
33-21
24-24
19-17
12-26
29-19
26-24
24-24
23-23
17-30
18-31
24-17
31-18
12-25
20-24
21-28
26-29
19-14
19-22
19-18
27-9
22-23
18-20
26-15
23-16
22-14
17-18
28-23
25-27
17-14
18-28
23-8
167.0Avg total
85.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)89.275.4164.6+13.886%
Season at home (7)89.373.3162.6+16.0100%
Season away (7)89.177.6166.7+11.671%
Last 10 (10)85.481.6167.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)86.678.6165.2+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.095.3176.3-14.30%
vs Similar (8)87.585.1172.6+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.875.2163.0+12.594%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
PAOKCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#7
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H01/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
L
20-21
20
21
-1
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/03
Basket League
Fribourg Olympic
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#4
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basket League
74.8Avg total
38.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.378.0-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.940.477.3-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.336.574.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.471.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.844.080.8-7.222%-
vs Similar (17)40.737.578.2+3.265%-
vs Weaker (3)32.338.070.3-5.733%-
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A07/02
LNB
Nanterre
#50
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A11/02
French Cup
Le Mans
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Le Mans
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A26/02
French Cup
Monaco
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A08/03
LNB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
La Rochelle
#16
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H22/03
LNB
83.4Avg total
42.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.485.1+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.540.785.3+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)44.740.184.9+4.673%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.583.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.882.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.745.388.0-2.733%-
vs Similar (8)43.942.186.0+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.038.483.4+6.682%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.316.2
55.3%
52.6%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.9
32.8%
34.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.8
74.0%
72.6%12.8
They take 53.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.0
57.3%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.7
38.3%
34.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.815.1
69.3%
72.6%15.1
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWLLWLWLL
Cholet
WWWLLLLWWW
#9
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+4.2
105.7
Offensive rating
111.8
104.2
Defensive rating
107.6
52.5%
Effective FG%
57.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
38.3%
64.3%
Assist %
71.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 111.8Defence104.2 · 107.6Shooting52.5% · 57.4%3-point %32.8% · 38.3%Ball care19.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 26.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ PAOK   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
1
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
20/12/11Cholet v PAOK69-66
22/11/11PAOK v Cholet74-62
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AKolossos Rhodes83-84
15/03/25HAS Karditsas71-61
12/03/25HFribourg Olympic82-76
08/03/25APromitheas76-87
05/03/25AFribourg Olympic62-62
01/03/25HAris75-63
14/02/25HOlympiacos75-94
13/02/25HAEK Athens84-65
10/02/25AOlympiacos60-86
05/02/25ADijon93-97
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HLa Rochelle83-77
12/03/25HBasket Zaragoza90-71
08/03/25ADijon93-67
05/03/25ABasket Zaragoza83-83
02/03/25HMonaco84-95
26/02/25ALe Mans82-101
14/02/25HLe Mans91-93
11/02/25ANanterre97-84
07/02/25AGravelines-Dunkerque73-70
05/02/25ASassari78-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW71%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%100%43%
Points / game81.486.076.9
Allowed / game76.674.678.7
Point differential+4.8+11.4-1.9
Avg total158.1160.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cholet
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game89.289.389.1
Allowed / game75.473.377.6
Point differential+13.8+16.0+11.6
Avg total164.6162.6166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1614288%85.970.1+15.8
2 Cholet1412286%89.275.4+13.8
3 Ludwigsburg1411379%81.871.1+10.7
4 Tofas1411379%90.984.0+6.9
5 Dijon1612475%90.179.3+10.8
6 PAOK1410471%81.476.6+4.8
7 CSM Oradea128467%82.074.4+7.6
8 FC Porto128467%82.677.1+5.5
9 Levice64267%85.781.2+4.5
10 BC Prievidza85362%83.882.8+1.0
11 Sassari127558%81.273.9+7.3
12 Maroussi148657%84.479.2+5.1
13 Basket Zaragoza148657%86.382.5+3.8
14 Fribourg Olympic147750%84.979.4+5.6
15 Basketball Braunschweig63350%85.881.2+4.7
16 Spojnia Stargard63350%73.370.7+2.7
17 BC Kalev/Cramo126650%80.978.7+2.2
18 Bursaspor63350%85.584.0+1.5
19 Arges Pitesti63350%71.770.3+1.3
20 Alba Fehervar84450%89.693.8-4.1
21 Spirou Charleroi147750%77.982.1-4.1
22 Caledonia Gladiators63350%58.570.8-12.3
23 Anwil Wloclawek125742%88.580.8+7.7
24 Le Portel125742%76.175.8+0.3
25 Norrkoping62433%79.085.5-6.5
26 Limburg62433%76.783.3-6.7
27 Antwerp Giants62433%80.287.7-7.5
28 Kutaisi62433%78.789.0-10.3
29 AEK Larnaca62433%71.085.7-14.7
30 Sporting CP82625%71.579.5-8.0
31 Anorthosis82625%75.884.2-8.5
32 BC Dnipro82625%66.087.1-21.1
33 Sabah Baku61517%73.878.8-5.0
34 Keravnos61517%84.590.7-6.2
35 Parnu61517%68.079.7-11.7
36 CSM Constanta81712%73.591.4-17.9
37 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
38 Szolnoki Olaj6060%73.886.0-12.2
39 Rilski Sportist6060%71.387.0-15.7
40 Trepca6060%57.377.3-20.0
41 Balkan6060%69.389.8-20.5
42 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
43 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
44 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2515222688
Cholet1928212189
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.