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Paris vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 105-87
30-21 21-26 28-24 26-16
Position#16
Record2-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game89.7
Paris 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record0-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game96.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Adidas Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Baskonia
21 Jan 2027
PRS v BAS
upcoming
15 Oct 2025
PRS105
BAS87
01 Nov 2024
PRS67
BAS65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
89avg 91
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
108avg 91
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 91
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
109-66
109
66
+43
120avg 91
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
62avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 91
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
89avg 91
A06/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
75avg 91
H09/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
94-99
94
99
-5
84avg 91
H12/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
27-20
13-15
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-31
26-12
23-28
17-24
25-22
22-16
28-24
26-16
16-30
10-26
29-19
28-14
26-17
26-16
19-25
21-18
19-27
18-26
27-20
21-21
26-22
27-31
25-32
20-14
23-14
21-35
24-24
25-16
23-20
18-19
15-24
30-31
27-22
22-22
178.8Avg total
90.0Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.389.7179.0-0.367%
Season at home (1)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)89.095.0184.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)90.088.8178.8+1.240%
Last 5 (5)90.292.6182.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.186.0172.1+0.143%
vs Weaker (15)99.185.8184.9+13.380%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
105avg 79
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
100-97
100
97
+3
99avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-101
105
101
+4
104avg 79
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 79
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
103-112
103
112
-9
91avg 79
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
88-107
88
107
-19
79avg 79
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
84-86
84
86
-2
72avg 79
H09/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
101avg 79
H12/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
38-21
26-31
27-23
26-20
23-23
22-33
29-21
29-25
23-25
27-25
26-26
14-15
24-22
13-22
25-23
33-27
23-27
25-34
22-24
20-27
28-22
22-24
26-29
33-26
12-22
21-29
29-25
20-23
14-25
26-24
28-35
14-20
22-22
20-29
28-15
18-34
31-24
28-23
28-19
194.9Avg total
96.2Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.796.7188.3-5.00%
Season at home (2)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
Season away (1)95.0102.0197.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)96.298.7194.9-2.540%
Last 5 (5)93.699.4193.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)92.095.8187.8-3.822%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.388.7179.0+1.560%
vs Weaker (6)93.391.8185.2+1.550%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
ParisBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H12/10
LNB
91.5Avg total
47.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.043.691.6+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.543.994.4+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.489.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.544.091.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.090.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.343.788.0+0.657%-
vs Weaker (15)51.043.794.7+7.360%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H06/06
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H30/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H12/10
ACB
93.7Avg total
46.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.589.2-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.944.192.0+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.446.986.3-7.533%-
Last 10 (10)46.447.393.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.449.091.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.744.989.6-0.256%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.545.588.0-3.147%-
vs Weaker (6)45.246.391.5-1.250%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.3
51.1%
60.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.619.0
74.2%
78.2%19.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.521.7
62.9%
60.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.0
36.9%
35.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws24.819.5
78.6%
78.2%19.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
LWLWLWLLWL
Baskonia
WLLLLLLWWW
#16
League position
#18
+0.5
Net rating
-2.8
115.1
Offensive rating
124.0
114.5
Defensive rating
126.9
51.0%
Effective FG%
59.4%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
41.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.0%
3-point %
36.9%
62.1%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 124.0Defence114.5 · 126.9Shooting51.0% · 59.4%3-point %34.0% · 36.9%Ball care15.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds41.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Paris   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Paris wins
1
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Baskonia v Paris94-81
01/11/24Paris v Baskonia67-65
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HMonaco94-99
09/10/25HVirtus Bologna90-79
06/10/25ALe Mans89-95
03/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv101-94
01/10/25AFenerbahce77-96
27/09/25AGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
21/09/25ABoulazac80-96
20/09/25ALe Mans87-90
24/06/25HMonaco99-93
22/06/25AMonaco74-80
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HReal Madrid105-100
09/10/25HPanathinaikos84-86
05/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-107
03/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne95-102
30/09/25HOlympiacos96-102
06/06/25HReal Madrid103-112
03/06/25AReal Madrid76-82
30/05/25ALeyma Coruna105-101
24/05/25HBilbao100-97
18/05/25HBarcelona110-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game89.390.089.0
Allowed / game89.779.095.0
Point differential-0.3+11.0-6.0
Avg total179.0169.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game91.790.095.0
Allowed / game96.794.0102.0
Point differential-5.0-4.0-7.0
Avg total188.3184.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%87.580.8+6.8
2 Barcelona43175%97.593.0+4.5
3 Hapoel Tel-Aviv43175%95.091.0+4.0
4 Panathinaikos43175%90.087.8+2.2
5 Real Madrid32167%80.774.3+6.3
6 Paris32167%89.389.7-0.3
7 Partizan32167%83.084.7-1.7
8 Monaco42250%85.581.5+4.0
9 Olympiacos42250%85.883.5+2.2
10 Anadolu Efes42250%83.884.0-0.2
11 Valencia42250%94.594.8-0.2
12 Dubai42250%82.583.5-1.0
13 Crvena zvezda42250%86.087.2-1.2
14 Virtus Bologna42250%81.083.5-2.5
15 Bayern42250%77.581.5-4.0
16 Olimpia Milano41325%75.577.0-1.5
17 Fenerbahce41325%81.885.0-3.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne41325%84.087.8-3.8
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%86.592.0-5.5
20 Baskonia3030%91.796.7-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris30212826105
Baskonia2126241687
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