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Penarol vs Union De Santa Fe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-83
15-6 14-26 29-17 27-34
Position#11
Record17-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game81.0
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#15
Record12-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.5
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Union De Santa Fe
04 Apr 2026
PENA85
UNIO83
03 Feb 2025
PENA80
UNIO82
23 Jan 2024
PENA103
UNIO75
11 Apr 2023
PENA95
UNIO86
31 Jan 2022
PENA80
UNIO65
24 Sep 2021
PENA80
UNIO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Union De Santa Fe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A01/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
15-15
20-15
15-20
19-18
32-29
16-28
17-13
23-14
17-17
29-20
17-16
23-24
20-12
19-15
17-21
17-19
14-20
31-10
30-15
18-19
20-17
12-27
21-16
25-19
10-25
12-23
23-19
31-22
26-31
27-20
23-29
13-19
31-14
18-14
21-21
22-31
14-23
27-17
22-24
162.1Avg total
82.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.181.0162.1+0.153%
Season at home (16)79.477.2156.6+2.162%
Season away (16)82.884.8167.5-2.044%
Last 10 (10)82.679.5162.1+3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.286.0169.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)82.579.7162.1+2.864%
vs Weaker (4)81.080.0161.0+1.025%
This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union De Santa FeArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
75-103
75
103
-28
A16/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A18/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H11/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
88-93
88
93
-5
A15/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A17/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
91-71
91
71
+20
A19/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H24/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H29/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-29
19-32
17-19
17-16
24-22
17-17
11-21
15-25
22-19
22-22
15-22
32-28
17-20
26-25
19-26
23-27
25-16
20-19
20-31
24-14
14-20
18-24
24-26
12-25
27-13
32-18
20-15
28-22
16-30
20-30
19-19
13-22
30-23
16-18
24-26
19-17
30-16
9-24
18-22
169.6Avg total
81.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.984.5166.4-2.639%
Season at home (16)85.185.8170.9-0.644%
Season away (15)78.483.1161.5-4.733%
Last 10 (10)81.388.3169.6-7.010%
Last 5 (5)82.684.8167.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.484.3164.8-3.942%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.785.6167.2-3.931%
vs Weaker (2)93.077.5170.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.0-4.0
PenarolUnion De Santa Fe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/04
Liga A
82.1Avg total
40.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.082.7-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.240.979.1-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)43.443.486.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.282.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.086.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.141.382.4-0.255%-
vs Weaker (4)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Union De Santa Fe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union De Santa FeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A16/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H21/02
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H11/03
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A17/03
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A19/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H24/03
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H29/03
Liga A
85.4Avg total
42.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.582.9+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.441.985.2+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.080.3-1.757%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.785.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.483.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.142.185.2+1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.641.481.0-1.856%-
vs Weaker (2)46.538.585.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.1
52.3%
53.7%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.7
37.3%
32.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.316.3
73.1%
71.5%16.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union De Santa Fetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union De Santa Fe: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
53.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.5
30.5%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.0
69.7%
71.5%14.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWLLWWWLL
Union De Santa Fe
LLLWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#15
+4.3
Net rating
-10.1
113.4
Offensive rating
110.9
109.2
Defensive rating
121.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.3%
3-point %
30.5%
55.8%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 110.9Defence109.2 · 121.0Shooting54.0% · 53.3%3-point %37.3% · 30.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Penarol   ■ Union De Santa Fe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Penarol wins
2
Union De Santa Fe wins
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26AAtenas85-95
29/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba83-68
28/03/26AIndependiente de Oliva107-102
18/03/26ABoca Juniors70-86
15/03/26HSan Lorenzo71-79
13/03/26HRacing de Chivilcoy92-64
07/03/26HPlatense79-72
22/02/26ARegatas86-67
20/02/26ASan Martin84-88
15/02/26HArgentino69-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HObras Sanitarias76-79
27/03/26HRegatas83-89
24/03/26HOlimpico83-101
19/03/26AArgentino91-71
17/03/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-84
15/03/26APlatense88-93
11/03/26HLa Union94-99
21/02/26HQuimsa74-88
18/02/26AAtenas69-76
16/02/26AIndependiente de Oliva75-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL53%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game81.179.482.8
Allowed / game81.077.284.8
Point differential+0.1+2.1-2.0
Avg total162.1156.6167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%19%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)71% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Union De Santa Fe
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLLLLL44%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game81.985.178.4
Allowed / game84.585.883.1
Point differential-2.6-0.6-4.7
Avg total166.4170.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia33221167%81.476.2+5.2
2 Obera TC31201165%81.476.6+4.8
3 Quimsa32201262%82.476.2+6.2
4 Obras Sanitarias30181260%81.578.9+2.6
5 Boca Juniors32191359%81.277.5+3.7
6 La Union32191359%81.779.7+1.9
7 Independiente de Oliva31181358%86.983.0+4.0
8 Regatas31181358%77.776.1+1.6
9 Ferro31181358%83.582.5+0.9
10 Instituto de Cordoba33191458%77.275.2+2.0
11 Penarol32171553%81.181.0+0.1
12 San Martin32151747%74.975.9-1.0
13 Olimpico33141942%79.479.6-0.2
14 San Lorenzo33132039%79.682.7-3.1
15 Union De Santa Fe31121939%81.984.5-2.6
16 Platense32122038%82.185.3-3.2
17 Racing de Chivilcoy33122136%79.181.9-2.8
18 Atenas31102132%75.880.7-4.9
19 Argentino3162519%74.089.4-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1514292785
Union De Santa Fe626173483
← all games of the day
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