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Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 79-108
25-26 17-18 21-32 16-32
Position#5
Record9-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record7-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.5
AustraliaNBLRound 12· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 91
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
84-85
84
85
-1
67avg 91
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
95-84
95
84
+11
88avg 91
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
87avg 91
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
91avg 91
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
79avg 91
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 91
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 91
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 91
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 91
H07/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
19-23
15-18
24-11
26-33
16-28
21-13
35-27
23-16
24-21
22-25
26-29
17-19
17-18
27-27
28-31
22-11
22-14
21-24
21-22
24-15
32-28
25-24
24-19
20-24
22-24
25-27
26-23
14-24
33-20
23-22
20-15
20-27
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
181.3Avg total
93.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.887.1176.8+2.756%
Season at home (8)90.087.9177.9+2.150%
Season away (8)89.586.2175.8+3.262%
Last 10 (10)93.887.5181.3+6.360%
Last 5 (5)93.289.4182.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
vs Similar (12)98.397.1195.4+1.250%
vs Weaker (17)98.388.8187.1+9.576%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 83
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 83
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 83
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 83
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 83
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 83
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 83
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 83
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 83
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 83
A03/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
13-21
18-19
20-17
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
178.0Avg total
90.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)91.086.5177.5+4.550%
Season at home (6)87.782.2169.8+5.550%
Season away (8)93.589.8183.2+3.850%
Last 10 (10)90.787.3178.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)88.686.8175.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5103.0194.5-11.50%
vs Similar (5)99.297.6196.8+1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.687.8179.4+3.857%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/11
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H15/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
91.2Avg total
47.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.446.796.0+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.347.795.0-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)51.445.797.1+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)47.443.891.2+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.644.695.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.050.095.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (12)50.549.7100.2+0.842%-
vs Weaker (17)48.844.493.2+4.565%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A15/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
94.2Avg total
47.5Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.148.495.6-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.148.995.0-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)48.347.996.2+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)47.546.794.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.493.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.0102.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (5)49.456.6106.0-7.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.546.292.7+0.361%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.423.1
52.0%
54.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws26.719.8
74.2%
74.8%19.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.1
48.9%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.4
33.2%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.416.9
72.2%
74.8%16.9
They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWWWLWLW
Sydney
LLWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#1
+8.2
Net rating
+3.2
117.9
Offensive rating
111.6
109.7
Defensive rating
108.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
49.3%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.4%
3-point %
33.2%
55.8%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 111.6Defence109.7 · 108.3Shooting53.0% · 49.3%3-point %36.4% · 33.2%Ball care14.1% · 12.3%Off. rebounds34.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Sydney v Perth94-72
02/02/25Sydney v Perth97-104
25/10/24Perth v Sydney87-84
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
04/12/25HMelbourne United96-84
23/11/25AMelbourne United87-98
21/11/25HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
15/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers88-75
09/11/25AAdelaide94-87
02/11/25ASouth East Melbourne89-94
29/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers95-84
25/10/25HIllawarra Hawks84-85
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72
15/10/25ATasmania JackJumpers70-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game89.890.089.5
Allowed / game87.187.986.2
Point differential+2.7+2.1+3.2
Avg total176.8177.9175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.087.793.5
Allowed / game86.582.289.8
Point differential+4.5+5.5+3.8
Avg total177.5169.8183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1714382%93.286.3+6.9
2 Melbourne United1813572%96.489.4+7.0
3 South East Melbourne1610662%97.289.8+7.4
4 Perth169756%89.887.1+2.7
5 Sydney147750%91.086.5+4.5
6 New Zealand Breakers1771041%89.388.1+1.2
7 Tasmania JackJumpers1771041%85.987.2-1.3
8 Illawarra Hawks1661038%90.296.9-6.7
9 Brisbane Bullets1751229%87.196.0-8.9
10 Cairns Taipans1641225%82.195.2-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2517211679
Sydney26183232108
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