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Pelplin vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-80
30-23 29-27 14-18 19-12
Position#7
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#3
Record14-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.2
Poland1 LigaRound 20
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v Starogard Gdanski
27 Feb 2027
PELP v STAR
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
PELP92
STAR80
05 Feb 2025
PELP77
STAR68
10 Nov 2023
PELP77
STAR69
04 Feb 2023
PELP104
STAR115
10 Apr 2022
PELP65
STAR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 79
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 79
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
79-57
79
57
+22
72avg 79
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
101-89
101
89
+12
107avg 79
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
91avg 79
A07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 79
H13/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
99-92
99
92
+7
91avg 79
A20/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
88-81
88
81
+7
87avg 79
H28/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 79
H11/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A17/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
22-27
23-27
18-22
20-14
15-19
14-31
19-21
19-11
20-12
17-22
23-12
27-19
25-21
25-27
24-22
26-14
19-18
26-20
28-26
16-19
27-21
18-18
24-17
27-11
20-29
26-22
26-30
28-20
23-19
15-23
22-19
24-21
17-23
20-23
19-6
18-27
31-18
16-21
25-26
169.2Avg total
87.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.582.5170.0+5.067%
Season at home (10)86.979.1166.0+7.890%
Season away (8)88.286.8175.0+1.538%
Last 10 (10)87.581.7169.2+5.870%
Last 5 (5)88.482.6171.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.891.0172.8-9.238%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.684.3171.9+3.353%
vs Weaker (7)88.977.3166.1+11.686%
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 78
A07/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
83-92
83
92
-9
73avg 78
A24/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
96-94
96
94
+2
no box
H01/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
68-96
68
96
-28
52avg 78
A06/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
99-71
99
71
+28
104avg 78
H15/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 78
A19/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
96-86
96
86
+10
98avg 78
H27/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
70-63
70
63
+7
67avg 78
A04/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
75-89
75
89
-14
70avg 78
A09/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
H17/01
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-16
21-18
19-19
22-18
19-26
19-22
23-26
23-27
27-25
22-24
24-18
18-29
11-26
15-19
24-22
27-19
26-16
29-16
17-20
13-24
19-16
23-18
24-13
20-17
31-24
20-30
25-15
14-14
24-23
15-14
17-12
17-25
22-18
12-22
24-24
22-25
17-17
25-20
24-17
164.8Avg total
83.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.279.2164.3+6.078%
Season at home (9)92.781.2173.9+11.4100%
Season away (9)77.777.1154.8+0.656%
Last 10 (10)83.681.2164.8+2.470%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.080.0154.0-6.067%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.785.4166.1-4.746%
vs Weaker (14)88.376.6164.9+11.686%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.5+3.5
PelplinStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leszno
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/11
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H15/11
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H22/11
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H30/11
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H13/12
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A20/12
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/12
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H11/01
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A17/01
1 Liga
82.9Avg total
44.7Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.785.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.183.4+5.373%-
Last 30 away (15)43.744.488.1-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.282.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.444.689.0-0.262%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.941.785.5+2.260%-
vs Weaker (7)43.938.682.4+5.357%-
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A24/11
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H01/12
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
29-55
29
55
-26
A06/12
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H15/12
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/12
1 Liga
Zubry Bialystok
#17
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/12
1 Liga
Poznan
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/01
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/01
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H17/01
1 Liga
83.7Avg total
41.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.482.1-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.542.688.1+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.476.9-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.383.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.680.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.740.375.0-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.044.083.0-5.046%-
vs Weaker (14)43.639.382.9+4.364%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.8
50.4%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.2
34.2%
31.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws27.917.1
61.3%
70.0%17.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.3
54.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.1
30.2%
31.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.914.7
67.1%
70.0%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LWWWWWWWLL
Starogard Gdanski
WLWWWWLWLW
#7
League position
#3
+9.2
Net rating
+1.9
105.8
Offensive rating
104.7
96.6
Defensive rating
102.8
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.0%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
30.2%
70.3%
Assist %
69.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 104.7Defence96.6 · 102.8Shooting50.7% · 51.0%3-point %34.2% · 30.2%Ball care17.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Pelplin   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pelplin wins
7
Starogard Gdanski wins
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ASpojnia Stargard90-92
11/01/26HMiners Katowice80-73
28/12/25HR. Rzeszow88-81
20/12/25AWKK Wroclaw99-92
13/12/25HPoznan85-75
07/12/25AInowroclaw99-78
30/11/25HZubry Bialystok101-89
22/11/25HPolonia Warszawa79-57
15/11/25HBydgoszcz68-85
09/11/25ALeszno86-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HMiners Katowice88-79
09/01/26AR. Rzeszow75-89
04/01/26APoznan70-63
27/12/25HZubry Bialystok96-86
19/12/25ABydgoszcz79-71
15/12/25HPoli. Opolska99-71
06/12/25ALKS Lodz68-96
01/12/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg96-94
24/11/25ASpojnia Stargard83-92
07/11/25AWKK Wroclaw82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %67%90%38%
Points / game87.586.988.2
Allowed / game82.579.186.8
Point differential+5.0+7.8+1.5
Avg total170.0166.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%100%56%
Points / game85.292.777.7
Allowed / game79.281.277.1
Point differential+6.0+11.4+0.6
Avg total164.3173.9154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bydgoszcz1815383%90.177.4+12.6
2 LKS Lodz1814478%87.477.4+10.1
3 Starogard Gdanski1814478%85.279.2+6.0
4 Pelplin1812667%87.582.5+5.0
5 Spojnia Stargard1711665%84.681.2+3.4
6 Lancut1811761%85.386.3-0.9
7 GKS Tychy1810856%83.384.3-1.0
8 Leszno189950%78.681.2-2.7
9 Polonia Warszawa189950%80.484.4-4.1
10 Poznan1881044%80.580.0+0.5
11 R. Rzeszow1881044%82.882.7+0.1
12 WKK Wroclaw1881044%80.282.3-2.1
13 Kotwica Kolobrzeg1761135%78.278.6-0.5
14 Poli. Opolska1861233%82.083.7-1.7
15 Inowroclaw1861233%79.785.7-6.0
16 Miners Katowice1841422%80.186.8-6.7
17 Zubry Bialystok181176%76.488.2-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin3029141992
Starogard Gdanski2327181280
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