Penarol vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	80.7	80.1	160.7	+0.6	56%
Season at home (15)	79.9	77.1	157.1	+2.8	67%
Season away (12)	81.6	83.8	165.3	-2.2	42%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	76.7	157.1	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	73.0	155.0	+9.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	74.5	85.0	159.5	-10.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	82.4	79.6	162.0	+2.8	62%
vs Weaker (5)	89.6	76.0	165.6	+13.6	60%

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Lorenzo Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLorenzo

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#15

93-96

-3

no box

A19/01

Liga A

La Union

#10

84-70

+14

80avg 68

H24/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

69-80

-11

58avg 68

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

#18

76-67

60avg 68

H05/02

Liga A

Obera TC

102-95 OT

102

96avg 68

H16/02

Liga A

Quimsa

82-84

-2

80avg 68

H19/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

67-86

-19

51avg 68

H21/02

Liga A

Ferro

77-90

-13

67avg 68

A23/02

Liga A

Regatas

89-69

+20

87avg 68

A07/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

72-77

-5

64avg 68

A09/03

Liga A

14-14

22-17

23-34

34-31

28-16

12-23

25-11

19-20

24-17

14-15

16-17

15-31

16-17

19-26

22-19

19-5

22-24

18-19

18-18

30-27

17-19

21-25

25-17

19-23

12-20

21-24

15-16

19-26

21-28

23-26

22-17

11-19

22-16

21-14

27-22

19-17

15-16

22-19

12-22

23-20

162.5Avg total

81.1Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.9	82.9	161.8	-4.0	36%
Season at home (14)	80.4	78.4	158.7	+2.0	57%
Season away (14)	77.5	87.4	164.9	-9.9	14%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	81.4	162.5	-0.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	81.2	158.6	-3.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	78.6	85.6	164.2	-7.0	22%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.8	82.5	161.4	-3.7	45%
vs Weaker (1)	88.0	52.0	140.0	+36.0	100%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PenarolSan Lorenzo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.5	20.3	41.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	21.4	19.9	41.2	+1.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.9	22.6	42.4	-2.7	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.1	21.5	39.5	-3.4	9%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.0	21.0	40.9	-1.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.2	16.8	40.0	+6.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.5	22.2	39.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	21.3	41.6	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	15.0	43.0	+13.0	100%	-

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

35-47

-12

A15/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

45-41

H22/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

31-41

-10

H24/01

Liga A

Quimsa

41-45

-4

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

45-37

A05/02

Liga A

Argentino

#19

34-39

-5

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

#12

51-47

A20/02

Liga A

Regatas

40-31

A22/02

Liga A

Platense

#16

43-36

H07/03

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#14

31-39

-8

H13/03

Liga A

79.9Avg total

39.6Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.1	83.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	41.1	40.6	81.6	+0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (12)	43.3	41.9	85.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	40.3	79.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.2	46.5	89.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	41.3	40.8	82.1	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	43.6	38.0	81.6	+5.6	40%	-

This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Union De Santa Fe

#15

36-31

A19/01

Liga A

La Union

#10

40-39

H24/01

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

38-32

H29/01

Liga A

Atenas

#18

35-43

-8

H05/02

Liga A

Obera TC

40-43

-3

H16/02

Liga A

Quimsa

38-44

-6

H19/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

33-44

-11

H21/02

Liga A

Ferro

44-54

-10

A23/02

Liga A

Regatas

43-30

+13

A07/03

Liga A

San Martin

#12

37-35

A09/03

Liga A

77.9Avg total

38.4Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	43.5	81.6	-5.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	43.4	81.5	-5.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.0	43.7	81.7	-5.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.5	77.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.4	44.8	82.2	-7.4	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.5	42.7	81.2	-4.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	30.0	76.0	+16.0	100%	-

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	21.9	42.2	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.6	40.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	19.5	35.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.8	19.1	39.0	+0.7	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	22.1	42.1	-2.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	61%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.6	21.1	38.7	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	7.0	31.0	+17.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	21.7	18.7	40.4	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.8	19.2	35.9	-2.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.5	19.2	39.8	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.8	39.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	21.2	40.1	-2.4	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	38.3	78.4	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	42.1	36.5	78.6	+5.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.0	41.1	78.1	-4.1	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	35.5	74.8	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	34.6	76.8	+7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.2	38.5	69.8	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	40.3	38.4	78.7	+2.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (5)	46.0	38.0	84.0	+8.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.3	79.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.5	35.5	76.0	+5.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	43.7	83.2	-4.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.2	82.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.8	78.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	40.4	40.4	80.9	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	22.0	64.0	+20.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.4	17.6	54.4%	53.7%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.0	37.2%	32.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.1	72.0%	71.5%	15.1

They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	17.9	52.5%	53.7%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.4	32.6%	32.9%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	20.5	13.7	66.8%	71.5%	13.7

