Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 87-94

21-28 19-11 24-31 23-24

Position#8

Record11-13

FormWLLLL

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game91.0

Adelaide

Melbourne United 🏆

Position#5

Record13-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game86.0

NBL

Other2022-23

Meetings · Adelaide v Melbourne United

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

108-77

108

+31

H17/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

93-82

+11

H19/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

94-88

H24/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

87-84

H29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

83-86

-3

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

103-95

103

H06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-85

-2

H08/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

82-98

-16

A12/01

NBL

Perth

97-112

112

-15

A14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-106 OT

101

106

-5

A19/01

NBL

28-12

26-23

32-22

22-20

29-22

12-22

25-22

27-16

26-32

23-15

23-22

22-19

29-27

25-24

8-15

25-18

20-18

20-23

24-13

19-32

23-19

27-28

25-28

28-20

15-19

23-26

25-23

20-17

17-23

19-23

25-23

21-29

17-32

29-35

17-25

34-20

20-27

18-20

32-26

21-18

184.4Avg total

93.1Scored

91.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	89.1	91.0	180.0	-1.9	46%
Season at home (12)	88.1	87.8	175.9	+0.2	58%
Season away (12)	90.1	94.1	184.2	-4.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	93.1	91.3	184.4	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	99.2	192.4	-6.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	81.6	85.5	167.1	-3.9	40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	89.4	94.5	183.9	-5.2	31%
vs Weaker (7)	96.9	83.1	180.0	+13.7	86%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

104-88

104

+16

H10/12

NBL

Perth

89-90

-1

A12/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

92-76

+16

H15/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

88-77

+11

H18/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

84-81

H23/12

NBL

Sydney

80-101

101

-21

A25/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

99-86

+13

A01/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

92-85

A07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

77-65

+12

A12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

101-91

101

+10

A14/01

NBL

28-23

22-18

21-22

33-25

21-24

24-15

20-22

24-29

21-14

26-22

22-19

23-21

24-19

22-18

18-25

24-15

26-21

21-18

15-15

22-27

17-29

23-17

15-22

25-33

22-20

21-23

29-21

27-22

17-20

27-24

27-19

21-22

18-13

25-17

13-17

21-18

34-20

20-17

22-28

25-26

174.6Avg total

90.6Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	86.0	86.0	172.0	+0.0	52%
Season at home (13)	86.9	84.5	171.5	+2.4	54%
Season away (12)	85.0	87.6	172.6	-2.6	50%
Last 10 (10)	90.6	84.0	174.6	+6.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	85.6	175.4	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	79.6	88.2	167.8	-8.6	40%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.9	83.9	167.8	+0.1	43%
vs Weaker (11)	86.3	83.3	169.5	+3.0	64%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideMelbourne United

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	22.6	44.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.1	45.5	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	24.0	42.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.3	20.4	40.7	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.5	25.1	46.5	-3.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	24.6	19.4	44.0	+5.1	86%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	21.4	44.1	+1.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.3	43.1	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.5	20.2	42.6	+2.3	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	22.6	44.8	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	23.5	45.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	23.9	46.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	26.4	49.6	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.2	23.3	43.5	-3.1	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	23.4	23.5	46.8	-0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.7	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	19.9	40.4	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.9	42.0	+4.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	19.6	42.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.4	64%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

54-35

+19

H17/12

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

41-44

-3

H19/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

49-47

H24/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-51

H29/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

40-41

-1

A31/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

50-47

H06/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-45

-7

H08/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

36-46

-10

A12/01

NBL

Perth

46-67

-21

A14/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-47

-9

A19/01

NBL

91.6Avg total

44.6Scored

47.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	45.3	89.3	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	45.3	88.9	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.3	45.3	89.6	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	47.0	91.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	50.4	92.0	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	40.5	43.7	84.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.8	48.5	93.4	-3.7	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	47.4	41.6	89.0	+5.9	86%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

