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Perth vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 110-103
22-24 30-17 24-32 34-30
Position#3
Record14-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game95.0
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#6
Record10-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game96.7
AustraliaNBLRound 17· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Adelaide
28 Jan 2027
PERT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2026
PERT98
ADEL97
20 Feb 2026
PERT86
ADEL74
07 Dec 2025
PERT94
ADEL95
07 Feb 2025
PERT112
ADEL104
17 Jan 2025
PERT110
ADEL103
04 Nov 2023
PERT99
ADEL88
06 Oct 2023
PERT82
ADEL75
14 Jan 2023
PERT112
ADEL97
24 Nov 2022
PERT82
ADEL96
14 Apr 2022
PERT70
ADEL82
03 Dec 2021
PERT85
ADEL73
22 Mar 2021
PERT92
ADEL82
14 Mar 2021
PERT97
ADEL88
15 Feb 2020
PERT94
ADEL79
01 Dec 2019
PERT88
ADEL99
15 Feb 2019
PERT93
ADEL85
25 Jan 2019
PERT100
ADEL81
09 Mar 2018
PERT88
ADEL89
02 Feb 2018
PERT111
ADEL90
08 Dec 2017
PERT88
ADEL79
14 Jan 2017
PERT84
ADEL95
05 Nov 2016
PERT106
ADEL103
14 Feb 2016
PERT100
ADEL84
04 Dec 2015
PERT90
ADEL72
16 Jan 2015
PERT102
ADEL106
14 Dec 2014
PERT97
ADEL76
13 Apr 2014
PERT93
ADEL59
07 Apr 2014
PERT92
ADEL85
14 Feb 2014
PERT85
ADEL61
11 Oct 2013
PERT83
ADEL80
08 Feb 2013
PERT73
ADEL67
16 Nov 2012
PERT65
ADEL69
04 Dec 2011
PERT84
ADEL96
28 Oct 2011
PERT92
ADEL100
20 Feb 2011
PERT82
ADEL62
29 Jan 2011
PERT65
ADEL66
19 Dec 2009
PERT70
ADEL82
17 Oct 2009
PERT110
ADEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
117-89
117
89
+28
118avg 88
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
114avg 88
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
100avg 88
H06/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
115-105
115
105
+10
110avg 88
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
128-92
128
92
+36
122avg 88
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 88
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 88
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 88
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 88
A15/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
32-22
28-13
26-30
42-24
27-24
24-37
30-27
30-29
23-26
38-33
20-33
29-32
25-28
25-22
36-23
22-28
32-29
39-18
35-17
28-37
20-26
15-26
25-31
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
208.6Avg total
111.1Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)98.695.0193.6+3.761%
Season at home (10)99.796.0195.7+3.770%
Season away (13)97.894.2191.9+3.654%
Last 10 (10)111.197.5208.6+13.680%
Last 5 (5)103.491.2194.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar (13)86.794.1180.8-7.431%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)103.990.6194.6+13.379%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 82
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-115
105
115
-10
98avg 82
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
111-94
111
94
+17
108avg 82
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
86-106
86
106
-20
74avg 82
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
90-111
90
111
-21
76avg 82
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
92-116
92
116
-24
74avg 82
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 82
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 82
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
99avg 82
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 82
H13/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-34
23-19
17-22
19-27
32-29
28-25
22-25
23-36
22-22
36-27
20-27
33-18
22-26
16-30
33-27
15-23
23-24
25-27
22-27
20-33
26-26
16-29
21-23
29-38
32-12
30-31
28-25
21-28
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
22-30
31-11
21-24
21-30
33-25
30-18
12-19
16-26
198.5Avg total
97.2Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)92.996.7189.6-3.945%
Season at home (13)92.891.6184.5+1.262%
Season away (9)92.9104.1197.0-11.222%
Last 10 (10)97.2101.3198.5-4.140%
Last 5 (5)99.497.0196.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)92.295.1187.2-2.956%
vs Similar (11)89.894.8184.6-5.036%
vs Weaker (3)102.093.0195.0+9.067%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -5.8-5.8
PerthAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
53-55
53
55
-2
H06/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A08/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
107.9Avg total
58.0Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.448.699.0+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.949.6100.4+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)50.047.897.8+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)58.049.9107.9+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)57.446.6104.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (13)46.549.295.6-2.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)53.246.399.5+6.957%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A06/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H08/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H24/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H28/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/01
NBL
101.3Avg total
52.6Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.947.696.5+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.044.692.6+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)49.951.1100.9-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)52.648.7101.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.044.899.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)49.247.696.8+1.750%-
vs Similar (11)46.646.493.0+0.345%-
vs Weaker (3)55.052.3107.3+2.733%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.1
58.2%
52.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.514.0
43.1%
35.1%42.0
🏀 Free throws24.219.5
80.6%
74.7%19.5
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 96.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.324.3
53.6%
52.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.8
39.0%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.918.8
75.5%
74.7%18.8
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWWLWWLWW
Adelaide
WLWWLLLWLL
#3
League position
#6
+15.3
Net rating
-4.3
131.4
Offensive rating
117.6
116.0
Defensive rating
121.8
61.0%
Effective FG%
55.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.4%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
43.1%
3-point %
39.0%
57.2%
Assist %
52.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence131.4 · 117.6Defence116.0 · 121.8Shooting61.0% · 55.4%3-point %43.1% · 39.0%Ball care13.2% · 12.4%Off. rebounds32.6% · 23.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Adelaide v Perth92-116
08/12/24Adelaide v Perth105-115
28/12/23Adelaide v Perth82-100
04/11/23Perth v Adelaide99-88
21/10/23Adelaide v Perth89-78
06/10/23Perth v Adelaide82-75
14/01/23Perth v Adelaide112-97
09/12/22Adelaide v Perth90-98
24/11/22Perth v Adelaide82-96
05/11/22Adelaide v Perth89-94
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
22/12/24AIllawarra Hawks88-120
14/12/24ACairns Taipans128-92
08/12/24AAdelaide115-105
06/12/24HIllawarra Hawks111-121
01/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers123-112
29/11/24HBrisbane Bullets117-89
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25HIllawarra Hawks91-88
10/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-104 OT
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81
30/12/24ASydney111-96
28/12/24HPerth92-116
24/12/24HBrisbane Bullets90-111
21/12/24ASouth East Melbourne86-106
14/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers111-94
08/12/24HPerth105-115
06/12/24ABrisbane Bullets83-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %61%70%54%
Points / game98.699.797.8
Allowed / game95.096.094.2
Point differential+3.7+3.7+3.6
Avg total193.6195.7191.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%30%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %45%62%22%
Points / game92.992.892.9
Allowed / game96.791.6104.1
Point differential-3.9+1.2-11.2
Avg total189.6184.5197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2315865%100.792.5+8.2
2 Melbourne United2415962%94.490.4+4.0
3 Perth2314961%98.695.0+3.7
4 Sydney24141058%90.586.8+3.6
5 South East Melbourne23131057%94.890.5+4.3
6 Tasmania JackJumpers24121250%84.186.2-2.2
7 Adelaide22101245%92.996.7-3.9
8 Brisbane Bullets24101442%92.996.9-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers2491538%85.490.5-5.1
10 Cairns Taipans2351822%86.394.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth22302434110
Adelaide24173230103
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