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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 81-88
17-22 18-17 17-21 29-28
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game93.3
vs
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game73.7
AustraliaNBLRound 3· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
L
91-112
91
112
-21
no box
A22/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
106-86
106
86
+20
no box
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
W
106-99
106
99
+7
no box
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 84
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
87avg 84
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 84
H06/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
33-34
21-22
15-29
25-25
25-30
34-23
22-8
21-32
33-25
25-18
15-27
16-30
21-19
19-15
15-20
16-21
24-15
29-21
27-27
18-22
29-29
18-25
41-23
19-25
24-27
16-19
19-20
25-26
25-19
27-21
24-29
28-24
21-22
12-38
38-26
28-17
16-14
20-29
18-15
186.2Avg total
92.4Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.093.3187.3+0.767%
Season at home (2)91.585.0176.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)99.0110.0209.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)92.493.8186.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)93.294.0187.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (18)90.193.3183.4-3.244%
vs Weaker (6)97.095.2192.2+1.850%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
no box
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-65
77
65
+12
no box
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
no box
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
W
116-107
116
107
+9
no box
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
82-67
82
67
+15
71avg 70
H28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
70avg 70
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 70
H08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
21-23
29-21
27-22
17-20
27-24
27-19
21-22
18-13
25-17
13-17
21-18
34-20
20-17
22-28
25-26
28-21
11-19
31-24
24-23
19-10
15-21
22-27
18-22
27-27
29-30
31-23
29-27
29-24
16-9
19-17
18-17
25-19
16-24
16-14
25-17
18-16
18-19
25-18
14-27
171.4Avg total
89.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.773.7153.3+6.067%
Season at home (2)78.573.5152.0+5.050%
Season away (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.282.2171.4+7.080%
Last 5 (5)85.881.6167.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.284.8159.0-10.620%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.985.2171.1+0.747%
vs Weaker (8)92.684.5177.1+8.188%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#7
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A22/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H03/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/10
NBL
95.2Avg total
46.9Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.846.693.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.643.388.9+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.849.497.2-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)46.948.395.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.091.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)46.747.694.2-0.939%-
vs Weaker (6)49.344.093.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A07/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A12/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#9
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A14/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#8
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H05/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/10
NBL
82.8Avg total
43.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.442.787.1+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.581.0+0.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.382.8+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.876.6-5.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.342.485.7+0.953%-
vs Weaker (8)44.940.485.2+4.550%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.024.3
60.8%
50.9%48.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.0
32.6%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.714.7
74.6%
73.8%14.7
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.018.0
41.9%
50.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.0
29.7%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.0%
73.8%13.0
They take 76.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLWLWWLLWL
Melbourne United
LWWWLWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+0.8
Net rating
+8.7
114.0
Offensive rating
102.9
113.2
Defensive rating
94.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
43.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
39.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
11.7%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.6%
3-point %
29.7%
50.5%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 102.9Defence113.2 · 94.2Shooting55.7% · 43.0%3-point %32.6% · 29.7%Ball care15.8% · 11.7%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth wins
8
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/23HAdelaide82-75
01/10/23ASouth East Melbourne99-110
29/09/23HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
12/02/23ACairns Taipans78-91
09/02/23ASouth East Melbourne106-99
05/02/23HSydney96-84
03/02/23HCairns Taipans71-84
29/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers94-102
27/01/23HIllawarra Hawks106-86
22/01/23ASouth East Melbourne91-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers75-80
01/10/23AAdelaide82-74
28/09/23HSouth East Melbourne82-67
05/02/23HAdelaide116-107
28/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers74-80
21/01/23AAdelaide94-87
14/01/23ABrisbane Bullets101-91
12/01/23ANew Zealand Breakers77-65
07/01/23ATasmania JackJumpers92-85
01/01/23ABrisbane Bullets99-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game94.091.599.0
Allowed / game93.385.0110.0
Point differential+0.7+6.5-11.0
Avg total187.3176.5209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game79.778.582.0
Allowed / game73.773.574.0
Point differential+6.0+5.0+8.0
Avg total153.3152.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers43175%89.580.2+9.2
2 Sydney43175%97.590.8+6.8
3 Melbourne United32167%79.773.7+6.0
4 Perth32167%94.093.3+0.7
5 Cairns Taipans32167%87.788.0-0.3
6 New Zealand Breakers21150%91.088.0+3.0
7 Brisbane Bullets42250%90.889.2+1.5
8 Illawarra Hawks31233%89.0101.7-12.7
9 South East Melbourne41325%90.895.2-4.5
10 Adelaide4040%80.089.8-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1718172981
Melbourne United2217212888
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