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Paralimni vs AEL Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 11 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game79.2
Paralimni
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
AEL
Cyprus
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
CyprusDivision ARound 10· Paralimni Basket Stadium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Paralimni v AEL
11 Dec 2026
PARA v AEL
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
PARA77
AEL79
05 Jan 2025
PARA93
AEL88
24 Nov 2023
PARA70
AEL78
17 Feb 2023
PARA104
AEL103
23 Oct 2021
PARA86
AEL73
13 Dec 2020
PARA85
AEL64
30 Nov 2019
PARA74
AEL80
14 Oct 2018
PARA75
AEL64
31 Oct 2014
PARA20
AEL0
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paralimni win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParalimniCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParalimni
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-90
74
90
-16
66avg 73
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-99
82
99
-17
72avg 73
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
62avg 73
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
86-85
86
85
+1
71avg 73
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
85avg 73
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 73
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
67avg 73
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
96-82
96
82
+14
96avg 73
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
no box
A13/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
27-30
18-26
10-19
22-31
24-19
23-24
13-25
15-15
19-22
21-20
21-19
23-24
18-26
26-15
19-20
19-16
26-19
24-18
23-26
22-20
22-22
20-24
13-23
16-18
22-30
21-15
15-22
26-30
29-15
24-20
17-17
15-17
23-7
17-23
25-22
34-16
17-20
21-15
17-20
166.6Avg total
83.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.779.2163.8+5.567%
Season at home (3)82.077.7159.7+4.367%
Season away (3)87.380.7168.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)83.083.6166.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)83.279.2162.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.086.4161.4-11.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.881.6163.5+0.238%
vs Weaker (9)89.679.2168.8+10.389%
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 72
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 72
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 72
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 72
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 72
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 72
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 72
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
ParalimniAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParalimniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H26/03
Division A
AEL
#3
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A31/03
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H05/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/04
Division A
Anorthosis
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/10
Division A
AEL
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A17/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#9
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A01/11
Division A
Apollon
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A13/11
Division A
85.0Avg total
43.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.583.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.640.681.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)44.640.485.0+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.285.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.084.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.245.186.4-3.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.639.280.8+2.554%-
vs Weaker (9)44.738.483.1+6.267%-
This opponent (AEL) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Paralimni) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paralimnitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paralimni: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.9
52.5%
52.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.4%
34.4%20.7
🏀 Free throws25.218.5
73.4%
72.9%18.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paralimni
WWWLLWWLLL
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#3
-6.3
Net rating
+2.4
93.4
Offensive rating
92.1
99.8
Defensive rating
89.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.4%
3-point %
28.8%
56.1%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 92.1Defence99.8 · 89.7Shooting48.8% · 50.3%3-point %28.4% · 28.8%Ball care13.4% · 14.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Paralimni   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paralimni wins
8
AEL wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26AEL v Paralimni89-77
31/03/26AEL v Paralimni99-82
02/02/26AEL v Paralimni75-74
15/11/25Paralimni v AEL77-79
15/04/25AEL v Paralimni77-69
05/01/25Paralimni v AEL93-88
26/10/24AEL v Paralimni99-67
12/02/24AEL v Paralimni86-42
24/11/23Paralimni v AEL70-78
17/02/23Paralimni v AEL104-103 OT
Paralimnilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AApoel BC89-71
09/11/26HApollon80-69
01/11/26AAchilleas K.96-82
24/10/26HAEK Larnaca74-85
17/10/26AAEL77-89
11/10/26HAnorthosis92-79
08/04/26AApoel BC86-85
05/04/26HApollon80-87 OT
31/03/26AAEL82-99
26/03/26HAEK Larnaca74-90
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paralimni
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game84.782.087.3
Allowed / game79.277.780.7
Point differential+5.5+4.3+6.7
Avg total163.8159.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca660100%89.869.8+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou61517%71.282.8-11.7
9 Achilleas K.61517%75.789.2-13.5
10 Anorthosis6060%74.383.7-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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