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Paulistano vs Rio Claro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 100-87
32-23 23-25 26-18 19-21
Position#7
Record18-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.2
Paulistano 🏆
Brazil
vs
Rio Claro
Brazil
Position#15
Record10-21
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Rio Claro
17 Mar 2026
PAUL100
RIO 87
13 Jan 2023
PAUL76
RIO 66
25 Apr 2022
PAUL68
RIO 64
23 Apr 2022
PAUL90
RIO 84
20 Feb 2022
PAUL86
RIO 78
03 Dec 2019
PAUL87
RIO 90
15 Jan 2016
PAUL70
RIO 73
14 Nov 2014
PAUL94
RIO 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rio Claro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 71
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
86-73
86
73
+13
87avg 71
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 71
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 71
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
104-83
104
83
+21
94avg 71
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
94avg 71
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
88-89
88
89
-1
75avg 71
H10/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
23-26
21-18
19-32
16-16
25-14
18-21
13-21
25-27
18-18
22-26
26-18
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-16
17-21
22-11
18-14
17-17
22-20
13-18
20-19
18-23
11-26
25-15
14-20
18-19
29-17
30-24
31-19
14-23
27-28
25-15
15-27
23-20
26-27
14-23
19-23
29-16
169.2Avg total
86.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.278.2160.4+4.060%
Season at home (16)84.875.7160.5+9.175%
Season away (14)79.281.0160.2-1.843%
Last 10 (10)86.582.7169.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)88.486.8175.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.879.6157.4-1.840%
vs Similar (12)80.580.4160.9+0.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.575.5161.0+9.962%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 70
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 70
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 70
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
82avg 70
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
91avg 70
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 70
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 70
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
76avg 70
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
70avg 70
A10/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
93-72
93
72
+21
96avg 70
A13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
18-16
18-13
20-19
23-25
12-26
23-19
24-25
23-7
26-21
25-24
13-13
14-20
22-26
18-17
25-15
20-27
24-18
21-22
17-30
17-25
23-17
14-20
27-19
18-27
26-22
26-18
8-9
17-25
16-28
23-20
24-20
14-14
27-20
20-11
21-26
25-15
165.0Avg total
83.4Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.086.2164.2-8.132%
Season at home (14)85.887.5173.3-1.750%
Season away (17)71.685.1156.7-13.418%
Last 10 (10)83.481.6165.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)81.681.2162.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)72.788.2160.9-15.518%
vs Similar (9)80.782.0162.7-1.344%
vs Weaker (4)92.886.5179.2+6.275%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
PaulistanoRio Claro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/01
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H19/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A03/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H07/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A11/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H22/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H06/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/03
NBB
82.6Avg total
43.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.637.178.7+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)41.440.481.7+1.043%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.440.078.4-1.620%-
vs Similar (12)41.738.880.5+2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.537.980.4+4.569%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
NBB
81.7Avg total
42.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.482.2-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.243.685.8-1.438%-
Last 30 away (17)36.243.279.4-7.024%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.681.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.039.283.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.046.183.1-9.118%-
vs Similar (9)38.837.776.4+1.144%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.591.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.1
52.1%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.5
35.1%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.313.8
71.5%
72.8%13.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.0
55.6%
52.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.9
32.9%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.917.7
74.1%
72.8%17.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
LWWLLWWWWW
Rio Claro
WLWLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#15
+5.1
Net rating
+2.1
99.7
Offensive rating
95.2
94.6
Defensive rating
93.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.1%
3-point %
32.9%
45.8%
Assist %
55.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 95.2Defence94.6 · 93.1Shooting52.3% · 53.2%3-point %35.1% · 32.9%Ball care13.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.4% · -Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Paulistano   ■ Rio Claro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Paulistano wins
6
Rio Claro wins
DateGameScore
28/10/25Rio Claro v Paulistano89-87
13/01/23Paulistano v Rio Claro76-66
15/10/22Rio Claro v Paulistano93-88
25/04/22Paulistano v Rio Claro68-64
23/04/22Paulistano v Rio Claro90-84
20/04/22Rio Claro v Paulistano67-65
20/02/22Paulistano v Rio Claro86-78
18/11/21Rio Claro v Paulistano85-79
03/12/19Paulistano v Rio Claro87-90
15/01/16Paulistano v Rio Claro70-73
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26HCruzeiro88-89
06/03/26HUnifacisa109-102 OT
22/02/26HMinas104-83
19/02/26APinheiros68-80
13/02/26ACaxias do Sul73-80
11/02/26AUniao Corinthians74-63
07/02/26HOsasco86-73
03/02/26AFranca91-89
19/01/26HBrasilia83-81 OT
15/01/26ABauru89-87
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ACearense93-72
10/03/26AUnifacisa77-82
06/03/26HVasco77-74
04/03/26HBotafogo82-83
21/02/26ACruzeiro79-95
19/02/26AMinas95-98 OT
16/02/26HFlamengo93-87 OT
05/02/26HUniao Corinthians82-77
03/02/26HCaxias do Sul79-73
20/01/26AOsasco77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game82.284.879.2
Allowed / game78.275.781.0
Point differential+4.0+9.1-1.8
Avg total160.4160.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)43% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayWLLLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %32%50%18%
Points / game78.085.871.6
Allowed / game86.287.585.1
Point differential-8.1-1.7-13.4
Avg total164.2173.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %10%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3126584%86.474.2+12.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Corinthians Paulista3022873%84.778.1+6.5
6 Brasilia3122971%81.471.6+9.7
7 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
8 Bauru32191359%81.078.5+2.5
9 Sao Jose31181358%82.480.4+2.0
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi31171455%75.870.1+5.7
12 Unifacisa30161453%80.479.4+0.9
13 Caxias do Sul30131743%72.676.8-4.3
14 Cruzeiro30111937%80.085.8-5.8
15 Rio Claro31102132%78.086.2-8.1
16 Pato3072323%73.579.8-6.3
17 Botafogo3172423%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense3162519%75.787.4-11.6
19 Vasco3252716%70.279.3-9.1
20 Osasco3142713%75.887.6-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paulistano32232619100
Rio Claro2325182187
← all games of the day
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