PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Paris vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 87-95
23-27 20-25 21-24 23-19
Position#16
Record7-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game92.2
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#10
Record14-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22
European cup2025
Meetings · Paris v Monaco
23 Jun 2026
PRS92
MCO101
17 Jun 2026
PRS90
MCO102
14 Jun 2026
PRS95
MCO91
15 Jan 2026
PRS87
MCO95
12 Oct 2025
PRS94
MCO99
24 Jun 2025
PRS99
MCO93
17 Jun 2025
PRS92
MCO67
15 Jun 2025
PRS94
MCO82
05 Mar 2025
PRS79
MCO91
08 Dec 2024
PRS111
MCO104
12 Jun 2024
PRS76
MCO115
09 Jun 2024
PRS59
MCO88
13 Jan 2024
PRS85
MCO92
16 Oct 2022
PRS91
MCO95
20 Mar 2022
PRS69
MCO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Nancy
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 91
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
69-85
69
85
-16
56avg 91
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 91
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
107-84
107
84
+23
110avg 91
H21/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
102-92
102
92
+10
95avg 91
H23/12
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
77avg 91
A26/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
89-94
89
94
-5
84avg 91
A30/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 91
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
W
98-93 OT
98
93
+5
87avg 91
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
96-67
96
67
+29
88avg 91
H13/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
15-25
24-31
25-19
13-30
16-22
23-16
17-17
21-24
29-25
24-21
16-25
29-23
26-25
24-15
28-21
28-18
23-28
28-12
23-34
17-20
24-27
19-23
23-29
23-20
23-21
18-20
25-33
19-21
21-18
25-25
19-15
14-28
18-24
25-11
24-18
21-18
25-16
22-13
28-20
179.3Avg total
90.8Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.292.2182.4-2.035%
Season at home (10)90.690.3180.9+0.340%
Season away (10)89.894.0183.8-4.230%
Last 10 (10)90.888.5179.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.086.4176.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.896.8189.5-4.025%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.691.8180.5-3.227%
vs Weaker (14)98.483.3181.6+15.179%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
73-85
73
85
-12
56avg 91
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
103-77
103
77
+26
109avg 91
H19/12
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
91avg 91
H21/12
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
95-72
95
72
+23
100avg 91
A23/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
100-95
100
95
+5
92avg 91
H26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
85avg 91
A30/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
101-84
101
84
+17
101avg 91
H06/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 91
A08/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 91
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
101-82
101
82
+19
97avg 91
H13/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
20-26
21-19
18-23
18-17
29-22
35-16
21-22
27-18
16-21
18-19
13-16
35-14
23-20
20-19
17-19
21-20
26-23
23-27
30-25
22-13
25-17
22-23
21-21
28-21
26-18
20-24
27-21
26-28
27-14
23-28
25-22
23-17
19-24
27-17
24-21
26-19
26-25
24-24
25-14
180.0Avg total
96.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)91.784.0175.6+7.767%
Season at home (10)98.685.6184.2+13.080%
Season away (11)85.482.5167.8+2.955%
Last 10 (10)96.283.8180.0+12.490%
Last 5 (5)97.282.2179.4+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)95.891.4187.1+4.471%
vs Weaker (14)92.477.2169.6+15.186%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
ParisMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H21/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#4
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A11/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
LNB
88.6Avg total
43.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.792.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.446.893.2-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)44.946.791.5-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.588.6-2.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.051.099.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.548.389.8-6.727%-
vs Weaker (14)47.343.090.3+4.371%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#18
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H19/12
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H21/12
LNB
Cholet
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A23/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A30/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/01
LNB
87.1Avg total
47.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.340.587.9+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.942.193.0+8.993%-
Last 30 away (15)43.739.082.7+4.760%-
Last 10 (10)47.739.487.1+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)49.639.288.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.942.890.7+5.179%-
vs Weaker (14)46.237.283.4+9.079%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.0
50.8%
60.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.612.0
35.7%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.6
80.0%
78.2%17.6
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.2
56.2%
60.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.510.1
41.2%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.019.1
83.0%
78.2%19.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWLLWWLLL
Monaco
WWWWWWWWWL
#16
League position
#10
+1.6
Net rating
+15.9
107.9
Offensive rating
118.8
106.3
Defensive rating
102.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
58.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
14.7%
36.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
41.2%
61.0%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 118.8Defence106.3 · 102.9Shooting52.2% · 58.3%3-point %35.7% · 41.2%Ball care18.5% · 14.7%Off. rebounds36.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Paris   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paris wins
7
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
04/12/25Monaco v Paris125-104
02/12/25Monaco v Paris109-103
12/10/25Paris v Monaco94-99
24/06/25Paris v Monaco99-93
22/06/25Monaco v Paris80-74
20/06/25Monaco v Paris81-78
17/06/25Paris v Monaco92-67
15/06/25Paris v Monaco94-82
09/03/25Monaco v Paris94-63
05/03/25Paris v Monaco79-91
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HStrasbourg96-67
11/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-93 OT
07/01/26AAnadolu Efes84-79
30/12/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-94
26/12/25ANanterre83-99
23/12/25HCrvena zvezda102-92
21/12/25HCholet107-84
18/12/25AReal Madrid90-95
16/12/25HBarcelona69-85
13/12/25ANancy90-97
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-82
10/01/26ANancy93-79
08/01/26AValencia101-92
06/01/26HPartizan101-84
30/12/25ABarcelona90-74
26/12/25HReal Madrid100-95
23/12/25ACholet95-72
21/12/25HNanterre105-98 OT
19/12/25HBayern103-77
17/12/25ABaskonia73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game90.290.689.8
Allowed / game92.290.394.0
Point differential-1.9+0.3-4.2
Avg total182.3180.9183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%80%55%
Points / game91.798.685.4
Allowed / game84.085.682.5
Point differential+7.7+13.0+2.9
Avg total175.6184.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2014670%87.982.2+5.8
2 Monaco2114767%91.784.0+7.7
3 Valencia2114767%90.385.6+4.7
4 Barcelona2114767%87.784.3+3.3
5 Fenerbahce2013765%82.079.8+2.2
6 Olympiacos2113862%89.083.5+5.5
7 Real Madrid2113862%87.184.2+2.9
8 Panathinaikos2213959%87.085.0+2.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas22121055%87.882.2+5.6
10 Crvena zvezda22121055%86.084.9+1.1
11 Olimpia Milano22111150%85.585.4+0.1
12 Virtus Bologna22111150%82.482.5-0.1
13 Dubai22101245%85.487.7-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2291341%89.492.2-2.8
15 Baskonia2281436%87.590.5-3.0
16 Bayern2281436%79.684.3-4.7
17 Paris2071335%90.292.2-1.9
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne2161529%78.586.7-8.2
19 Anadolu Efes2261627%79.985.8-5.9
20 Partizan2261627%79.590.1-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2320212387
Monaco2725241995
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.