PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 74-82
19-25 24-16 14-16 17-25
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game86.0
Adelaide
Australia
vs
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game67.0
AustraliaNBLRound 1· Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United
12 Nov 2026
ADEL v MELB
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
ADEL91
MELB96
12 Dec 2025
ADEL114
MELB105
04 Jan 2025
ADEL100
MELB81
06 Jan 2024
ADEL100
MELB96
01 Oct 2023
ADEL74
MELB82
21 Jan 2023
ADEL87
MELB94
30 Jan 2022
ADEL88
MELB83
22 Jan 2022
ADEL78
MELB97
25 Feb 2021
ADEL73
MELB82
15 Jan 2021
ADEL65
MELB89
11 Jan 2020
ADEL100
MELB86
10 Feb 2019
ADEL87
MELB89
28 Jan 2019
ADEL91
MELB114
25 Mar 2018
ADEL90
MELB81
18 Mar 2018
ADEL110
MELB95
14 Oct 2017
ADEL79
MELB99
05 Oct 2017
ADEL97
MELB99
12 Jan 2017
ADEL100
MELB73
14 Oct 2016
ADEL87
MELB98
22 Jan 2016
ADEL90
MELB81
23 Dec 2015
ADEL91
MELB81
12 Dec 2014
ADEL90
MELB77
15 Nov 2014
ADEL79
MELB118
01 Apr 2014
ADEL102
MELB63
27 Mar 2014
ADEL101
MELB85
23 Mar 2014
ADEL99
MELB94
08 Nov 2013
ADEL90
MELB87
10 Feb 2013
ADEL71
MELB84
07 Oct 2012
ADEL84
MELB61
19 Nov 2011
ADEL95
MELB89
18 Mar 2011
ADEL76
MELB79
18 Feb 2011
ADEL83
MELB86
05 Dec 2009
ADEL84
MELB87
21 Oct 2009
ADEL70
MELB81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
no box
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
no box
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
97-112
97
112
-15
no box
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
99-96
99
96
+3
no box
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
115-108
115
108
+7
no box
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
L
107-116
107
116
-9
no box
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 60
A29/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
27-28
25-28
28-20
15-19
23-26
25-23
20-17
17-23
19-23
25-23
21-29
17-32
29-35
17-25
34-20
20-27
18-20
32-26
21-18
21-28
19-11
24-31
23-24
25-24
25-29
25-24
24-19
35-29
24-30
22-27
34-22
27-27
30-29
23-31
27-29
28-18
12-23
13-24
18-21
194.1Avg total
94.5Scored
99.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)94.599.6194.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)95.8100.0195.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)86.891.4178.2-4.744%
vs Similar (14)89.495.6184.9-6.229%
vs Weaker (7)96.983.1180.0+13.786%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-101
80
101
-21
no box
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
116-107
116
107
+9
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
82-67
82
67
+15
71avg 71
H28/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
21-18
15-15
22-27
17-29
23-17
15-22
25-33
22-20
21-23
29-21
27-22
17-20
27-24
27-19
21-22
18-13
25-17
13-17
21-18
34-20
20-17
22-28
25-26
28-21
11-19
31-24
24-23
19-10
15-21
22-27
18-22
27-27
29-30
31-23
29-27
29-24
16-9
19-17
18-17
174.9Avg total
89.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.985.0174.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)93.486.4179.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.786.8165.5-8.233%
vs Similar (16)86.685.5172.1+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.584.8176.2+6.875%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
AdelaideMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H08/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A12/01
NBL
Perth
#6
L
46-67
46
67
-21
A14/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A19/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H03/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#5
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/09
NBL
95.4Avg total
45.4Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.046.791.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.046.191.1-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)45.047.292.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)45.450.095.4-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)49.249.698.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)43.147.390.4-4.211%-
vs Similar (14)45.048.993.9-3.936%-
vs Weaker (7)47.441.689.0+5.986%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A25/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/09
NBL
84.5Avg total
44.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)40.540.380.8+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.084.5+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.341.078.3-3.750%-
vs Similar (16)43.842.986.6+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.840.084.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.020.0
35.7%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.0
27.8%
33.9%15.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.0
70.0%
73.8%14.0
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.017.0
32.7%
50.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.0
36.7%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.015.0
88.2%
73.8%15.0
They take 82.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide
LLWWLLLLLW
Melbourne United
WWLWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#1
-20.3
Net rating
+21.3
82.5
Offensive rating
102.6
102.8
Defensive rating
81.4
37.2%
Effective FG%
40.9%
40.5%
Opp. effective FG%
31.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
11.2%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
27.8%
3-point %
36.7%
64.0%
Assist %
60.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 102.6Defence102.8 · 81.4Shooting37.2% · 40.9%3-point %27.8% · 36.7%Ball care14.5% · 11.2%Off. rebounds23.5% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Adelaide   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Adelaide wins
8
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Melbourne United v Adelaide116-107
21/01/23Adelaide v Melbourne United87-94
17/11/22Melbourne United v Adelaide86-91
20/03/22Melbourne United v Adelaide101-74
30/01/22Adelaide v Melbourne United88-83 OT
22/01/22Adelaide v Melbourne United78-97
06/06/21Melbourne United v Adelaide102-80
24/04/21Melbourne United v Adelaide92-78
25/02/21Adelaide v Melbourne United73-82
15/01/21Adelaide v Melbourne United65-89
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/23ABrisbane Bullets71-86
05/02/23AMelbourne United107-116
03/02/23HSydney115-108
30/01/23ACairns Taipans99-96
21/01/23HMelbourne United87-94
19/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-106 OT
14/01/23APerth97-112
12/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers82-98
08/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers83-85
06/01/23HIllawarra Hawks103-95
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/23HSouth East Melbourne82-67
05/02/23HAdelaide116-107
28/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers74-80
21/01/23AAdelaide94-87
14/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-91
12/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers77-65
07/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers92-85
01/01/23ABrisbane Bullets99-86
25/12/22ASydney80-101
23/12/22HCairns Taipans84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game71.0-71.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Bullets110100%86.071.0+15.0
2 Melbourne United110100%82.067.0+15.0
3 Sydney110100%96.081.0+15.0
4 New Zealand Breakers110100%98.087.0+11.0
5 Perth110100%101.095.0+6.0
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%95.0101.0-6.0
7 Cairns Taipans1010%87.098.0-11.0
8 Adelaide1010%71.086.0-15.0
9 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.096.0-15.0
10 South East Melbourne1010%67.082.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide1924141774
Melbourne United2516162582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.