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Keila KK vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 68-98
21-29 11-24 19-17 17-28
Position#14
Record1-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game91.8
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#11
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Keila KK v Parnu
09 Jan 2027
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KEIL70
PAR97
28 Dec 2024
KEIL68
PAR98
01 May 2024
KEIL80
PAR79
26 Apr 2024
KEIL93
PAR69
26 Jan 2024
KEIL88
PAR93
07 Oct 2022
KEIL90
PAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 63
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 63
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
71-94
71
94
-23
54avg 63
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
60avg 63
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 63
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
68-77
68
77
-9
61avg 63
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
76avg 63
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
42-89
42
89
-47
31avg 63
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-77
85
77
+8
83avg 63
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
48-122
48
122
-74
27avg 63
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
21-26
18-21
12-19
17-24
15-15
20-24
20-20
26-27
13-13
12-27
20-27
27-25
17-17
13-25
21-23
12-27
23-17
30-21
17-18
23-23
8-18
16-16
21-20
23-14
19-20
25-25
18-30
12-15
9-28
13-27
8-19
17-17
22-22
20-10
26-28
10-35
21-36
12-22
5-29
157.8Avg total
69.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.691.8163.4-20.28%
Season at home (6)70.887.2158.0-16.317%
Season away (7)72.395.7168.0-23.40%
Last 10 (10)69.788.1157.8-18.410%
Last 5 (5)65.690.8156.4-25.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.092.9164.9-20.90%
vs Similar (10)78.578.3156.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (2)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 69
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 69
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 69
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 69
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
78-80
78
80
-2
75avg 69
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
94-71
94
71
+23
92avg 69
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
87avg 69
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
58avg 69
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
51-87
51
87
-36
36avg 69
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
72-87
72
87
-15
58avg 69
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
19-23
28-21
22-17
18-15
19-21
8-14
29-23
18-22
20-21
22-25
23-27
26-21
22-17
19-17
24-24
13-22
21-20
22-18
30-24
21-9
13-28
24-17
26-27
22-13
11-22
19-19
10-13
22-21
11-25
11-20
14-17
15-25
15-16
17-18
27-23
13-30
158.8Avg total
76.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.780.8158.5-3.129%
Season at home (8)72.278.9151.1-6.625%
Season away (6)85.083.3168.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)76.082.8158.8-6.820%
Last 5 (5)74.283.0157.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.881.5155.2-7.820%
vs Similar (3)86.772.7159.3+14.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)68.370.4138.7-2.129%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
Keila KKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-71
31
71
-40
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
78.0Avg total
35.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.543.479.9-6.823%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.180.6-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)33.645.679.2-12.013%-
Last 10 (10)35.043.078.0-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)32.845.678.4-12.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.847.783.5-11.911%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.173.2-1.030%-
vs Weaker (2)45.535.581.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H18/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
75.7Avg total
35.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.438.873.2-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.136.769.8-3.631%-
Last 30 away (14)35.941.277.1-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)35.340.475.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.673.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.642.077.6-6.420%-
vs Similar (3)35.033.368.3+1.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)30.732.062.7-1.343%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.3
48.5%
51.9%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.58.4
26.7%
32.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.110.9
63.7%
70.6%10.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.4
49.7%
51.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
32.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.0
68.5%
70.6%15.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LWLLLLLLLL
Parnu
LLLLWLLLWL
#14
League position
#11
-23.3
Net rating
-9.0
85.1
Offensive rating
101.7
108.3
Defensive rating
110.7
44.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
21.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.7%
3-point %
34.0%
63.6%
Assist %
66.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 101.7Defence108.3 · 110.7Shooting44.4% · 50.2%3-point %26.7% · 34.0%Ball care21.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds21.3% · 26.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Keila KK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keila KK wins
7
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
02/05/24Parnu v Keila KK87-67
01/05/24Keila KK v Parnu80-79 OT
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
07/10/22Keila KK v Parnu90-92
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABC Kalev/Cramo48-122
14/12/24HViimsi85-77
10/12/24HRigas Zelli42-89
03/12/24ATartu Ulikool85-89
30/11/24ALatvijas Universitate68-77
16/11/24ABK Liepaja82-83
09/11/24HVEF Riga78-90
02/11/24HValmiera Glass Via71-94
23/10/24AKeila Coolbet72-83
19/10/24HTal Tech66-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HKeila Coolbet72-87
18/12/24HRigas Zelli51-87
14/12/24HBC Kalev/Cramo62-75
10/12/24AVentspils92-95 OT
07/12/24ATal Tech94-71
03/12/24HRapla78-80
30/11/24ATartu Ulikool91-94
28/11/24HViimsi74-80
17/11/24ABK Ogre87-76
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL8%
HomeLLLLW17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game71.670.872.3
Allowed / game91.887.295.7
Point differential-20.2-16.3-23.4
Avg total163.4158.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game77.772.285.0
Allowed / game80.878.983.3
Point differential-3.1-6.6+1.7
Avg total158.5151.1168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1614288%81.867.8+14.0
2 Rigas Zelli1714382%84.569.2+15.3
3 BC Kalev/Cramo129375%87.772.2+15.4
4 Tartu Ulikool1410471%83.578.6+4.9
5 Valmiera Glass Via1711665%81.775.4+6.3
6 BK Ogre159660%80.176.7+3.4
7 Keila Coolbet137654%79.582.2-2.6
8 BK Liepaja158753%79.979.1+0.7
9 Rapla157847%78.882.2-3.4
10 Ventspils146843%89.188.9+0.2
11 Tal Tech1771041%76.784.3-7.6
12 Parnu1441029%77.780.8-3.1
13 Viimsi1641225%72.883.7-10.9
14 Keila KK131128%71.691.8-20.2
15 Latvijas Universitate161156%70.684.1-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK2111191768
Parnu2924172898
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