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Paulistano vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-81 (OT)
16-16 25-14 18-21 13-21 11-9
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#5
Record17-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game71.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paulistano v Brasilia
19 Jan 2026
PAUL83
BRAS81
17 Apr 2025
PAUL81
BRAS69
31 Mar 2024
PAUL95
BRAS50
13 Apr 2023
PAUL113
BRAS71
03 Dec 2021
PAUL75
BRAS77
05 Apr 2021
PAUL70
BRAS66
09 Nov 2019
PAUL86
BRAS68
15 Dec 2018
PAUL83
BRAS82
24 Nov 2016
PAUL74
BRAS90
22 Apr 2016
PAUL88
BRAS100
20 Apr 2016
PAUL99
BRAS78
19 Jan 2016
PAUL75
BRAS81
03 Apr 2015
PAUL89
BRAS81
19 Dec 2013
PAUL96
BRAS74
19 Mar 2013
PAUL77
BRAS82
17 Dec 2011
PAUL120
BRAS93
09 Jan 2011
PAUL51
BRAS95
24 Apr 2009
PAUL68
BRAS73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 70
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 70
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
42avg 70
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
64avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
100-77
100
77
+23
93avg 70
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 70
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
72avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
81-66
81
66
+15
65avg 70
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
81-88
81
88
-7
67avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
no box
A15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
12-20
17-18
18-18
12-11
11-23
16-24
20-10
18-12
32-12
14-21
32-21
22-23
15-29
24-19
20-12
11-22
20-23
19-21
23-24
24-13
18-15
24-9
18-20
21-22
17-23
22-23
20-22
22-20
26-11
23-26
21-18
19-32
156.9Avg total
80.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.576.4156.9+4.057%
Season at home (11)80.671.2151.8+9.573%
Season away (10)80.382.2162.5-1.940%
Last 10 (10)80.976.0156.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)81.480.8162.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.577.0150.5-3.553%
vs Weaker (10)87.574.1161.6+13.470%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
73avg 71
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 71
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 71
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
68-57
68
57
+11
65avg 71
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
A16/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
19-19
18-19
23-21
11-21
21-30
18-19
23-17
10-22
21-20
15-18
20-19
16-15
9-16
20-13
23-13
20-18
20-18
19-8
25-25
21-16
15-27
21-17
27-32
23-10
13-20
24-21
11-15
18-20
29-6
13-17
18-17
7-15
19-12
34-22
17-16
25-23
22-14
21-12
28-15
150.1Avg total
78.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.971.7153.6+10.177%
Season at home (10)83.370.2153.5+13.190%
Season away (12)80.773.0153.7+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.172.0150.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)81.269.4150.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.590.0171.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.474.0146.4-1.638%
vs Weaker (15)85.371.1156.4+14.387%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
PaulistanoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H11/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A15/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H23/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/01
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A15/01
NBB
79.1Avg total
40.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.777.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.736.476.1+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.439.179.5+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.579.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.881.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.838.976.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.380.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H06/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A12/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A16/12
NBB
Pato
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A09/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H12/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A16/01
NBB
72.7Avg total
36.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.275.8+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.276.2+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)38.237.275.4+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.472.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.671.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.543.074.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.238.073.2-2.831%-
vs Weaker (15)42.535.778.2+6.780%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.8
52.3%
52.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
72.8%14.2
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.3
54.7%
52.2%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.3
31.1%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
72.8%15.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paulistano
WLWWLWLLWW
Brasilia
WWWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#5
+8.9
Net rating
+5.2
105.8
Offensive rating
101.0
96.9
Defensive rating
95.8
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.4%
3-point %
31.1%
48.0%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 101.0Defence96.9 · 95.8Shooting50.3% · 50.8%3-point %31.4% · 31.1%Ball care17.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds33.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Paulistano   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Paulistano wins
2
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Brasilia v Paulistano71-54
17/04/25Paulistano v Brasilia81-69
18/12/24Brasilia v Paulistano87-102
31/03/24Paulistano v Brasilia95-50
16/12/23Brasilia v Paulistano69-91
13/04/23Paulistano v Brasilia113-71
15/12/22Brasilia v Paulistano72-82
04/04/22Brasilia v Paulistano60-78
03/12/21Paulistano v Brasilia75-77 OT
05/04/21Paulistano v Brasilia70-66
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ABauru89-87
09/01/26ASao Jose81-88
27/12/25HMogi81-66
23/12/25HCorinthians Paulista86-81
18/12/25AUnifacisa70-82
15/12/25ACearense100-77
11/12/25HVasco65-69
06/12/25APato59-67
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26AOsasco96-64
12/01/26HCaxias do Sul77-65
09/01/26ARio Claro78-60
29/12/25ABauru71-66
27/12/25AFranca84-92
23/12/25HPato84-69
16/12/25AMogi68-57
12/12/25ACorinthians Paulista66-79
10/12/25ASao Jose73-87
06/12/25HUnifacisa84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game80.580.680.3
Allowed / game76.471.282.2
Point differential+4.0+9.5-1.9
Avg total156.9151.8162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%36%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %77%90%67%
Points / game81.983.380.7
Allowed / game71.770.273.0
Point differential+10.1+13.1+7.7
Avg total153.6153.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2218482%88.574.7+13.9
3 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2217577%81.971.7+10.1
6 Sao Jose2114767%82.078.1+4.0
7 Corinthians Paulista2315865%83.177.8+5.3
8 Paulistano2112957%80.576.4+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Uniao Corinthians21111052%79.581.2-1.7
12 Bauru22111150%76.577.0-0.6
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2251723%78.087.9-9.9
17 Rio Claro2141719%75.588.3-12.9
18 Osasco2241818%75.187.7-12.5
19 Botafogo2131814%71.483.5-12.0
20 Vasco2231914%69.279.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Paulistano162518131183
Brasilia16142121981
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