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Paris vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-99
15-24 30-31 27-22 22-22
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Monaco 🏆
France
Position#1
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game83.5
FranceLNBRound 3· Adidas Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Paris v Monaco
23 Jun 2026
PRS92
MCO101
17 Jun 2026
PRS90
MCO102
14 Jun 2026
PRS95
MCO91
15 Jan 2026
PRS87
MCO95
12 Oct 2025
PRS94
MCO99
24 Jun 2025
PRS99
MCO93
17 Jun 2025
PRS92
MCO67
15 Jun 2025
PRS94
MCO82
05 Mar 2025
PRS79
MCO91
08 Dec 2024
PRS111
MCO104
12 Jun 2024
PRS76
MCO115
09 Jun 2024
PRS59
MCO88
13 Jan 2024
PRS85
MCO92
16 Oct 2022
PRS91
MCO95
20 Mar 2022
PRS69
MCO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
86avg 91
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
89avg 91
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
99-93
99
93
+6
108avg 91
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
87-90
87
90
-3
102avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
67avg 91
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
109-66
109
66
+43
120avg 91
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
62avg 91
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
100avg 91
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
89avg 91
A06/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
75avg 91
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
22-21
15-30
18-18
16-20
27-20
13-15
18-25
29-21
25-29
19-31
26-12
23-28
17-24
25-22
22-16
28-24
26-16
16-30
10-26
29-19
28-14
26-17
26-16
19-25
21-18
19-27
18-26
27-20
21-21
26-22
27-31
25-32
20-14
23-14
21-35
24-24
25-16
23-20
18-19
175.4Avg total
88.4Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.080.5179.5+18.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)99.080.5179.5+18.550%
Last 10 (10)88.487.0175.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)93.286.0179.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.096.0176.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.585.0170.5+0.546%
vs Weaker (16)97.484.4181.8+13.181%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
W
81-78
81
78
+3
95avg 91
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
W
80-74
80
74
+6
94avg 91
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
101avg 91
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
95-70
95
70
+25
109avg 91
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
104-79
104
79
+25
117avg 91
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
85avg 91
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 91
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
103-81
103
81
+22
102avg 91
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
99-104
99
104
-5
88avg 91
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
82-79
82
79
+3
77avg 91
A09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
21-22
30-15
18-18
20-16
20-27
15-13
25-18
21-29
29-25
31-19
12-26
21-14
22-21
21-22
31-13
30-16
17-16
31-23
26-24
14-17
24-12
25-16
21-18
20-27
15-18
25-22
24-22
26-23
24-23
29-13
24-22
20-31
21-20
21-24
37-29
22-17
19-19
25-26
16-17
172.1Avg total
90.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.583.5175.0+8.050%
Season at home (1)99.0104.0203.0-5.00%
Season away (1)84.063.0147.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.581.6172.1+8.970%
Last 5 (5)90.483.2173.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)83.083.1166.1-0.157%
vs Weaker (7)89.172.3161.4+16.971%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
ParisMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A20/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A22/06
LNB
Monaco
#2
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H24/06
LNB
Le Mans
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Boulazac
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A21/09
LNB Super Cup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A27/09
LNB
Fenerbahce
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A03/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A06/10
LNB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/10
Euroleague
89.3Avg total
47.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.042.890.8+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.642.192.7+8.471%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.489.1+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.541.889.3+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.688.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.040.094.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.242.887.1+1.462%-
vs Weaker (16)50.742.993.6+7.862%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/06
LNB
Paris
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A24/06
LNB
Boulazac
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A20/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Mans
#3
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/09
LNB Super Cup
Le Portel
#16
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A28/09
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H03/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/10
Euroleague
83.4Avg total
41.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.879.5-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.540.581.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.838.977.7-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.683.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)39.541.480.9-2.048%-
vs Weaker (7)40.434.374.7+6.171%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.2
48.0%
54.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.9
35.3%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws26.419.7
74.6%
75.1%19.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
54.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws25.218.6
73.8%
75.1%18.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLWLWLLWLL
Monaco
WLWLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#1
+0.3
Net rating
+13.0
114.7
Offensive rating
125.5
114.4
Defensive rating
112.6
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
11.0%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
33.5%
61.9%
Assist %
69.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 125.5Defence114.4 · 112.6Shooting50.3% · 54.7%3-point %35.3% · 33.5%Ball care14.5% · 11.0%Off. rebounds38.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Paris wins
5
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
24/06/25Paris v Monaco99-93
22/06/25Monaco v Paris80-74
20/06/25Monaco v Paris81-78
17/06/25Paris v Monaco92-67
15/06/25Paris v Monaco94-82
09/03/25Monaco v Paris94-63
05/03/25Paris v Monaco79-91
08/12/24Paris v Monaco111-104 OT
24/10/24Monaco v Paris80-87
12/06/24Paris v Monaco76-115
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HVirtus Bologna90-79
06/10/25ALe Mans89-95
03/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv101-94
01/10/25AFenerbahce77-96
27/09/25AGravelines-Dunkerque109-66
21/09/25ABoulazac80-96
20/09/25ALe Mans87-90
24/06/25HMonaco99-93
22/06/25AMonaco74-80
20/06/25AMonaco78-81
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AOlimpia Milano82-79
05/10/25HChalon/Saone99-104
03/10/25HDubai103-81
01/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas84-89
28/09/25ALe Portel84-63
21/09/25HLe Mans104-79
20/09/25ABoulazac95-70
24/06/25AParis93-99
22/06/25HParis80-74
20/06/25HParis81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game99.0-99.0
Allowed / game80.5-80.5
Point differential+18.5-+18.5
Avg total179.5-179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Monaco
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game91.599.084.0
Allowed / game83.5104.063.0
Point differential+8.0-5.0+21.0
Avg total175.0203.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%95.771.0+24.7
2 Nanterre330100%92.782.0+10.7
3 JL Bourg32167%93.785.0+8.7
4 Cholet32167%82.777.0+5.7
5 Limoges32167%88.383.7+4.7
6 Chalon/Saone32167%88.789.0-0.3
7 Strasbourg32167%80.382.7-2.3
8 Le Mans32167%84.089.7-5.7
9 Paris21150%99.080.5+18.5
10 Monaco21150%91.583.5+8.0
11 Dijon31233%80.378.3+2.0
12 Boulazac31233%80.085.0-5.0
13 Nancy31233%79.389.3-10.0
14 Saint Quentin3030%78.086.3-8.3
15 Le Portel3030%72.391.0-18.7
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque3030%75.399.0-23.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris1530272294
Monaco2431222299
← all games of the day
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