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Paris vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-79
22-18 26-19 28-30 16-12
Position#9
Record16-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game85.0
Paris 🏆
vs
Olimpia Milano
Position#11
Record16-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Adidas Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Paris v Olimpia Milano
23 Mar 2027
PRS v MIL
upcoming
02 Apr 2026
PRS103
MIL93
18 Mar 2025
PRS92
MIL79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
W
111-96
111
96
+15
122avg 89
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
93-78
93
78
+15
96avg 89
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 89
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
93-88
93
88
+5
81avg 89
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
89avg 89
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 89
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
67avg 89
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
63-94
63
94
-31
66avg 89
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-83
81
83
-2
72avg 89
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 89
H15/03
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
25-34
38-16
24-16
21-22
25-19
25-16
22-21
17-21
32-16
18-31
19-24
23-15
24-23
24-30
22-20
20-19
25-29
20-25
21-15
26-16
19-21
15-26
23-24
22-24
17-20
14-27
26-20
19-23
19-21
13-22
12-28
22-14
25-17
14-29
20-23
32-24
19-22
25-13
23-32
176.2Avg total
87.4Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.285.0170.2+0.255%
Season at home (15)82.282.8165.0-0.660%
Season away (14)88.487.3175.7+1.150%
Last 10 (10)87.488.8176.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)81.089.2170.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.390.7176.9-4.433%
vs Weaker (13)92.183.5175.6+8.577%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 80
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
84avg 80
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 80
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
78avg 80
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-18
19-11
17-21
20-18
27-15
24-20
20-24
16-16
18-17
17-19
23-17
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
23-29
20-24
19-15
28-12
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
159.5Avg total
79.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.185.6170.7-0.555%
Season at home (15)86.783.5170.2+3.160%
Season away (14)83.487.8171.2-4.450%
Last 10 (10)79.979.6159.5+0.370%
Last 5 (5)81.483.8165.2-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.689.0167.6-10.438%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.280.0162.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (8)98.984.1183.0+14.888%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
ParisOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
49-64
49
64
-15
H09/02
LNB
Dijon
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/02
French Cup
Saint Quentin
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/02
Leaders Cup
Bayern
#7
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H27/02
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/03
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H03/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H15/03
French Cup
88.6Avg total
45.6Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.844.489.2+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.144.488.5-0.339%-
Last 30 away (12)45.844.390.2+1.542%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.088.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.484.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.048.079.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.244.488.6-0.233%-
vs Weaker (13)46.244.690.8+1.646%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H09/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
82.0Avg total
40.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.386.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.544.488.9+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)41.642.584.2-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.782.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.286.2-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.446.584.9-8.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.540.481.8+1.154%-
vs Weaker (8)49.246.295.5+3.075%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.1
55.2%
54.5%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.0
36.4%
36.2%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.8
78.5%
78.0%16.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.8
51.1%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.3
30.3%
36.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.819.6
82.4%
78.0%19.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paris
WLLLLLWLWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWLWWW
#9
League position
#11
-0.5
Net rating
+0.4
118.7
Offensive rating
110.2
119.3
Defensive rating
109.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
48.9%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.4%
3-point %
30.3%
53.8%
Assist %
48.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 110.2Defence119.3 · 109.8Shooting54.9% · 48.9%3-point %36.4% · 30.3%Ball care15.4% · 14.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 28.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Paris   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Paris wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
11/10/24Olimpia Milano v Paris79-74
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HJL Bourg99-91
13/03/25AZalgiris Kaunas81-83
09/03/25AMonaco63-94
05/03/25HMonaco79-91
03/03/25HFenerbahce83-87
01/03/25HSaint Quentin86-88
27/02/25HBayern93-88
14/02/25HSaint Quentin86-92
11/02/25HDijon93-78
09/02/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-96
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
09/03/25HTreviso90-80
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
15/02/25ABrescia74-69
12/02/25AVirtus Bologna91-77
08/02/25ASassari78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paris
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game85.282.288.4
Allowed / game85.082.887.3
Point differential+0.2-0.6+1.1
Avg total170.2165.0175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)75% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game85.186.783.4
Allowed / game85.683.587.8
Point differential-0.5+3.1-4.4
Avg total170.7170.2171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2922776%87.481.2+6.2
2 Fenerbahce2920969%82.880.4+2.3
3 Panathinaikos29181162%86.882.7+4.2
4 Monaco29171259%86.583.0+3.5
5 Bayern29171259%86.886.7+0.1
6 Barcelona29161355%87.684.4+3.2
7 Crvena zvezda29161355%81.880.9+0.9
8 Paris29161355%85.285.0+0.2
9 Olimpia Milano29161355%85.185.6-0.5
10 Partizan29151452%82.879.5+3.3
11 Anadolu Efes29151452%85.882.6+3.2
12 Real Madrid29151452%84.282.4+1.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas29141548%77.678.1-0.6
14 Baskonia29121741%80.882.6-1.8
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne29111838%81.385.4-4.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv2992031%85.489.9-4.4
17 Virtus Bologna2972224%78.984.7-5.8
18 Alba Berlin2952417%79.491.3-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paris2226281692
Olimpia Milano1819301279
← all games of the day
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