50-41

H10/12

NBL

Perth

45-39

A12/12

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-36

+11

H15/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

#10

46-37

H18/12

NBL

Cairns Taipans

47-39

H23/12

NBL

Sydney

40-46

-6

A25/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-43

A01/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

44-44

A07/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-30

+13

A12/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

54-37

+17

A14/01

NBL

85.1Avg total

45.9Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.2	83.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	42.1	86.0	+1.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.4	40.3	80.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	39.2	85.1	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	40.0	84.8	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	43.0	81.0	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.2	42.1	85.3	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.0	39.4	82.4	+3.6	55%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.0	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	19.8	41.9	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	25.0	49.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	20.1	20.9	41.0	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	77%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	19.8	39.8	+0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	23.1	42.2	-3.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	21.8	46.1	+2.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	22.9	45.2	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	20.9	44.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.0	20.9	41.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.9	25.2	48.1	-2.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (7)	26.9	19.4	46.3	+7.4	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.8	48.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.4	21.4	42.7	+0.0	45%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	42.7	86.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	42.6	86.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.4	42.7	87.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	42.8	90.3	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	45.8	95.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.0	45.1	89.1	-1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (7)	48.0	39.4	87.4	+8.6	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	42.3	83.0	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.8	80.6	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	45.3	85.8	-4.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	44.8	89.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	45.6	90.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.0	43.4	82.4	-4.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.7	41.8	82.5	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.4	42.5	83.9	-1.2	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

Melbourne United wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	86-91
20/03/22	Melbourne United v Adelaide	101-74
30/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	88-83 OT
22/01/22	Adelaide v Melbourne United	78-97
06/06/21	Melbourne United v Adelaide	102-80
24/04/21	Melbourne United v Adelaide	92-78
25/02/21	Adelaide v Melbourne United	73-82
15/01/21	Adelaide v Melbourne United	65-89
11/01/20	Adelaide v Melbourne United	100-86
07/12/19	Melbourne United v Adelaide	112-90

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/23	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-106 OT
14/01/23	A	Perth	97-112
12/01/23	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	82-98
08/01/23	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-85
06/01/23	H	Illawarra Hawks	103-95
31/12/22	A	Cairns Taipans	83-86
29/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	87-84
24/12/22	H	South East Melbourne	94-88
19/12/22	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	93-82
17/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	108-77

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/23	A	Brisbane Bullets	101-91
12/01/23	A	New Zealand Breakers	77-65
07/01/23	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	92-85
01/01/23	A	Brisbane Bullets	99-86
25/12/22	A	Sydney	80-101
23/12/22	H	Cairns Taipans	84-81
18/12/22	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-77
15/12/22	H	South East Melbourne	92-76
12/12/22	A	Perth	89-90
10/12/22	H	Brisbane Bullets	104-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	46%
Home	WWWWL	58%
Away	LLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	58%	33%
Points / game	89.1	88.1	90.1
Allowed / game	91.0	87.8	94.1
Point differential	-1.9	+0.2	-4.0
Avg total	180.0	175.9	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	25%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

Melbourne United

NBL 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	52%
Home	LWWWW	54%
Away	LWWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	52%	54%	50%
Points / game	86.0	86.9	85.0
Allowed / game	86.0	84.5	87.6
Point differential	+0.0	+2.4	-2.6
Avg total	172.0	171.5	172.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	38%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	40% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	8%	8%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	23	17	6	74%	95.5	86.1	+9.4
2	Cairns Taipans	24	16	8	67%	87.5	84.8	+2.8
3	New Zealand Breakers	23	13	10	57%	86.1	80.7	+5.3
4	Perth	23	13	10	57%	92.3	91.3	+1.0
5	Tasmania JackJumpers	25	14	11	56%	84.8	82.3	+2.5
6	South East Melbourne	25	13	12	52%	90.0	89.2	+0.8
7	Melbourne United	25	13	12	52%	86.0	86.0	+0.0
8	Adelaide	24	11	13	46%	89.1	91.0	-1.9
9	Brisbane Bullets	25	8	17	32%	85.3	93.1	-7.8
10	Illawarra Hawks	25	3	22	12%	81.2	92.0	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	21	19	24	23	87
Melbourne United	28	11	31	24	94

← all games of the day

Adelaide vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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