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Parnu vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-61
11-12 18-11 19-21 18-17
Position#8
Record6-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game78.5
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record7-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)
Other2023
Meetings · Parnu v Rapla
26 Apr 2025
PAR92
RAPL82
19 Apr 2025
PAR82
RAPL75
03 Dec 2024
PAR78
RAPL80
23 May 2024
PAR65
RAPL68
17 May 2024
PAR59
RAPL68
17 Jan 2024
PAR66
RAPL61
25 Apr 2023
PAR58
RAPL75
17 Apr 2023
PAR83
RAPL71
26 Nov 2022
PAR66
RAPL81
02 May 2022
PAR97
RAPL81
27 Apr 2022
PAR75
RAPL64
18 Apr 2022
PAR79
RAPL72
04 Dec 2021
PAR78
RAPL83
04 May 2021
PAR67
RAPL60
29 Apr 2021
PAR76
RAPL69
06 Apr 2021
PAR v RAPL
upcoming
10 Jan 2021
PAR78
RAPL58
11 Nov 2020
PAR83
RAPL69
20 Apr 2019
PAR88
RAPL76
14 Apr 2019
PAR82
RAPL57
08 Dec 2018
PAR62
RAPL73
22 May 2018
PAR75
RAPL79
16 May 2018
PAR73
RAPL67
10 Feb 2018
PAR70
RAPL75
18 Oct 2017
PAR73
RAPL78
28 Feb 2017
PAR64
RAPL49
24 Jan 2017
PAR65
RAPL59
06 Dec 2016
PAR65
RAPL71
04 Mar 2016
PAR68
RAPL69
17 Jan 2016
PAR79
RAPL80
31 Oct 2015
PAR65
RAPL86
07 Feb 2015
PAR68
RAPL76
05 Oct 2014
PAR77
RAPL75
09 Feb 2014
PAR74
RAPL47
02 Oct 2013
PAR78
RAPL72
30 Mar 2013
PAR61
RAPL63
31 Oct 2012
PAR64
RAPL70
10 Mar 2012
PAR72
RAPL87
16 Nov 2011
PAR61
RAPL68
12 Feb 2011
PAR74
RAPL88
06 Nov 2010
PAR72
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
75avg 67
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
49-80
49
80
-31
35avg 67
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 67
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 67
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 67
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 67
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 67
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
72-93
72
93
-21
56avg 67
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
116avg 67
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
65avg 67
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
15-24
19-16
13-17
16-17
8-20
8-20
17-23
29-19
16-20
15-25
21-21
19-29
19-16
26-18
13-17
17-20
15-16
7-17
26-22
15-29
20-24
33-18
10-17
18-21
22-15
22-29
22-26
13-30
21-22
15-18
23-23
31-12
22-17
30-21
21-13
21-22
19-29
14-14
24-23
160.1Avg total
77.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.278.5154.6-2.335%
Season at home (8)76.076.2152.2-0.238%
Season away (9)76.380.4156.8-4.133%
Last 10 (10)77.782.4160.1-4.720%
Last 5 (5)83.284.6167.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.484.6156.0-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.078.1155.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (5)82.263.6145.8+18.680%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
L
65-72
65
72
-7
56avg 67
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 67
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 67
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 67
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 67
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 67
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 67
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 67
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-19
12-16
10-16
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
154.5Avg total
75.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.177.5152.6-2.439%
Season at home (8)74.477.2151.6-2.938%
Season away (10)75.777.7153.4-2.040%
Last 10 (10)75.778.8154.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)76.075.6151.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.481.7153.1-10.320%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.979.3156.2-2.440%
vs Weaker (10)82.067.9149.9+14.180%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
ParnuRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H18/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A25/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H02/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A19/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
80.0Avg total
38.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.575.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.540.578.0-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)37.136.974.1+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.880.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.284.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.740.676.2-4.944%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.238.976.1-1.838%-
vs Weaker (5)40.633.273.8+7.480%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
78.3Avg total
36.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.376.9-3.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.942.477.3-7.421%-
Last 30 away (16)38.038.576.5-0.556%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.578.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.878.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.743.073.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.541.980.4-3.440%-
vs Weaker (10)40.536.076.5+4.580%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.6
49.0%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.0
32.8%
32.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.413.5
66.2%
70.5%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.5
50.4%
50.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
32.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.210.7
66.0%
70.5%10.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLLLLLLLW
Rapla
WWWLLWLLLL
#8
League position
#10
-6.3
Net rating
-4.3
99.0
Offensive rating
98.0
105.3
Defensive rating
102.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.8%
3-point %
30.0%
65.6%
Assist %
65.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 98.0Defence105.3 · 102.3Shooting49.1% · 48.5%3-point %32.8% · 30.0%Ball care17.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds23.6% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Parnu   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Parnu wins
3
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Rapla v Parnu81-89 OT
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
13/04/23Rapla v Parnu95-93 OT
24/01/23Rapla v Parnu73-76
26/11/22Parnu v Rapla66-81
04/05/22Rapla v Parnu76-86
02/05/22Parnu v Rapla97-81
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HVEF Riga78-88
23/12/23HTallinna Kalev104-63
20/12/23ABK Ogre72-93
19/12/23AVentspils84-91
16/12/23ATartu Ulikool78-88
07/12/23ABK Liepaja65-75
02/12/23HVentspils77-80
25/11/23ARigas Zelli81-85
18/11/23HPrometey49-80
11/11/23ARapla89-81 OT
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
02/11/23ABK Liepaja65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game76.276.076.3
Allowed / game78.576.280.4
Point differential-2.3-0.2-4.1
Avg total154.6152.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW39%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game75.174.475.7
Allowed / game77.577.277.7
Point differential-2.4-2.9-2.0
Avg total152.6151.6153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%12%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %17%12%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo1918195%86.569.2+17.4
2 Prometey1816289%91.668.0+23.6
3 VEF Riga2015575%86.070.8+15.2
4 Ventspils1712571%93.084.8+8.2
5 Rigas Zelli2114767%80.472.2+8.2
6 Tartu Ulikool1812667%77.872.7+5.2
7 Tal Tech1910953%78.678.1+0.5
8 BK Ogre189950%79.277.8+1.4
9 BK Liepaja189950%79.679.8-0.2
10 Rapla1871139%75.177.5-2.4
11 Keila KK1971237%79.786.0-6.3
12 Parnu1761135%76.278.5-2.3
13 Viimsi2051525%68.685.2-16.6
14 Valmiera Glass Via1841422%75.085.8-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2031715%67.886.2-18.4
16 Tallinna Kalev1821611%67.189.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1118191866
Rapla1211211761
← all games of the day
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