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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-65
23-18 18-14 20-19 23-14
Position#12
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#27
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
GreeceGreek CupGreek Cup - Quarter-finals· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
81-100
81
100
-19
69avg 74
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 74
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
88avg 74
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
56avg 74
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
93-84
93
84
+9
89avg 74
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 74
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 74
H01/02
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
95avg 74
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
51avg 74
A10/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
17-20
25-29
18-23
20-25
22-21
25-14
28-21
25-29
19-15
18-23
24-19
24-12
23-22
15-21
25-30
17-27
15-19
20-25
16-20
19-24
20-21
24-24
30-15
20-22
20-20
18-19
16-22
17-17
17-22
17-18
18-17
20-30
23-22
23-26
27-19
21-17
14-17
8-27
17-25
170.4Avg total
81.8Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.888.6170.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)77.884.8162.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.487.4165.8-9.030%
vs Similar (14)83.180.4163.4+2.771%
vs Weaker (6)80.375.2155.5+5.267%
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
89avg 80
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 80
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
81avg 80
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
71avg 80
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
88avg 80
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 80
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
97-76
97
76
+21
100avg 80
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 80
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
W
93-86
93
86
+7
92avg 80
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
91-71
91
71
+20
93avg 80
H08/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
18-19
29-20
21-19
23-18
31-24
22-28
26-19
23-24
27-24
19-17
14-20
22-32
23-18
15-26
20-27
27-17
19-15
25-20
20-16
24-17
15-27
21-21
10-24
23-25
24-19
25-12
25-20
18-22
24-14
20-28
24-21
27-20
15-24
23-19
28-23
17-23
25-12
24-17
25-19
172.8Avg total
89.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.083.8172.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)87.481.4168.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.095.7169.7-21.70%
vs Similar (4)86.081.8167.8+4.275%
vs Weaker (20)85.978.2164.2+7.770%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A05/01
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H08/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/02
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/02
Basket League
82.4Avg total
39.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.380.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.982.9+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.877.5-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.443.082.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.644.583.1-5.920%-
vs Similar (14)41.938.980.7+3.064%-
vs Weaker (6)37.336.874.2+0.550%-
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/12
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A04/01
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/01
Basket League
PAOK
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A26/01
Basket League
Promitheas
#31
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/01
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A01/02
Basket League
Tortona
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Promitheas
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/02
Basket League
87.6Avg total
45.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.383.0+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.039.884.8+5.262%-
Last 30 away (14)40.140.980.9-0.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.287.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.546.385.8-6.817%-
vs Similar (4)43.539.883.2+3.875%-
vs Weaker (20)43.538.582.0+5.070%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.9
51.0%
55.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.9
31.7%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.318.3
75.3%
67.6%18.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.6 points a game
51%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.224.0
59.7%
55.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.2
36.0%
32.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.618.8
79.7%
67.6%18.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLLLWLWLWL
AEK Athens
WWWWLWLLWW
#12
League position
#27
-9.1
Net rating
+7.8
108.1
Offensive rating
119.5
117.2
Defensive rating
111.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
57.8%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.7%
3-point %
36.0%
60.1%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 119.5Defence117.2 · 111.6Shooting49.4% · 57.8%3-point %31.7% · 36.0%Ball care17.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
PAOK wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
27/12/22AEK Athens v PAOK71-83
14/05/22PAOK v AEK Athens96-72
22/01/22AEK Athens v PAOK72-67
16/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK87-81
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/25AOlympiacos60-86
05/02/25ADijon93-97
01/02/25HLavrio69-74
29/01/25ACSM Oradea74-83
25/01/25HMaroussi93-84
19/01/25AAEK Athens68-91
15/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo87-85
11/01/25HPanionios98-105 OT
08/01/25HDijon95-81
05/01/25APanathinaikos81-100
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HPromitheas91-71
04/02/25HTortona93-86
01/02/25AKolossos Rhodes86-85
29/01/25HPromitheas97-76
26/01/25AOlympiacos70-89
19/01/25HPAOK91-68
12/01/25HPanathinaikos80-103
04/01/25AAS Karditsas83-85
28/12/24HAris102-89
21/12/24HLavrio97-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Greek Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
AEK Athens
Greek Cup 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%93.063.0+30.0
2 Promitheas110100%86.077.0+9.0
3 NE Megaridas65183%81.073.3+7.7
4 Egaleo54180%92.879.0+13.8
5 Papagou43175%72.868.2+4.5
6 Mykonos32167%87.765.0+22.7
7 Psychikou32167%78.772.7+6.0
8 Ermis Schimatari32167%86.785.0+1.7
9 Lefkadas21150%75.065.0+10.0
10 Koroivos21150%70.568.0+2.5
11 Akadimia Elefsinas21150%81.579.5+2.0
12 EFAO Zografou21150%78.579.5-1.0
13 Esperos21150%70.575.5-5.0
14 Hanth21150%75.084.0-9.0
15 Iraklis1010%76.079.0-3.0
16 Vikos1010%66.069.0-3.0
17 Sofadon1010%79.085.0-6.0
18 Komotini1010%68.077.0-9.0
19 Proteas Voulas1010%75.085.0-10.0
20 Olympos1010%48.060.0-12.0
21 Trikala1010%61.073.0-12.0
22 Apollon Smyrnis1010%74.089.0-15.0
23 Panerythraikos1010%69.085.0-16.0
24 Falirou1010%55.078.0-23.0
25 Peristeri1010%63.093.0-30.0
26 Aiolos Agyia1010%52.088.0-36.0
27 Dafni Dafniou1010%59.095.0-36.0
28 Ionios Kerkyras1010%59.0110.0-51.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2318202384
AEK Athens1814191465
← all games of the day
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