PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boca Juniors vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:05
Final 86-70
19-25 25-10 23-12 19-23
Position#2
Record15-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game77.8
Boca Juniors 🏆
Argentina
vs
Penarol
Argentina
Position#11
Record15-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game80.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Luis Conde
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boca Juniors v Penarol
13 Mar 2027
BOCA v PENA
upcoming
17 Mar 2026
BOCA86
PENA70
25 Oct 2024
BOCA83
PENA81
29 Apr 2024
BOCA87
PENA83
25 Apr 2023
BOCA98
PENA84
23 Apr 2023
BOCA94
PENA78
16 Apr 2023
BOCA92
PENA82
07 May 2022
BOCA86
PENA77
05 May 2022
BOCA68
PENA75
10 Feb 2022
BOCA69
PENA85
07 Jan 2021
BOCA76
PENA71
28 Nov 2019
BOCA77
PENA74
30 Sep 2019
BOCA74
PENA69
12 Dec 2018
BOCA79
PENA77
04 Feb 2018
BOCA71
PENA76
17 Apr 2017
BOCA82
PENA77
07 Oct 2016
BOCA73
PENA85
14 Dec 2015
BOCA96
PENA79
28 Oct 2015
BOCA90
PENA62
06 Jan 2015
BOCA80
PENA69
19 Oct 2014
BOCA81
PENA83
13 May 2014
BOCA73
PENA83
01 Mar 2014
BOCA77
PENA72
29 Oct 2013
BOCA84
PENA75
02 Mar 2013
BOCA83
PENA70
18 Oct 2012
BOCA65
PENA73
29 Jan 2012
BOCA86
PENA91
05 Oct 2011
BOCA65
PENA73
02 Mar 2011
BOCA59
PENA72
13 Oct 2010
BOCA61
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJuniors
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
55-58
55
58
-3
49avg 75
A31/01
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
101-54
101
54
+47
100avg 75
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
W
77-67
77
67
+10
78avg 75
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Argentino
#19
W
98-56
98
56
+42
97avg 75
A11/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
A13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 75
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
70avg 75
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
88avg 75
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
78avg 75
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 75
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
22-15
9-17
13-15
28-11
26-14
26-21
21-8
24-12
10-20
18-22
25-13
24-21
31-13
17-14
26-8
22-27
23-22
25-14
16-21
22-21
25-24
17-13
17-19
17-15
11-16
23-17
19-15
29-18
16-19
19-23
20-24
18-17
28-15
25-28
19-14
19-19
20-20
21-14
15-15
152.0Avg total
82.8Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.377.8159.1+3.456%
Season at home (12)81.074.8155.8+6.267%
Season away (15)81.580.2161.7+1.347%
Last 10 (10)82.869.2152.0+13.690%
Last 5 (5)82.274.6156.8+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.577.2151.7-2.638%
vs Weaker (17)86.675.8162.4+10.876%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 72
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 72
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
56avg 72
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
87-74
87
74
+13
82avg 72
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 72
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
84-88
84
88
-4
78avg 72
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 72
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
76avg 72
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
89avg 72
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
71-79
71
79
-8
67avg 72
H15/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-22
19-16
13-16
20-25
11-16
14-18
28-22
16-20
25-25
13-19
12-25
20-13
25-24
24-19
18-18
19-24
15-15
20-15
15-20
19-18
32-29
16-28
17-13
23-14
17-17
29-20
17-16
23-24
20-12
19-15
17-21
17-19
14-20
31-10
30-15
18-19
20-17
12-27
21-16
154.5Avg total
78.4Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.380.0160.4+0.354%
Season at home (16)79.477.2156.6+2.162%
Season away (12)81.683.8165.3-2.242%
Last 10 (10)78.476.1154.5+2.350%
Last 5 (5)82.474.0156.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.585.0159.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.979.6161.5+2.359%
vs Weaker (4)87.276.5163.8+10.850%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Boca JuniorsPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A31/01
Liga A
Aguada
#11
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A05/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/02
Champions League Americas
Argentino
#19
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A11/02
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H16/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H19/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H22/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A09/03
Champions League Americas
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/03
Champions League Americas
77.6Avg total
