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Valencia vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 76-73
26-26 23-13 11-21 16-13
Position#3
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#9
Record8-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Crvena zvezda
10 Dec 2026
VAL v CZV
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
VAL76
CZV73
06 Dec 2023
VAL85
CZV81
06 Jan 2023
VAL75
CZV77
15 Jan 2021
VAL91
CZV71
16 Jan 2019
VAL92
CZV76
15 Dec 2017
VAL82
CZV86
05 Dec 2014
VAL68
CZV77
03 Mar 2009
VAL82
CZV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
103-100
103
100
+3
98avg 90
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
102-90
102
90
+12
105avg 90
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
80avg 90
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 90
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 90
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
77-86
77
86
-9
64avg 90
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
79-85
79
85
-6
60avg 90
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
80avg 90
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 90
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
96-79
96
79
+17
95avg 90
H16/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
30-30
31-26
18-26
27-24
17-20
28-16
30-30
27-13
24-22
25-21
18-23
23-20
15-21
22-23
20-14
32-21
23-14
16-22
29-25
17-18
18-20
23-23
19-25
17-28
19-15
17-21
26-21
22-21
23-17
22-22
22-16
14-15
35-22
22-30
15-23
25-28
17-15
24-15
30-21
175.1Avg total
90.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.188.9179.0+1.255%
Season at home (5)91.885.4177.2+6.480%
Season away (6)88.791.8180.5-3.233%
Last 10 (10)90.684.5175.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)85.483.2168.6+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.088.9174.9-2.930%
vs Weaker (19)97.183.9180.9+13.289%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 82
H23/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
94avg 82
H25/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
78avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
93avg 82
A30/10
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 82
A02/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-68
86
68
+18
86avg 82
H05/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 82
H08/11
ABA League
Dubai
#11
L
86-102
86
102
-16
79avg 82
A11/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
87avg 82
H13/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
86-87
86
87
-1
85avg 82
A17/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
32-15
18-14
23-18
28-15
26-21
17-19
21-17
18-8
23-15
17-25
33-26
25-22
19-23
22-21
22-22
25-19
18-20
15-24
20-12
26-20
21-8
19-28
19-24
22-17
33-17
21-21
21-29
26-22
18-18
21-33
23-25
19-21
23-18
26-15
16-23
28-25
22-17
20-22
168.8Avg total
88.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.782.0169.7+5.773%
Season at home (7)86.675.7162.3+10.986%
Season away (4)89.893.0182.8-3.250%
Last 10 (10)88.680.2168.8+8.470%
Last 5 (5)88.883.0171.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.085.8164.8-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.386.3173.6+1.054%
vs Weaker (11)89.579.4168.9+10.282%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
ValenciaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A23/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H26/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#4
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H02/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Granada
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H16/11
ACB
85.1Avg total
44.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.586.7+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.439.185.5+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)44.143.787.8+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.285.1+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.942.884.7-0.940%-
vs Weaker (19)47.140.787.8+6.368%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H25/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H28/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A30/10
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/11
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#7
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H05/11
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/11
ABA League
Dubai
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A11/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A17/11
ABA League
86.3Avg total
45.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.085.9+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.683.1+3.859%-
Last 30 away (13)44.445.289.5-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.886.3+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.687.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.043.882.8-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.843.889.6+2.154%-
vs Weaker (11)44.139.083.1+5.173%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.4
56.6%
60.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.8
36.4%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.6
74.6%
78.2%15.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.2
53.9%
60.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
35.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
78.2%19.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLLWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LWLWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#9
+8.5
Net rating
+12.0
116.8
Offensive rating
116.9
108.4
Defensive rating
104.9
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
36.4%
3-point %
36.6%
61.5%
Assist %
66.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 116.9Defence108.4 · 104.9Shooting55.6% · 54.3%3-point %36.4% · 36.6%Ball care17.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds33.9% · 36.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Crvena zvezda wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HTenerife96-79
13/11/25AParis86-90
11/11/25HReal Madrid89-76
09/11/25AGranada79-85
07/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas77-86
02/11/25HSan Pablo Burgos100-82
30/10/25HDubai80-78
28/10/25HFenerbahce94-79
26/10/25HJoventut Badalona102-90
23/10/25AOlimpia Milano103-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25ACedevita Olimpija86-87
13/11/25HMonaco91-79
11/11/25ADubai86-102
08/11/25HBuducnost95-79
05/11/25HPanathinaikos86-68
02/11/25ASpartak Subotica80-85
30/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-92
28/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne79-65
25/10/25HMega Basket94-73
23/10/25HBaskonia90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game90.191.888.7
Allowed / game88.985.491.8
Point differential+1.2+6.4-3.2
Avg total179.0177.2180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game87.786.689.8
Allowed / game82.075.793.0
Point differential+5.7+10.9-3.2
Avg total169.7162.3182.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv129375%92.184.8+7.2
2 Crvena zvezda118373%87.782.0+5.7
3 Olympiacos128467%86.981.0+5.9
4 Panathinaikos128467%89.386.8+2.6
5 Zalgiris Kaunas127558%87.581.3+6.2
6 Monaco127558%87.082.8+4.2
7 Fenerbahce127558%80.879.8+1.0
8 Barcelona127558%85.185.1+0.0
9 Valencia116555%90.188.9+1.2
10 Real Madrid126650%85.283.8+1.4
11 Olimpia Milano126650%83.183.1+0.0
12 Virtus Bologna126650%83.084.8-1.8
13 Paris125742%89.389.6-0.2
14 Dubai125742%85.988.0-2.1
15 Anadolu Efes125742%81.784.8-3.1
16 Bayern125742%77.982.5-4.6
17 Baskonia124833%87.190.7-3.6
18 Partizan124833%82.787.1-4.4
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv123925%89.194.2-5.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%75.685.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2623111676
Crvena zvezda2613211373
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