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Keila KK vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-93
35-26 16-25 16-27 21-15
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v Parnu
09 Jan 2027
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KEIL70
PAR97
28 Dec 2024
KEIL68
PAR98
01 May 2024
KEIL80
PAR79
26 Apr 2024
KEIL93
PAR69
26 Jan 2024
KEIL88
PAR93
07 Oct 2022
KEIL90
PAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 68
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 68
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 68
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 68
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 68
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 68
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
71avg 68
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
72avg 68
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 68
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 68
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
17-21
22-30
19-18
17-17
20-20
29-20
20-18
24-15
23-28
15-15
25-21
19-16
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
20-38
29-27
21-32
17-19
21-19
20-19
22-23
17-19
24-25
20-19
20-21
30-21
17-18
15-22
20-24
19-14
169.8Avg total
81.7Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.085.6165.6-5.738%
Season at home (10)80.285.3165.5-5.140%
Season away (11)79.785.9165.6-6.236%
Last 10 (10)81.788.1169.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)84.496.4180.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.787.8161.4-14.010%
vs Similar (4)86.887.8174.5-1.050%
vs Weaker (6)93.079.8172.8+13.2100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 68
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 68
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 68
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 68
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 68
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
56avg 68
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
116avg 68
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
65avg 68
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
66-61
66
61
+5
68avg 68
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
87-76
87
76
+11
86avg 68
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
17-20
15-16
7-17
26-22
15-29
20-24
33-18
10-17
18-21
22-15
22-29
22-26
13-30
21-22
15-18
23-23
31-12
22-17
30-21
21-13
21-22
19-29
14-14
24-23
11-12
18-11
19-21
18-17
19-12
25-21
17-25
26-18
159.2Avg total
79.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.277.4153.6-1.242%
Season at home (9)74.974.6149.4+0.344%
Season away (10)77.480.0157.4-2.640%
Last 10 (10)79.280.0159.2-0.830%
Last 5 (5)81.476.2157.6+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.484.6156.0-13.10%
vs Similar (15)76.679.3155.9-2.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.065.7148.7+17.383%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Keila KKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
85.0Avg total
39.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.882.0-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.542.881.4-4.338%-
Last 30 away (17)39.842.782.5-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.285.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.489.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)36.543.079.5-6.530%-
vs Similar (4)41.545.887.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (6)47.040.287.2+6.867%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
78.7Avg total
39.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.375.3-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.939.276.1-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)37.137.674.6-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.039.778.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.677.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.740.676.2-4.944%-
vs Similar (15)36.139.175.2-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.233.274.3+8.083%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.1
47.3%
50.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.818.6
72.1%
70.5%18.6
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.3
52.5%
50.5%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.2
33.1%
32.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.513.3
64.9%
70.5%13.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LWLLLLWWLL
Parnu
WWLWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#8
-9.5
Net rating
-0.9
101.2
Offensive rating
101.6
110.7
Defensive rating
102.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
33.1%
62.4%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 101.6Defence110.7 · 102.5Shooting47.4% · 51.3%3-point %31.7% · 33.1%Ball care17.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 22.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Keila KK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
3
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
07/10/22Keila KK v Parnu90-92
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24HRigas Zelli71-78
20/01/24ARapla94-86
17/01/24AZielona Gora91-95 OT
12/01/24AVentspils87-116
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83
22/12/23HViimsi82-80
18/12/23ABrno93-73
15/12/23HRapla75-86
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AViimsi87-76
17/01/24HRapla66-61
13/01/24HVEF Riga78-88
23/12/23HTallinna Kalev104-63
20/12/23ABK Ogre72-93
19/12/23AVentspils84-91
16/12/23ATartu Ulikool78-88
07/12/23ABK Liepaja65-75
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLLWL40%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game80.080.279.7
Allowed / game85.685.385.9
Point differential-5.7-5.1-6.2
Avg total165.6165.5165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%10%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW42%
HomeLLWLW44%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game76.274.977.4
Allowed / game77.474.680.0
Point differential-1.2+0.3-2.6
Avg total153.6149.4157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2120195%87.469.3+18.1
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2116576%86.370.5+15.8
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Ventspils1913668%92.685.3+7.3
6 Rigas Zelli2215768%80.372.1+8.1
7 BK Ogre2011955%79.076.6+2.4
8 Tal Tech20101050%78.279.2-1.1
9 BK Liepaja1991047%79.180.3-1.3
10 Parnu1981142%76.277.4-1.2
11 Keila KK2181338%80.085.6-5.7
12 Rapla2171433%74.078.0-4.0
13 Viimsi2251723%66.984.9-18.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1941521%74.585.3-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
16 Tallinna Kalev1921711%67.089.4-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK3516162188
Parnu2625271593
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