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Melbourne United vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 89-78
14-14 29-14 23-17 23-33
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game89.2
AustraliaNBLRound 3· John Cain Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Melbourne United v Brisbane Bullets
06 Dec 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
07 Nov 2026
MELB v BRIS
upcoming
21 Jan 2026
MELB98
BRIS66
15 Nov 2025
MELB99
BRIS93
08 Dec 2024
MELB114
BRIS122
10 Dec 2023
MELB103
BRIS68
15 Oct 2023
MELB89
BRIS78
10 Dec 2022
MELB104
BRIS88
16 Apr 2022
MELB88
BRIS79
05 Mar 2022
MELB95
BRIS83
12 Apr 2021
MELB98
BRIS89
07 Mar 2021
MELB88
BRIS96
29 Dec 2019
MELB96
BRIS102
24 Nov 2019
MELB108
BRIS94
10 Dec 2018
MELB74
BRIS90
18 Nov 2018
MELB102
BRIS94
03 Feb 2018
MELB69
BRIS61
26 Dec 2017
MELB69
BRIS68
26 Dec 2016
MELB97
BRIS59
20 Oct 2016
MELB78
BRIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
116-107
116
107
+9
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
82-67
82
67
+15
71avg 73
H28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 73
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 73
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 73
A13/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
27-24
27-19
21-22
18-13
25-17
13-17
21-18
34-20
20-17
22-28
25-26
28-21
11-19
31-24
24-23
19-10
15-21
22-27
18-22
27-27
29-30
31-23
29-27
29-24
16-9
19-17
18-17
25-19
16-24
16-14
25-17
18-16
18-19
25-18
14-27
22-17
17-18
21-17
28-29
169.8Avg total
88.1Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.875.5157.2+6.275%
Season at home (2)78.573.5152.0+5.050%
Season away (2)85.077.5162.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.181.7169.8+6.480%
Last 5 (5)88.681.8170.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.083.2158.2-8.225%
vs Similar (18)86.084.9170.9+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.684.5177.1+8.188%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-86
103
86
+17
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
no box
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
86-71
86
71
+15
72avg 81
H29/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
82avg 81
A05/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
75avg 81
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
102-113
102
113
-11
95avg 81
H13/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
30-17
13-22
23-16
27-20
20-18
26-32
18-21
24-20
26-28
23-19
30-19
20-22
20-33
14-19
17-25
27-21
23-30
18-19
19-24
18-16
24-20
12-18
17-17
18-28
23-12
24-13
21-18
26-22
22-22
23-23
18-17
18-26
20-17
18-27
30-19
25-29
17-27
25-29
35-28
178.5Avg total
88.9Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.889.2180.0+1.550%
Season at home (3)91.391.0182.3+0.333%
Season away (1)89.084.0173.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.989.6178.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.687.4175.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.796.8181.5-12.121%
vs Similar (6)88.774.5163.2+14.283%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Melbourne UnitedBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A13/10
NBL
81.6Avg total
43.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.941.787.6+4.271%-
Last 30 away (16)40.440.180.6+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.581.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.684.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.036.875.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (18)43.142.085.1+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.940.485.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A16/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A28/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H13/10
NBL
89.8Avg total
44.6Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.545.989.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.989.5-4.429%-
Last 30 away (13)44.844.589.2+0.354%-
Last 10 (10)44.645.289.8-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.886.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)43.047.690.6-4.529%-
vs Similar (6)45.539.084.5+6.583%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.0
44.2%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.810.0
29.6%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.6%
73.8%14.8
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.824.8
50.8%
50.9%49.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.7%
33.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.3%
73.8%18.2
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWLWWWW
Brisbane Bullets
LLWWLLLWWW
#1
League position
#6
+8.0
Net rating
+3.0
103.7
Offensive rating
107.8
95.7
Defensive rating
104.9
44.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
39.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.6%
3-point %
29.7%
58.0%
Assist %
51.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 107.8Defence95.7 · 104.9Shooting44.3% · 48.6%3-point %29.6% · 29.7%Ball care12.5% · 15.4%Off. rebounds31.6% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23APerth88-81
08/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers75-80
01/10/23AAdelaide82-74
28/09/23HSouth East Melbourne82-67
05/02/23HAdelaide116-107
28/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers74-80
21/01/23AAdelaide94-87
14/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-91
12/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers77-65
07/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers92-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HSydney102-113
07/10/23HCairns Taipans86-89
05/10/23ANew Zealand Breakers89-84
29/09/23HAdelaide86-71
04/02/23HNew Zealand Breakers75-80 OT
28/01/23ACairns Taipans87-94
26/01/23HNew Zealand Breakers71-99
21/01/23AIllawarra Hawks103-86
19/01/23HAdelaide106-101 OT
16/01/23ASouth East Melbourne84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game81.878.585.0
Allowed / game75.573.577.5
Point differential+6.2+5.0+7.5
Avg total157.2152.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game90.891.389.0
Allowed / game89.291.084.0
Point differential+1.5+0.3+5.0
Avg total180.0182.3173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney43175%97.590.8+6.8
2 Melbourne United43175%81.875.5+6.2
3 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%88.681.4+7.2
5 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
6 Brisbane Bullets42250%90.889.2+1.5
7 Perth42250%90.892.0-1.2
8 South East Melbourne52340%89.893.2-3.4
9 Illawarra Hawks41325%86.898.5-11.8
10 Adelaide51420%81.887.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United1429232389
Brisbane Bullets1414173378
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