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Melbourne United vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 116-107
27-27 29-30 31-23 29-27
Position#5
Record14-13
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#8
Record13-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game91.9
AustraliaNBL
Other2022-23
Meetings · Melbourne United v Adelaide
07 Jan 2027
MELB v ADEL
upcoming
19 Sep 2026
MELB95
ADEL97
07 Feb 2026
MELB76
ADEL87
26 Oct 2025
MELB81
ADEL80
17 Nov 2024
MELB113
ADEL93
13 Oct 2024
MELB106
ADEL79
16 Dec 2023
MELB107
ADEL96
05 Feb 2023
MELB116
ADEL107
17 Nov 2022
MELB86
ADEL91
20 Mar 2022
MELB101
ADEL74
06 Jun 2021
MELB102
ADEL80
24 Apr 2021
MELB92
ADEL78
07 Dec 2019
MELB112
ADEL90
10 Nov 2019
MELB109
ADEL90
26 Dec 2018
MELB101
ADEL103
21 Oct 2018
MELB75
ADEL72
31 Mar 2018
MELB100
ADEL82
23 Mar 2018
MELB101
ADEL98
16 Mar 2018
MELB107
ADEL96
22 Dec 2017
MELB99
ADEL91
04 Nov 2017
MELB101
ADEL84
01 Jan 2017
MELB104
ADEL73
09 Oct 2016
MELB79
ADEL87
06 Dec 2015
MELB89
ADEL86
16 Oct 2015
MELB84
ADEL75
10 Jan 2015
MELB89
ADEL91
27 Nov 2014
MELB94
ADEL91
30 Mar 2014
MELB98
ADEL87
16 Feb 2014
MELB82
ADEL99
27 Oct 2013
MELB93
ADEL79
27 Jan 2013
MELB87
ADEL80
09 Nov 2012
MELB96
ADEL66
25 Feb 2012
MELB83
ADEL92
03 Feb 2012
MELB87
ADEL81
02 Jan 2011
MELB87
ADEL66
27 Jan 2010
MELB95
ADEL85
16 Jan 2010
MELB89
ADEL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H15/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H18/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-101
80
101
-21
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A28/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
26-22
22-19
23-21
24-19
22-18
18-25
24-15
26-21
21-18
15-15
22-27
17-29
23-17
15-22
25-33
22-20
21-23
29-21
27-22
17-20
27-24
27-19
21-22
18-13
25-17
13-17
21-18
34-20
20-17
22-28
25-26
28-21
11-19
31-24
24-23
19-10
15-21
22-27
18-22
171.0Avg total
88.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.985.8171.7+0.052%
Season at home (13)86.984.5171.5+2.454%
Season away (14)84.987.0171.9-2.150%
Last 10 (10)88.182.9171.0+5.280%
Last 5 (5)87.681.6169.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.786.8165.5-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.684.1168.7+0.547%
vs Weaker (9)88.483.7172.1+4.867%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
97-112
97
112
-15
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H03/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
25-24
8-15
25-18
20-18
20-23
24-13
19-32
23-19
27-28
25-28
28-20
15-19
23-26
25-23
20-17
17-23
19-23
25-23
21-29
17-32
29-35
17-25
34-20
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
190.1Avg total
93.7Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)90.391.9182.2-1.648%
Season at home (14)89.989.7179.6+0.257%
Season away (13)90.894.2185.0-3.538%
Last 10 (10)93.796.4190.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)99.8103.2203.0-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.190.5177.6-3.450%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.594.6184.2-5.131%
vs Weaker (7)96.983.1180.0+13.786%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
Melbourne UnitedAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H15/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/01
NBL
82.0Avg total
43.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.283.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.385.9+1.467%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.180.2-0.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.382.0+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.479.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.341.078.3-3.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
vs Weaker (9)43.140.183.2+3.044%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H29/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A31/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
94.6Avg total
45.1Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.746.290.9-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.046.191.1-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)44.446.290.6-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)45.149.594.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)46.653.099.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.646.689.2-4.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.848.493.2-3.638%-
vs Weaker (7)47.441.689.0+5.986%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Melbourne United wins
3
Adelaide wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers74-80
21/01/23AAdelaide94-87
14/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-91
12/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers77-65
07/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers92-85
01/01/23ABrisbane Bullets99-86
25/12/22ASydney80-101
23/12/22HCairns Taipans84-81
18/12/22HIllawarra Hawks88-77
15/12/22HSouth East Melbourne92-76
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
14/01/23APerth97-112
12/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers82-98
08/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers83-85
06/01/23HIllawarra Hawks103-95
31/12/22ACairns Taipans83-86
29/12/22HBrisbane Bullets87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeLWWWW54%
AwayWWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game85.986.984.9
Allowed / game85.884.587.0
Point differential+0.0+2.4-2.1
Avg total171.7171.5171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Adelaide
NBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %48%57%38%
Points / game90.389.990.8
Allowed / game91.989.794.2
Point differential-1.6+0.2-3.5
Avg total182.2179.6185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney2719870%96.187.9+8.3
2 New Zealand Breakers28181064%86.580.2+6.3
3 Cairns Taipans28181064%87.784.9+2.8
4 Tasmania JackJumpers28161257%85.282.3+2.9
5 South East Melbourne28151354%91.289.7+1.5
6 Melbourne United27141352%85.985.8+0.0
7 Perth27141352%92.092.0+0.0
8 Adelaide27131448%90.391.9-1.6
9 Brisbane Bullets2882029%84.592.9-8.4
10 Illawarra Hawks2832511%80.892.3-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United27293129116
Adelaide27302327107
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