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Perth vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 112-104
20-27 29-29 32-22 31-26
Position#3
Record17-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game96.7
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#6
Record13-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBLRound 20· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Adelaide
28 Jan 2027
PERT v ADEL
upcoming
24 Sep 2026
PERT98
ADEL97
20 Feb 2026
PERT86
ADEL74
07 Dec 2025
PERT94
ADEL95
07 Feb 2025
PERT112
ADEL104
17 Jan 2025
PERT110
ADEL103
04 Nov 2023
PERT99
ADEL88
06 Oct 2023
PERT82
ADEL75
14 Jan 2023
PERT112
ADEL97
24 Nov 2022
PERT82
ADEL96
14 Apr 2022
PERT70
ADEL82
03 Dec 2021
PERT85
ADEL73
22 Mar 2021
PERT92
ADEL82
14 Mar 2021
PERT97
ADEL88
15 Feb 2020
PERT94
ADEL79
01 Dec 2019
PERT88
ADEL99
15 Feb 2019
PERT93
ADEL85
25 Jan 2019
PERT100
ADEL81
09 Mar 2018
PERT88
ADEL89
02 Feb 2018
PERT111
ADEL90
08 Dec 2017
PERT88
ADEL79
14 Jan 2017
PERT84
ADEL95
05 Nov 2016
PERT106
ADEL103
14 Feb 2016
PERT100
ADEL84
04 Dec 2015
PERT90
ADEL72
16 Jan 2015
PERT102
ADEL106
14 Dec 2014
PERT97
ADEL76
13 Apr 2014
PERT93
ADEL59
07 Apr 2014
PERT92
ADEL85
14 Feb 2014
PERT85
ADEL61
11 Oct 2013
PERT83
ADEL80
08 Feb 2013
PERT73
ADEL67
16 Nov 2012
PERT65
ADEL69
04 Dec 2011
PERT84
ADEL96
28 Oct 2011
PERT92
ADEL100
20 Feb 2011
PERT82
ADEL62
29 Jan 2011
PERT65
ADEL66
19 Dec 2009
PERT70
ADEL82
17 Oct 2009
PERT110
ADEL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 88
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
116-92
116
92
+24
116avg 88
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
83avg 88
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
105-73
105
73
+32
106avg 88
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
112-85
112
85
+27
98avg 88
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
110-103
110
103
+7
101avg 88
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 88
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 88
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 88
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
87avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-37
20-26
15-26
25-31
26-26
29-16
23-21
38-29
30-24
25-20
19-28
22-14
29-22
35-20
28-18
13-13
27-27
38-15
20-24
27-19
22-24
30-17
24-32
34-30
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
32-21
24-27
29-26
19-23
201.9Avg total
104.0Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)99.796.7196.4+3.061%
Season at home (14)101.199.0200.1+2.164%
Season away (14)98.294.4192.6+3.957%
Last 10 (10)104.097.9201.9+6.170%
Last 5 (5)104.6104.6209.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar (12)91.196.2187.2-5.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)104.393.9198.2+10.373%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
106avg 84
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
100-81
100
81
+19
92avg 84
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
99avg 84
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 84
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
103-110
103
110
-7
98avg 84
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-75
99
75
+24
95avg 84
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
105-96
105
96
+9
94avg 84
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
92avg 84
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 84
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
88avg 84
A02/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-12
30-31
28-25
21-28
27-17
28-25
22-20
23-19
22-30
31-11
21-24
21-30
33-25
30-18
12-19
16-26
24-22
17-30
32-24
30-34
38-12
22-25
22-21
17-17
34-23
18-32
26-18
27-23
27-15
30-20
22-23
15-20
21-22
24-20
18-26
26-24
23-30
20-31
34-18
22-26
191.9Avg total
99.4Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)94.095.9189.9-1.946%
Season at home (15)92.790.7183.4+1.960%
Season away (13)95.5101.8197.3-6.231%
Last 10 (10)99.492.5191.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)97.289.2186.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)94.896.8191.5-2.053%
vs Similar (10)88.694.2182.8-5.630%
vs Weaker (3)98.389.7188.0+8.767%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
PerthAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A22/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A05/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
65-42
65
42
+23
A15/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H17/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A02/02
NBL
100.7Avg total
53.4Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.248.399.5+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.749.3100.1+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)51.647.398.9+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)53.447.3100.7+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)49.448.097.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (12)48.849.297.9-0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)52.545.998.3+6.660%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#4
W
62-43
62
43
+19
A30/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H13/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
60-37
60
37
+23
A19/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H26/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H31/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBL
98.2Avg total
53.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.848.196.8+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.844.493.2+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)48.852.2101.0-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)53.145.198.2+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)51.446.097.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)49.548.998.4+0.647%-
vs Similar (10)46.445.792.1+0.740%-
vs Weaker (3)52.351.3103.7+1.033%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 103.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.8
53.0%
52.3%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.5
35.2%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws26.020.9
80.4%
74.7%20.9
They take 77.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.226.3
56.9%
52.3%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.2
36.5%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.518.4
81.8%
74.7%18.4
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWLLWWWWWL
Adelaide
LLWWWLWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+6.8
Net rating
+8.1
123.1
Offensive rating
119.1
116.3
Defensive rating
111.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
11.5%
Turnover %
11.0%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
19.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.2%
3-point %
36.5%
54.1%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 119.1Defence116.3 · 111.0Shooting52.9% · 56.2%3-point %35.2% · 36.5%Ball care11.5% · 11.0%Off. rebounds35.2% · 19.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Perth v Adelaide110-103
28/12/24Adelaide v Perth92-116
08/12/24Adelaide v Perth105-115
28/12/23Adelaide v Perth82-100
04/11/23Perth v Adelaide99-88
21/10/23Adelaide v Perth89-78
06/10/23Perth v Adelaide82-75
14/01/23Perth v Adelaide112-97
09/12/22Adelaide v Perth90-98
24/11/22Perth v Adelaide82-96
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASydney104-97
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99
17/01/25HAdelaide110-103
15/01/25ABrisbane Bullets112-85
12/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers105-73
05/01/25ANew Zealand Breakers96-86
28/12/24AAdelaide116-92
22/12/24AIllawarra Hawks88-120
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASouth East Melbourne99-105
31/01/25HBrisbane Bullets89-92
26/01/25HNew Zealand Breakers94-78
24/01/25ASydney105-96
19/01/25ACairns Taipans99-75
17/01/25APerth103-110
13/01/25HIllawarra Hawks91-88
10/01/25ATasmania JackJumpers103-104 OT
04/01/25HMelbourne United100-81
30/12/24ASydney111-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game99.7101.198.2
Allowed / game96.799.094.4
Point differential+3.0+2.1+3.9
Avg total196.4200.1192.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%21%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL46%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%60%31%
Points / game94.092.795.5
Allowed / game95.990.7101.8
Point differential-1.9+1.9-6.2
Avg total189.9183.4197.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2920969%101.491.2+10.2
2 Melbourne United28181064%95.391.4+3.9
3 Perth28171161%99.796.7+3.0
4 South East Melbourne28161257%96.291.2+5.0
5 Sydney29161355%90.788.2+2.5
6 Adelaide28131546%94.095.9-1.9
7 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%83.888.2-4.5
8 Brisbane Bullets29121741%92.397.9-5.5
9 New Zealand Breakers29101934%85.791.4-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2882029%88.595.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth20293231112
Adelaide27292226104
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