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Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 75-89
23-22 23-21 13-17 16-29
Position#5
Record22-14
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.4
Allowed / game87.0
Perth
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record25-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.4
Allowed / game87.7
AustraliaNBLNBL - Semi-finals· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 83
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 83
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 83
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
45avg 83
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 83
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
65avg 83
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 83
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
93avg 83
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
94avg 83
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 83
A11/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
16-26
12-12
21-24
24-32
25-19
26-26
26-16
25-30
23-24
32-20
26-25
22-22
28-18
18-19
30-25
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
182.9Avg total
93.5Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)91.487.0178.4+4.361%
Season at home (18)90.084.5174.5+5.561%
Season away (18)92.789.6182.3+3.261%
Last 10 (10)93.589.4182.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)92.693.8186.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)89.0105.0194.0-16.00%
vs Similar (13)90.588.9179.4+1.546%
vs Weaker (14)96.381.7178.0+14.693%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H15/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
105-94
105
94
+11
98avg 92
H22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-101
106
101
+5
102avg 92
H25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
122-104
122
104
+18
124avg 92
H29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-92
106
92
+14
92avg 92
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
114-88
114
88
+26
114avg 92
A08/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
120-94
120
94
+26
123avg 92
A13/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
102-84
102
84
+18
98avg 92
H15/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
117-77
117
77
+40
118avg 92
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
105-104
105
104
+1
95avg 92
H11/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
23-18
23-17
20-22
26-14
26-22
31-28
22-30
22-20
37-26
25-24
22-31
28-22
35-23
28-29
31-30
17-34
28-20
26-22
35-16
33-29
22-25
30-23
29-11
34-19
24-27
26-23
36-25
28-29
27-16
24-19
23-20
26-33
32-17
32-10
27-17
22-24
26-20
25-31
32-29
201.0Avg total
109.2Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)99.487.7187.2+11.774%
Season at home (18)99.789.0188.7+10.778%
Season away (16)99.286.3185.5+12.969%
Last 10 (10)109.291.8201.0+17.4100%
Last 5 (5)111.689.4201.0+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)100.588.2188.6+12.377%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +6.6+6.6Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +4.6+4.6
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
94.0Avg total
46.6Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.944.191.0+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.841.187.9+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)47.147.194.2-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)46.647.494.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.650.896.4-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.749.092.7-5.30%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.192.6+2.554%-
vs Weaker (14)47.142.189.2+4.971%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H15/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H22/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H25/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H29/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A01/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A08/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A13/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H15/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H11/03
NBL
100.6Avg total
54.5Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.045.096.0+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.544.598.0+8.987%-
Last 30 away (15)48.545.594.0+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)54.546.1100.6+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)54.847.8102.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)51.045.096.0+5.977%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.1
55.8%
54.6%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.6
33.0%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
74.8%16.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.427.3
62.9%
54.6%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.412.0
38.2%
33.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
74.8%17.9
They take 74.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWLWWWWL
Sydney
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+4.2
Net rating
+17.0
100.2
Offensive rating
114.6
96.0
Defensive rating
97.6
53.3%
Effective FG%
60.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
11.7%
Turnover %
9.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.0%
3-point %
38.2%
59.0%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 114.6Defence96.0 · 97.6Shooting53.3% · 60.6%3-point %33.0% · 38.2%Ball care11.7% · 9.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth wins
6
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Sydney v Perth105-104
15/02/26Sydney v Perth102-84
12/12/25Perth v Sydney79-108
19/10/25Sydney v Perth94-72
02/02/25Sydney v Perth97-104
25/10/24Perth v Sydney87-84
27/09/24Perth v Sydney87-88
21/01/24Sydney v Perth98-104
01/12/23Perth v Sydney114-105
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
06/02/26HCairns Taipans98-84
31/01/26AIllawarra Hawks106-99
28/01/26HSouth East Melbourne101-93
25/01/26HMelbourne United73-74
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HPerth105-104
20/02/26ABrisbane Bullets117-77
15/02/26HPerth102-84
13/02/26AIllawarra Hawks120-94
08/02/26ASouth East Melbourne114-88
01/02/26ACairns Taipans106-92
29/01/26HIllawarra Hawks122-104
25/01/26HAdelaide106-101
22/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers105-94
15/01/26HBrisbane Bullets95-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeWWWWW61%
AwayWWLLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %61%61%61%
Points / game91.490.092.7
Allowed / game87.084.589.6
Point differential+4.3+5.5+3.2
Avg total178.4174.5182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%39%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %74%78%69%
Points / game99.499.799.2
Allowed / game87.789.086.3
Point differential+11.7+10.7+12.9
Avg total187.2188.7185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%50%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney3425974%99.487.7+11.7
2 South East Melbourne36241267%100.993.1+7.8
3 Adelaide36241267%92.988.9+4.1
4 Perth36221461%91.487.0+4.3
5 Melbourne United35211460%91.487.7+3.8
6 Tasmania JackJumpers34142041%86.587.2-0.7
7 New Zealand Breakers34142041%92.193.1-0.9
8 Illawarra Hawks33132039%93.297.1-4.0
9 Cairns Taipans3392427%83.596.8-13.3
10 Brisbane Bullets3362718%82.196.8-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2323131675
Sydney2221172989
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