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Paris vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 23 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#19
Record1-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game89.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Adidas Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Paris v Olimpia Milano
23 Mar 2027
PRS v MIL
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
PRS103
MIL93
18 Mar 2025
PRS92
MIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#11
W
97-82
97
82
+15
no box
A14/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
24-17
23-22
34-25
16-18
193.3Avg total
100.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.094.1185.1-3.145%
Season at home (6)92.596.2188.7-3.733%
Season away (5)89.291.6180.8-2.460%
Last 10 (10)100.393.0193.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)100.090.4190.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.394.0180.3-7.733%
vs Similar (11)95.696.1191.7-0.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.082.5176.5+11.585%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 83
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 83
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 83
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
173.4Avg total
86.2Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.389.3170.5-8.09%
Season at home (6)85.090.5175.5-5.517%
Season away (5)76.887.8164.6-11.00%
Last 10 (10)86.287.2173.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)83.484.4167.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (16)88.679.8168.4+8.975%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
ParisOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#9
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#13
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/11
LNB
92.5Avg total
47.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.345.290.5+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)47.744.892.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.441.488.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.045.087.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (11)45.248.493.5-3.227%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.942.689.5+4.354%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
88.7Avg total
44.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.587.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.184.3-2.029%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.988.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.890.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker (16)47.241.188.4+6.169%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
35.7%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
77.1%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
55.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
77.1%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WWWWLWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWLLLLWL
#14
League position
#19
+4.0
Net rating
-1.4
103.4
Offensive rating
100.0
99.4
Defensive rating
101.4
57.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
36.0%
59.2%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 100.0Defence99.4 · 101.4Shooting57.9% · 55.5%3-point %36.7% · 36.0%Ball care14.7% · 16.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Paris   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Paris wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26Paris v Olimpia Milano103-93
30/10/25Olimpia Milano v Paris86-77
18/03/25Paris v Olimpia Milano92-79
11/10/24Olimpia Milano v Paris79-74
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALimoges97-82
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%33%60%
Points / game91.092.589.2
Allowed / game94.196.291.6
Point differential-3.1-3.7-2.4
Avg total185.1188.7180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %9%17%0%
Points / game81.385.076.8
Allowed / game89.390.587.8
Point differential-8.0-5.5-11.0
Avg total170.5175.5164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos118373%86.478.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos118373%88.580.7+7.7
3 Valencia118373%96.488.9+7.5
4 Barcelona118373%89.687.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid117464%98.590.1+8.4
6 Crvena zvezda117464%83.377.7+5.5
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%85.682.4+3.3
9 Dubai117464%86.585.6+0.9
10 Hapoel Tel-Aviv116555%90.487.2+3.2
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Anadolu Efes115645%85.987.5-1.5
13 Besiktas115645%88.490.9-2.5
14 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne114736%88.593.2-4.6
16 Virtus Bologna114736%86.190.7-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%84.392.1-7.8
18 Bayern113827%86.895.2-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano111109%81.389.3-8.0
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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