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PAOK vs Aris Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 75-63
24-17 15-19 16-13 20-14
Position#6
Record8-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.2
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#7
Record7-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game85.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 18· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · PAOK v Aris
21 Nov 2026
PAK v ARI
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
PAK88
ARI77
01 Mar 2025
PAK75
ARI63
15 Feb 2024
PAK74
ARI76
18 Nov 2023
PAK82
ARI76
15 Oct 2022
PAK88
ARI66
11 Dec 2021
PAK96
ARI64
13 Dec 2020
PAK75
ARI64
05 Jan 2020
PAK101
ARI84
25 Nov 2018
PAK95
ARI79
11 Nov 2017
PAK63
ARI57
03 May 2017
PAK75
ARI84
04 Feb 2017
PAK62
ARI58
13 Jun 2015
PAK62
ARI51
07 Jun 2015
PAK67
ARI60
07 Feb 2015
PAK77
ARI78
25 Jan 2014
PAK56
ARI49
09 Oct 2013
PAK63
ARI71
16 Mar 2013
PAK84
ARI72
28 Dec 2011
PAK92
ARI87
08 Jun 2011
PAK63
ARI56
01 Jun 2011
PAK59
ARI67
26 May 2011
PAK76
ARI74
05 Feb 2011
PAK79
ARI74
31 Oct 2009
PAK83
ARI48
19 Feb 2009
PAK50
ARI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
88avg 74
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 74
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
56avg 74
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
93-84
93
84
+9
89avg 74
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 74
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
69-74
69
74
-5
56avg 74
H01/02
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
93-97
93
97
-4
95avg 74
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
L
60-86
60
86
-26
51avg 74
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
84-65
84
65
+19
82avg 74
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
75-94
75
94
-19
67avg 74
H14/02
Greek Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
19-15
18-23
24-19
24-12
23-22
15-21
25-30
17-27
15-19
20-25
16-20
19-24
20-21
24-24
30-15
20-22
20-20
18-19
16-22
17-17
17-22
17-18
18-17
20-30
23-22
23-26
27-19
21-17
14-17
8-27
17-25
23-18
18-14
20-19
23-14
17-13
18-31
20-22
20-28
166.5Avg total
80.1Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.684.2163.8-4.644%
Season at home (9)84.983.1168.0+1.856%
Season away (9)74.385.2159.6-10.933%
Last 10 (10)80.186.4166.5-6.330%
Last 5 (5)76.283.2159.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.188.0166.1-9.927%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.381.0164.3+2.369%
vs Weaker (5)81.676.2157.8+5.460%
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAris
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
68avg 64
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
83avg 64
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
51-92
51
92
-41
38avg 64
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
73avg 64
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
65-106
65
106
-41
49avg 64
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 64
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
82avg 64
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
77avg 64
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 64
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
78avg 64
H08/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
14-25
22-24
22-24
16-16
14-21
22-21
25-19
12-23
14-23
14-21
11-25
24-27
16-16
18-15
25-16
16-28
17-27
18-27
14-24
27-12
7-15
19-18
15-28
22-19
21-26
20-17
21-22
18-23
15-9
15-25
30-16
23-21
19-32
13-19
19-17
24-20
13-18
24-11
19-23
163.5Avg total
76.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.785.6163.3-7.839%
Season at home (9)76.878.0154.8-1.256%
Season away (9)78.793.1171.8-14.422%
Last 10 (10)76.287.3163.5-11.130%
Last 5 (5)77.679.4157.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.488.4164.8-12.124%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.282.8161.1-4.638%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
PAOKAris
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panionios
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/01
Basket League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A19/01
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/01
Basket League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lavrio
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/02
Basket League
Dijon
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#2
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A10/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#27
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Greek Cup
80.2Avg total
39.0Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.279.9-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.539.682.1+2.853%-
Last 30 away (13)36.141.077.1-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.280.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.277.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.344.582.7-6.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.539.080.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker (5)37.835.873.6+2.060%-
This opponent (Aris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A08/01
Eurocup
Promitheas
#5
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
Basket League
JL Bourg
#12
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H15/01
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/01
Basket League
Valencia
#1
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A22/01
Eurocup
Peristeri
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A25/01
Basket League
Hamburg
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H29/01
Eurocup
Maroussi
#11
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A01/02
Basket League
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/02
Eurocup
Panionios
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/02
Basket League
77.9Avg total
35.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.180.2-5.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.141.980.0-3.720%-
Last 30 away (15)36.244.380.5-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.677.9-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.076.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.845.182.9-7.212%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.340.576.8-4.231%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.8
52.1%
53.5%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.616.3
75.5%
73.3%16.3
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aris: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.6
47.1%
53.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.0
30.4%
34.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.013.1
72.8%
73.3%13.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLLLLWLWL
Aris
WLWLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#7
-5.2
Net rating
-14.1
108.5
Offensive rating
98.5
113.7
Defensive rating
112.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
46.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
30.4%
57.0%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 98.5Defence113.7 · 112.6Shooting50.9% · 46.4%3-point %32.9% · 30.4%Ball care18.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ PAOK   ■ Aris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
PAOK wins
5
Aris wins
DateGameScore
01/12/24Aris v PAOK88-82
15/02/24PAOK v Aris74-76
11/02/24Aris v PAOK77-63
18/11/23PAOK v Aris82-76
22/01/23Aris v PAOK77-70
15/10/22PAOK v Aris88-66
20/04/22Aris v PAOK77-76
11/12/21PAOK v Aris96-64
20/03/21Aris v PAOK71-77
13/12/20PAOK v Aris75-64
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/25HOlympiacos75-94
13/02/25HAEK Athens84-65
10/02/25AOlympiacos60-86
05/02/25ADijon93-97
01/02/25HLavrio69-74
29/01/25ACSM Oradea74-83
25/01/25HMaroussi93-84
19/01/25AAEK Athens68-91
15/01/25HBC Kalev/Cramo87-85
11/01/25HPanionios98-105 OT
Arislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HPanionios80-72
05/02/25HCluj-Napoca74-89
01/02/25AMaroussi78-73
29/01/25HHamburg88-90 OT
25/01/25APeristeri68-73
22/01/25AValencia65-106
18/01/25HKolossos Rhodes83-74
15/01/25HJL Bourg51-92
11/01/25APromitheas96-106 OT
08/01/25ACedevita Olimpija79-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game79.684.974.3
Allowed / game84.283.185.2
Point differential-4.6+1.8-10.9
Avg total163.8168.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Aris
Basket League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW39%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%56%22%
Points / game77.776.878.7
Allowed / game85.678.093.1
Point differential-7.8-1.2-14.4
Avg total163.3154.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos18180100%93.676.2+17.4
2 Olympiacos1816289%88.373.3+14.9
3 AEK Athens1911858%83.281.7+1.5
4 AS Karditsas189950%76.579.1-2.6
5 Panionios1991047%77.576.1+1.4
6 PAOK1881044%79.684.2-4.6
7 Promitheas1981142%79.882.9-3.2
8 Lavrio1871139%81.384.1-2.8
9 Peristeri1871139%77.081.4-4.4
10 Aris1871139%77.785.6-7.8
11 Maroussi1851328%76.283.1-6.9
12 Kolossos Rhodes1951426%77.880.8-2.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2415162075
Aris1719131463
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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