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Penarol vs Olimpico Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#7
Record4-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.4
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2026-27
Meetings · Penarol v Olimpico
03 Apr 2027
PENA v OLIM
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
PENA82
OLIM76
12 Mar 2025
PENA90
OLIM58
04 Mar 2024
PENA73
OLIM82
08 Oct 2022
PENA78
OLIM93
09 Jan 2022
PENA84
OLIM65
11 Dec 2020
PENA66
OLIM80
20 Jan 2020
PENA99
OLIM78
26 Mar 2019
PENA98
OLIM96
15 Dec 2017
PENA80
OLIM85
05 Mar 2017
PENA84
OLIM88
15 Mar 2016
PENA81
OLIM85
07 Feb 2015
PENA82
OLIM86
07 Mar 2014
PENA87
OLIM79
24 Feb 2013
PENA92
OLIM86
03 Feb 2012
PENA108
OLIM52
22 Feb 2011
PENA98
OLIM65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpico win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 76
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 76
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 76
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 76
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 76
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 76
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
18-29
20-12
15-18
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
156.6Avg total
80.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.774.6156.3+7.186%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (5)83.077.8160.8+5.280%
Last 10 (10)80.576.1156.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)85.277.6162.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (20)82.980.9163.8+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.676.6158.2+5.075%
This opponent (Olimpico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlimpicoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpico
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
75-99
75
99
-24
62avg 75
A11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 75
A13/04
Liga A
Platense
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 75
H02/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
79avg 75
H08/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
93-80
93
80
+13
88avg 75
H13/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
76avg 75
A18/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
106-86
106
86
+20
92avg 75
A21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
74-87
74
87
-13
no box
H03/11
Liga A
Lanus
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
no box
H05/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
27-30
16-21
17-21
19-16
11-19
18-15
19-28
8-18
26-21
16-12
24-31
17-21
24-17
25-29
21-24
35-17
20-17
19-29
19-17
25-16
17-23
19-18
22-23
30-23
19-20
34-20
23-23
17-20
18-23
23-24
16-20
21-22
22-30
21-16
31-26
18-10
24-29
29-15
11-29
169.6Avg total
83.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.885.4172.1+1.450%
Season at home (6)84.286.2170.3-2.033%
Season away (2)94.583.0177.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)88.086.0174.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.883.5163.2-3.850%
vs Similar (20)80.280.8160.9-0.640%
vs Weaker (2)95.080.5175.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
PenarolOlimpico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A26/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
81.7Avg total
41.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.682.2-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.785.8-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.381.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (20)40.042.382.3-2.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.139.680.8+1.575%-
This opponent (Olimpico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlimpicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A11/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/04
Liga A
Platense
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H02/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H13/10
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A18/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A21/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H03/11
Liga A
Lanus
#11
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H05/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/11
Liga A
83.2Avg total
41.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.082.7+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.740.482.1+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.683.3+0.050%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.983.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.285.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)41.545.987.4-4.425%-
vs Similar (20)41.138.779.8+2.465%-
vs Weaker (2)48.044.592.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpicotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpico: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.1
53.1%
54.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.1
37.8%
32.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
72.7%15.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWLWWWWLWL
Olimpico
LWLWWWLLLL
#2
League position
#7
+4.1
Net rating
-1.1
113.4
Offensive rating
114.4
109.3
Defensive rating
115.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
37.8%
48.4%
Assist %
47.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 114.4Defence109.3 · 115.5Shooting52.9% · 54.8%3-point %32.3% · 37.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.42 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Olimpico
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Olimpico wins
DateGameScore
03/11/26Olimpico v Penarol74-87
05/02/26Olimpico v Penarol74-87
11/12/25Penarol v Olimpico82-76
13/03/25Penarol v Olimpico90-58
24/01/25Olimpico v Penarol78-72
05/03/24Penarol v Olimpico73-82
30/11/23Olimpico v Penarol89-66
03/02/23Olimpico v Penarol79-80
08/10/22Penarol v Olimpico78-93
19/03/22Olimpico v Penarol89-92
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75
26/04/26AFerro78-80
Olimpicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HInstituto de Cordoba82-83
05/11/26HLanus95-94
03/11/26HPenarol74-87
21/10/26ASan Martin106-86
18/10/26ARegatas83-80
13/10/26HBoca Juniors93-80
08/10/26HAtenas87-91
02/10/26HPlatense74-82
13/04/26ASan Martin67-78
11/04/26ARegatas75-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game81.778.583.0
Allowed / game74.666.577.8
Point differential+7.1+12.0+5.2
Avg total156.3145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpico
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game86.884.294.5
Allowed / game85.486.283.0
Point differential+1.4-2.0+11.5
Avg total172.1170.3177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol76186%81.774.6+7.1
3 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
4 Gimnasia118373%78.075.5+2.5
5 Atenas75271%85.982.3+3.6
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
8 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
9 Platense73443%79.680.1-0.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
12 Independiente de Oliva31233%92.089.0+3.0
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro72529%82.385.7-3.4
17 San Lorenzo72529%70.779.1-8.4
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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