42.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.479.2+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.937.377.2+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)43.437.580.9+5.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.077.6+7.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.877.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.138.276.3-0.238%-
vs Weaker (17)44.636.881.4+7.982%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H24/01
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A03/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H15/02
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A20/02
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
Liga A
79.1Avg total
39.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.182.6+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.240.680.8-0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)43.341.985.2+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.939.279.1+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.878.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.246.589.8-3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.240.681.8+0.655%-
vs Weaker (4)41.038.879.8+2.225%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.9
55.3%
53.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.4
30.9%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.4
70.5%
71.5%13.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.717.2
52.7%
53.7%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.2%
32.9%28.3
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
73.8%
71.5%16.6
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boca Juniors
WWWWWWWWWL
Penarol
LWWWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#11
+9.1
Net rating
+5.0
101.9
Offensive rating
111.3
92.8
Defensive rating
106.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.4%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
6.3%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.9%
3-point %
36.2%
56.2%
Assist %
50.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 111.3Defence92.8 · 106.3Shooting51.4% · 53.4%3-point %30.9% · 36.2%Ball care6.3% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Boca Juniors   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boca Juniors wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
07/11/25Penarol v Boca Juniors89-78
21/03/25Penarol v Boca Juniors64-72
26/10/24Boca Juniors v Penarol83-81
30/04/24Boca Juniors v Penarol87-83
15/10/23Penarol v Boca Juniors72-92
29/04/23Penarol v Boca Juniors110-114 OT
26/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol98-84
23/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol94-78
16/04/23Boca Juniors v Penarol92-82
24/11/22Penarol v Boca Juniors86-81
Boca Juniorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26HInstituto de Cordoba75-68
09/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba90-74
22/02/26HPlatense95-91 OT
19/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba70-63
16/02/26HOlimpico81-77
13/02/26ARacing de Chivilcoy86-84
11/02/26AArgentino98-56
06/02/26AMinas77-67
05/02/26AAguada101-54
31/01/26ARegatas55-58
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HSan Lorenzo71-79
13/03/26HRacing de Chivilcoy92-64
07/03/26HPlatense79-72
22/02/26ARegatas86-67
20/02/26ASan Martin84-88
15/02/26HArgentino69-74
05/02/26AOlimpico87-74
03/02/26AQuimsa66-89
24/01/26HObras Sanitarias73-81
22/01/26HGimnasia77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW56%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %56%67%47%
Points / game81.381.081.5
Allowed / game77.874.880.2
Point differential+3.4+6.2+1.3
Avg total159.1155.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL54%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayWLWLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %54%62%42%
Points / game80.379.481.6
Allowed / game80.077.283.8
Point differential+0.3+2.1-2.2
Avg total160.4156.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%19%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Independiente de Oliva2718967%86.280.3+5.9
2 Quimsa28181064%82.175.5+6.6
3 Obera TC28181064%80.676.1+4.5
4 Gimnasia29181162%81.175.8+5.2
5 Ferro29181162%84.683.1+1.4
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 La Union30181260%80.978.9+2.0
8 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
9 Instituto de Cordoba29161355%76.675.1+1.5
10 Regatas29161355%77.376.1+1.2
11 Penarol28151354%80.380.0+0.3
12 San Martin29131645%74.975.7-0.8
13 Union De Santa Fe27111641%81.784.4-2.7
14 Platense28111739%81.784.6-3.0
15 Olimpico29111838%78.379.2-0.9
16 San Lorenzo29111838%78.982.5-3.6
17 Atenas2691735%75.480.4-5.0
18 Racing de Chivilcoy30102033%78.382.2-3.9
19 Argentino2762122%73.889.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boca Juniors1925231986
Penarol2510122370
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.