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Pato vs Osasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-67
21-20 19-15 22-15 20-17
Position#17
Record4-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.9
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#18
Record4-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game85.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Osasco
13 Dec 2026
PATO v OSAS
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
PATO82
OSAS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 68
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 68
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 68
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 68
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 68
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 68
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 68
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
155.0Avg total
71.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.080.9152.9-8.925%
Season at home (7)69.674.9144.4-5.329%
Season away (9)73.985.6159.4-11.722%
Last 10 (10)71.283.8155.0-12.630%
Last 5 (5)75.881.6157.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.084.1156.1-12.16%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.179.5163.6+4.670%
vs Weaker (2)76.090.5166.5-14.50%
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsasco
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
69-60
69
60
+9
69avg 69
H12/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 69
A15/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 69
A17/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-79
75
79
-4
65avg 69
H21/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
78avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 69
H02/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
68-93
68
93
-25
56avg 69
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-89
82
89
-7
79avg 69
A09/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-89
70
89
-19
61avg 69
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
71avg 69
H17/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
14-14
17-14
26-20
22-19
28-25
17-22
14-20
24-25
18-29
20-21
14-23
26-28
14-15
23-19
12-17
30-14
18-18
15-25
16-19
23-15
21-20
16-22
19-13
18-31
11-16
16-26
23-20
14-19
25-23
22-22
21-25
20-18
17-27
20-21
13-23
24-19
21-24
12-21
23-17
158.0Avg total
75.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.885.9161.8-10.124%
Season at home (10)72.782.8155.5-10.130%
Season away (7)80.390.4170.7-10.114%
Last 10 (10)75.982.1158.0-6.230%
Last 5 (5)75.884.4160.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.688.7164.4-13.114%
vs Similar ◀ (3)76.773.0149.7+3.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
PatoOsasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
74.5Avg total
34.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.042.180.1-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.838.476.2-0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)38.144.682.7-6.428%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.974.5-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.674.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)35.741.577.2-5.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.641.281.8-0.650%-
vs Weaker (2)45.552.097.5-6.550%-
This opponent (Osasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H12/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A15/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A17/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A09/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H17/12
NBB
81.1Avg total
40.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)40.443.984.2-3.529%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.441.880.2-3.430%-
Last 30 away (7)43.146.990.0-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.181.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.481.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.245.987.1-4.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)36.334.370.7+2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.814.8
43.8%
52.2%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.8
29.7%
32.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
72.8%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osasco: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.2
29.4%
32.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.514.6
78.9%
72.8%14.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LLWWLLLWLL
Osasco
LLLLWWLLLW
#17
League position
#18
-16.7
Net rating
-7.2
92.8
Offensive rating
99.2
109.4
Defensive rating
106.5
44.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.7%
3-point %
29.4%
53.8%
Assist %
68.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 99.2Defence109.4 · 106.5Shooting44.2% · 48.4%3-point %29.7% · 29.4%Ball care20.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 25.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Osasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
0
Osasco wins
No previous meetings.
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
Osascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/25HCorinthians Paulista80-81
12/12/25AUnifacisa70-89
09/12/25ACearense82-89
04/12/25HMogi68-93
02/12/25HBotafogo79-70
23/11/25HUniao Corinthians79-76
21/11/25HCaxias do Sul75-79
17/11/25ACruzeiro76-98
15/11/25AMinas81-86
12/11/25HVasco69-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%29%22%
Points / game72.069.673.9
Allowed / game80.974.985.6
Point differential-8.9-5.3-11.7
Avg total152.9144.4159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Osasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL24%
HomeLWWLL30%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %24%30%14%
Points / game75.872.780.3
Allowed / game85.982.890.4
Point differential-10.1-10.1-10.1
Avg total161.8155.5170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1513287%87.273.2+14.0
2 Pinheiros1513287%86.174.1+12.0
3 Minas1513287%86.077.1+8.9
4 Franca1613381%87.273.2+14.0
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1511473%82.074.9+7.1
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Mogi169756%78.068.0+10.0
9 Unifacisa158753%80.578.7+1.7
10 Paulistano179853%79.675.5+4.1
11 Bauru178947%73.575.7-2.2
12 Caxias do Sul157847%72.977.0-4.1
13 Uniao Corinthians157847%76.681.5-4.9
14 Cruzeiro1541127%77.285.3-8.1
15 Cearense1541127%80.289.2-9.0
16 Pato1641225%72.080.9-8.9
17 Osasco1741324%75.885.9-10.1
18 Rio Claro1741324%77.589.3-11.8
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1621412%68.179.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2119222082
Osasco2015151767
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