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Parnu vs Spojnia Stargard Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-89
19-22 15-29 20-16 18-22
Position#35
Record0-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game69.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Parnu Spordihall
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
72avg 69
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
56avg 69
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
59-68
59
68
-9
48avg 69
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
65-55
65
55
+10
59avg 69
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
58avg 69
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
66-82
66
82
-16
53avg 69
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
65-67
65
67
-2
54avg 69
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
77-53
77
53
+24
72avg 69
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
72-84
72
84
-12
65avg 69
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
70avg 69
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
25-15
12-21
17-18
11-16
23-23
11-22
18-10
12-12
23-22
19-19
5-15
16-21
17-10
13-7
19-17
12-8
8-21
26-21
19-18
18-28
12-15
21-26
15-13
17-25
17-15
19-15
12-12
22-8
16-10
28-10
11-25
13-23
23-16
16-21
20-24
20-19
17-31
33-22
11-19
140.5Avg total
69.1Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.575.5144.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)72.084.0156.0-12.00%
Season away (1)65.067.0132.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)69.171.4140.5-2.330%
Last 5 (5)72.275.4147.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.779.9153.6-6.223%
vs Similar (8)77.874.4152.1+3.462%
vs Weaker (9)72.968.1141.0+4.856%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
L
86-104
86
104
-18
73avg 73
A18/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
60avg 73
A20/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
75-88
75
88
-13
67avg 73
H23/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 73
H01/06
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
67avg 73
A04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
66avg 73
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 73
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
78-83
78
83
-5
64avg 73
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Arges Pitesti
#19
W
65-62
65
62
+3
59avg 73
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 73
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-33
27-24
20-24
18-15
10-23
22-24
22-16
18-23
10-20
23-17
24-28
23-25
20-17
19-21
21-25
22-25
25-24
19-14
19-24
18-22
21-12
21-23
19-14
16-20
28-16
10-22
21-19
24-20
20-24
22-18
12-21
19-15
13-10
19-19
14-18
19-23
19-16
16-21
25-13
158.8Avg total
77.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.069.5139.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)65.062.0127.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)75.077.0152.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)77.781.1158.8-3.430%
Last 5 (5)75.273.2148.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.679.2156.8-1.640%
vs Similar (12)80.285.1165.3-4.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.271.5159.8+16.875%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
ParnuSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A11/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H23/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Rapla
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A25/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Liepaja
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
70.5Avg total
34.6Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.373.2+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.333.870.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)37.739.777.4-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.970.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.341.279.5-2.923%-
vs Similar (8)36.832.869.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (9)35.032.467.4+2.656%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A18/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A20/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H23/05
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/06
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A04/06
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Arges Pitesti
#19
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga
78.8Avg total
38.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.280.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.876.5+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.084.3-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.338.077.3+1.360%-
vs Similar (12)38.842.581.2-3.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.435.684.0+12.888%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.014.5
45.3%
52.6%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
34.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.614.9
72.3%
72.6%14.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
52.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
34.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
72.6%14.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWLLLWLLW
Spojnia Stargard
WWLLWLLLLL
#35
League position
#16
-2.8
Net rating
-5.0
100.1
Offensive rating
106.3
102.9
Defensive rating
111.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.2%
3-point %
32.4%
61.8%
Assist %
54.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 106.3Defence102.9 · 111.2Shooting46.0% · 49.4%3-point %31.2% · 32.4%Ball care15.7% · 14.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Parnu   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Parnu wins
0
Spojnia Stargard wins
No previous meetings.
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HBK Liepaja81-91
16/10/24HCSM Oradea72-84
12/10/24HLatvijas Universitate77-53
09/10/24AArges Pitesti65-67
25/05/24ARapla66-82
23/05/24HRapla65-68
21/05/24ARapla65-55
17/05/24HRapla59-68
13/05/24HTartu Ulikool63-71
11/05/24ATartu Ulikool78-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24HOstrow Wielkopolski79-73
16/10/24HArges Pitesti65-62
13/10/24ATrefl Sopot78-83
09/10/24ACSM Oradea75-77
06/10/24ACzarni Slupsk79-71
04/06/24ASlask Wroclaw85-87
01/06/24HSlask Wroclaw83-88
23/05/24HSzczecin75-88
20/05/24ASzczecin72-78
18/05/24ASzczecin86-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game68.572.065.0
Allowed / game75.584.067.0
Point differential-7.0-12.0-2.0
Avg total144.0156.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spojnia Stargard
FIBA Europe Cup 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.065.075.0
Allowed / game69.562.077.0
Point differential+0.5+3.0-2.0
Avg total139.5127.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%102.067.0+35.0
2 Bilbao550100%87.259.6+27.6
3 Tofas220100%97.575.0+22.5
4 Maroussi440100%96.276.5+19.8
5 Ludwigsburg220100%78.059.5+18.5
6 Sassari330100%81.765.7+16.0
7 Cholet220100%92.078.0+14.0
8 Levice220100%89.576.0+13.5
9 BC Kalev/Cramo330100%82.771.0+11.7
10 PAOK220100%81.570.0+11.5
11 CSM Oradea220100%80.573.5+7.0
12 Le Portel32167%82.366.3+16.0
13 BC Prievidza53260%82.682.4+0.2
14 Anwil Wloclawek21150%90.070.0+20.0
15 Basketball Braunschweig21150%91.577.0+14.5
16 Fribourg Olympic21150%89.083.0+6.0
17 Basket Zaragoza21150%93.090.0+3.0
18 Antwerp Giants21150%84.582.0+2.5
19 Spirou Charleroi42250%80.078.5+1.5
20 Limburg21150%85.084.5+0.5
21 Spojnia Stargard21150%70.069.5+0.5
22 Anorthosis42250%79.879.5+0.2
23 Arges Pitesti21150%64.565.0-0.5
24 FC Porto21150%73.578.5-5.0
25 Bursaspor21150%85.092.5-7.5
26 Keravnos21150%88.096.5-8.5
27 Sporting CP52340%71.071.6-0.6
28 Alba Fehervar52340%90.294.6-4.4
29 Norrkoping31233%79.788.7-9.0
30 BC Dnipro62433%68.383.2-14.8
31 CSM Constanta41325%74.883.2-8.5
32 Sabah Baku3030%73.779.3-5.7
33 Parnu2020%68.575.5-7.0
34 Szolnoki Olaj2020%81.588.5-7.0
35 Starlites2020%74.584.0-9.5
36 Rilski Sportist3030%69.789.0-19.3
37 Kutaisi2020%63.082.5-19.5
38 Neptunas2020%62.584.5-22.0
39 Peja2020%78.0102.0-24.0
40 AEK Larnaca2020%64.092.5-28.5
41 Trepca2020%65.094.0-29.0
42 Balkan2020%62.592.0-29.5
43 Dinamo Zagreb2020%70.5100.0-29.5
44 Caledonia Gladiators2020%58.088.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu1915201872
Spojnia Stargard2229162289
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