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Perth vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 82-75
28-17 16-14 20-29 18-15
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game102.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#9
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game84.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v Adelaide
28 Jan 2027
PERT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2026
PERT98
ADEL97
20 Feb 2026
PERT86
ADEL74
07 Dec 2025
PERT94
ADEL95
07 Feb 2025
PERT112
ADEL104
17 Jan 2025
PERT110
ADEL103
04 Nov 2023
PERT99
ADEL88
06 Oct 2023
PERT82
ADEL75
14 Jan 2023
PERT112
ADEL97
24 Nov 2022
PERT82
ADEL96
14 Apr 2022
PERT70
ADEL82
03 Dec 2021
PERT85
ADEL73
22 Mar 2021
PERT92
ADEL82
14 Mar 2021
PERT97
ADEL88
15 Feb 2020
PERT94
ADEL79
01 Dec 2019
PERT88
ADEL99
15 Feb 2019
PERT93
ADEL85
25 Jan 2019
PERT100
ADEL81
09 Mar 2018
PERT88
ADEL89
02 Feb 2018
PERT111
ADEL90
08 Dec 2017
PERT88
ADEL79
14 Jan 2017
PERT84
ADEL95
05 Nov 2016
PERT106
ADEL103
14 Feb 2016
PERT100
ADEL84
04 Dec 2015
PERT90
ADEL72
16 Jan 2015
PERT102
ADEL106
14 Dec 2014
PERT97
ADEL76
13 Apr 2014
PERT93
ADEL59
07 Apr 2014
PERT92
ADEL85
14 Feb 2014
PERT85
ADEL61
11 Oct 2013
PERT83
ADEL80
08 Feb 2013
PERT73
ADEL67
16 Nov 2012
PERT65
ADEL69
04 Dec 2011
PERT84
ADEL96
28 Oct 2011
PERT92
ADEL100
20 Feb 2011
PERT82
ADEL62
29 Jan 2011
PERT65
ADEL66
19 Dec 2009
PERT70
ADEL82
17 Oct 2009
PERT110
ADEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
111-104
111
104
+7
no box
H20/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
91-112
91
112
-21
no box
A22/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
106-86
106
86
+20
no box
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 90
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
87avg 90
A01/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
28-28
22-32
35-24
22-27
33-34
21-22
15-29
25-25
25-30
34-23
22-8
21-32
33-25
25-18
15-27
16-30
21-19
19-15
15-20
16-21
24-15
29-21
27-27
18-22
29-29
18-25
41-23
19-25
24-27
16-19
19-20
25-26
25-19
27-21
24-29
28-24
21-22
12-38
38-26
192.0Avg total
95.3Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.0102.5202.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)101.095.0196.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)99.0110.0209.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)95.396.7192.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)96.095.8191.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar (19)90.992.4183.3-1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)100.099.2199.2+0.840%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
no box
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 62
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 62
H01/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-26
25-23
20-17
17-23
19-23
25-23
21-29
17-32
29-35
17-25
34-20
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
27-27
30-29
23-31
27-29
28-18
12-23
13-24
18-21
19-25
24-16
14-16
17-25
189.9Avg total
91.6Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.584.0156.5-11.50%
Season at home (1)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Season away (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)91.698.3189.9-6.720%
Last 5 (5)93.297.6190.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.590.5176.0-5.040%
vs Similar (14)89.495.6184.9-6.229%
vs Weaker (6)97.587.0184.5+10.583%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
PerthAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H20/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A22/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/10
NBL
97.9Avg total
47.9Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.346.894.1+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.844.290.0+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)48.548.797.2-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)47.950.097.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.846.091.8-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar (19)47.447.094.4+0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.446.697.0+3.860%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/10
NBL
94.1Avg total
44.7Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.147.092.0-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.945.890.7-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)45.348.193.4-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.749.494.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)49.850.099.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.146.789.8-3.620%-
vs Similar (14)45.048.993.9-3.936%-
vs Weaker (6)48.542.891.3+5.783%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.524.5
62.0%
50.9%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.0
38.7%
33.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
73.8%14.0
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.018.5
37.8%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.0
26.1%
33.9%18.0
🏀 Free throws24.016.5
68.8%
73.8%16.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWWLLWLW
Adelaide
LLLWWLLLLL
#3
League position
#9
-4.1
Net rating
-14.0
116.7
Offensive rating
87.1
120.8
Defensive rating
101.1
60.3%
Effective FG%
38.2%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.4%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.7%
3-point %
26.1%
52.1%
Assist %
69.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 87.1Defence120.8 · 101.1Shooting60.3% · 38.2%3-point %38.7% · 26.1%Ball care18.8% · 14.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 24.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Perth   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth wins
4
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
14/01/23Perth v Adelaide112-97
09/12/22Adelaide v Perth90-98
24/11/22Perth v Adelaide82-96
05/11/22Adelaide v Perth89-94
14/04/22Perth v Adelaide70-82
06/03/22Adelaide v Perth73-92
18/01/22Adelaide v Perth87-74
03/12/21Perth v Adelaide85-73
23/05/21Adelaide v Perth68-76
10/04/21Adelaide v Perth83-68
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ASouth East Melbourne99-110
29/09/23HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
12/02/23ACairns Taipans78-91
09/02/23ASouth East Melbourne106-99
05/02/23HSydney96-84
03/02/23HCairns Taipans71-84
29/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
27/01/23HIllawarra Hawks106-86
22/01/23ASouth East Melbourne91-112
20/01/23HSydney111-104
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HMelbourne United74-82
29/09/23ABrisbane Bullets71-86
05/02/23AMelbourne United107-116
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
14/01/23APerth97-112
12/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers82-98
08/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers83-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game100.0101.099.0
Allowed / game102.595.0110.0
Point differential-2.5+6.0-11.0
Avg total202.5196.0209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.574.071.0
Allowed / game84.082.086.0
Point differential-11.5-8.0-15.0
Avg total156.5156.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United220100%82.070.5+11.5
2 Brisbane Bullets220100%87.577.5+10.0
3 Sydney21150%84.080.5+3.5
4 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
5 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%87.586.5+1.0
6 Cairns Taipans21150%87.089.0-2.0
7 Perth21150%100.0102.5-2.5
8 South East Melbourne31233%85.789.3-3.7
9 Adelaide2020%72.584.0-11.5
10 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.096.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2816201882
Adelaide1714291575
← all games of the day
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