They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.5	53.1%	53.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.4	28.5%	32.9%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	18.4	11.2	61.2%	71.5%	11.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.6	55.2%	53.7%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.9	32.7%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	24.1	16.8	69.7%	71.5%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.5	53.1%	53.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.4	28.5%	32.9%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	18.4	11.2	61.2%	71.5%	11.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	19.6	55.2%	53.7%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	8.9	32.7%	32.9%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	24.1	16.8	69.7%	71.5%	16.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Penarol

WWWLLWLLWW

San Lorenzo

LWLLLWWLWL

#11

League position

#17

+7.0

Net rating

-6.9

112.6

Offensive rating

107.0

105.6

Defensive rating

113.9

55.1%

Effective FG%

50.9%

48.5%

Opp. effective FG%

52.6%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.33

37.2%

3-point %

32.6%

51.1%

Assist %

58.6%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Penarol ■ San Lorenzo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Penarol wins

San Lorenzo wins

Date	Game	Score
26/09/25	San Lorenzo v Penarol	82-74
05/04/25	San Lorenzo v Penarol	76-63
10/01/25	Penarol v San Lorenzo	80-77
23/04/24	Penarol v San Lorenzo	80-75
15/11/23	San Lorenzo v Penarol	88-65
18/01/23	San Lorenzo v Penarol	75-99
21/10/22	Penarol v San Lorenzo	79-70
14/02/22	San Lorenzo v Penarol	73-76
27/01/22	Penarol v San Lorenzo	82-72
15/10/21	San Lorenzo v Penarol	88-73

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/26	H	Racing de Chivilcoy	92-64
07/03/26	H	Platense	79-72
22/02/26	A	Regatas	86-67
20/02/26	A	San Martin	84-88
15/02/26	H	Argentino	69-74
05/02/26	A	Olimpico	87-74
03/02/26	A	Quimsa	66-89
24/01/26	H	Obras Sanitarias	73-81
22/01/26	H	Gimnasia	77-73
15/01/26	A	Racing de Chivilcoy	91-85 OT

San Lorenzolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/26	A	San Martin	72-77
07/03/26	A	Regatas	89-69
23/02/26	A	Ferro	77-90
21/02/26	H	Instituto de Cordoba	67-86
19/02/26	H	Quimsa	82-84
16/02/26	H	Obera TC	102-95 OT
05/02/26	H	Atenas	76-67
29/01/26	H	Independiente de Oliva	69-80
24/01/26	H	La Union	84-70
19/01/26	A	Union De Santa Fe	93-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	56%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	WLWLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	15	12
Win %	56%	67%	42%
Points / game	80.7	79.9	81.6
Allowed / game	80.1	77.1	83.8
Point differential	+0.6	+2.8	-2.2
Avg total	160.7	157.1	165.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	20%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	71% (7)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

San Lorenzo

Liga A 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	36%
Home	LWWLL	57%
Away	LLLWL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	36%	57%	14%
Points / game	78.9	80.4	77.5
Allowed / game	82.9	78.4	87.4
Point differential	-4.0	+2.0	-9.9
Avg total	161.8	158.7	164.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	21%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	67% (3)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Independiente de Oliva	27	18	9	67%	86.2	80.3	+5.9
2	Ferro	27	18	9	67%	85.2	82.8	+2.4
3	Quimsa	28	18	10	64%	82.1	75.5	+6.6
4	Obera TC	27	17	10	63%	80.5	76.0	+4.5
5	Gimnasia	29	18	11	62%	81.1	75.8	+5.2
6	Obras Sanitarias	25	15	10	60%	81.3	78.6	+2.7
7	La Union	29	17	12	59%	80.6	79.1	+1.4
8	Regatas	28	16	12	57%	77.7	75.3	+2.4
9	Boca Juniors	27	15	12	56%	81.3	77.8	+3.4
10	Penarol	27	15	12	56%	80.7	80.1	+0.6
11	Instituto de Cordoba	28	15	13	54%	75.9	75.4	+0.5
12	San Martin	29	13	16	45%	74.9	75.7	-0.8
13	Union De Santa Fe	25	11	14	44%	81.5	84.1	-2.6
14	Olimpico	29	11	18	38%	78.3	79.2	-0.9
15	Platense	27	10	17	37%	81.3	84.5	-3.3
16	San Lorenzo	28	10	18	36%	78.9	82.9	-4.0
17	Atenas	26	9	17	35%	75.4	80.4	-5.0
18	Racing de Chivilcoy	29	9	20	31%	78.1	82.3	-4.2
19	Argentino	27	6	21	22%	73.8	89.3	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Penarol	18	20	12	21	71
San Lorenzo	19	17	27	16	79

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Penarol vs San Lorenzo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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