PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paris vs Baskonia Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#14
Record4-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#20
Record1-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game93.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24· Adidas Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Paris v Baskonia
21 Jan 2027
PRS v BAS
upcoming
15 Oct 2025
PRS105
BAS87
01 Nov 2024
PRS67
BAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 86
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 86
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
18-18
22-31
23-13
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
187.0Avg total
96.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.092.6181.6-3.640%
Season at home (5)88.893.6182.4-4.820%
Season away (5)89.291.6180.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)96.690.4187.0+6.270%
Last 5 (5)101.493.4194.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.391.3175.7-7.033%
vs Similar (10)95.396.4191.7-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.081.6174.6+11.479%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Dubai
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 82
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 82
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 82
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 82
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 82
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
106-83
106
83
+23
no box
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
171.0Avg total
82.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.393.1174.4-11.810%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (5)77.892.0169.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)82.288.8171.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)86.891.6178.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.594.1175.6-12.610%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker (9)102.985.3188.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +7.9+7.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
ParisBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/10
Euroleague
Boulazac
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
91.3Avg total
45.7Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.945.490.3-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.147.495.5+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.184.4-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.745.691.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.890.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (10)44.348.592.8-4.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.443.189.4+3.350%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
85.8Avg total
40.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.187.5+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.282.4-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.985.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.291.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.548.889.3-8.310%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker (9)48.439.888.2+8.789%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
77.1%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
77.1%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWLWWWWLWL
Baskonia
WLWLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#20
+4.0
Net rating
-3.1
103.4
Offensive rating
96.5
99.4
Defensive rating
99.6
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.7%
3-point %
34.2%
59.2%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 96.5Defence99.4 · 99.6Shooting57.9% · 51.7%3-point %36.7% · 34.2%Ball care14.7% · 15.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Paris   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paris wins
1
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Baskonia v Paris81-97
15/10/25Paris v Baskonia105-87
27/12/24Baskonia v Paris94-81
01/11/24Paris v Baskonia67-65
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75
16/10/26ACrvena zvezda81-90
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%20%60%
Points / game89.088.889.2
Allowed / game92.693.691.6
Point differential-3.6-4.8-2.4
Avg total181.6182.4180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game81.384.877.8
Allowed / game93.194.292.0
Point differential-11.8-9.4-14.2
Avg total174.4179.0169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Fenerbahce107370%80.375.4+4.9
6 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
7 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan105550%79.478.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
13 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
14 Paris104640%89.092.6-3.6
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia101910%81.393.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.