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Perth vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 114-105
23-26 27-31 33-26 31-22
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game87.9
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game91.7
AustraliaNBLRound 9· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v Sydney
22 Jan 2027
PERT v SYDN
upcoming
28 Oct 2026
PERT91
SYDN99
14 Mar 2026
PERT75
SYDN89
12 Dec 2025
PERT79
SYDN108
25 Oct 2024
PERT87
SYDN84
27 Sep 2024
PERT87
SYDN88
01 Dec 2023
PERT114
SYDN105
05 Feb 2023
PERT96
SYDN84
20 Jan 2023
PERT111
SYDN104
26 Mar 2022
PERT80
SYDN102
27 May 2021
PERT81
SYDN67
01 Apr 2021
PERT95
SYDN89
13 Mar 2020
PERT83
SYDN97
01 Feb 2020
PERT110
SYDN100
06 Dec 2019
PERT96
SYDN77
10 Feb 2019
PERT95
SYDN86
14 Dec 2018
PERT97
SYDN98
19 Jan 2018
PERT77
SYDN84
03 Nov 2017
PERT93
SYDN69
10 Feb 2017
PERT101
SYDN74
17 Nov 2016
PERT93
SYDN80
05 Feb 2016
PERT95
SYDN81
15 Jan 2016
PERT95
SYDN68
01 Feb 2015
PERT80
SYDN61
24 Oct 2014
PERT84
SYDN63
24 Nov 2013
PERT98
SYDN55
18 Oct 2013
PERT81
SYDN69
08 Mar 2013
PERT83
SYDN56
30 Nov 2012
PERT75
SYDN56
19 Feb 2012
PERT91
SYDN74
27 Nov 2011
PERT103
SYDN92
19 Dec 2010
PERT87
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 75
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
64avg 75
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
86-99
86
99
-13
69avg 75
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 75
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 75
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
81avg 75
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
no box
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
94-76
94
76
+18
84avg 75
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
77avg 75
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
70avg 75
A18/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
16-14
20-29
18-15
17-22
18-17
17-21
29-28
26-28
16-22
20-20
24-29
20-23
20-16
25-28
13-22
9-20
27-22
16-26
27-16
19-22
31-22
23-24
26-20
24-26
22-23
21-20
22-20
34-17
18-19
21-22
21-18
25-20
22-23
19-13
22-24
14-16
18-17
18-20
29-23
171.8Avg total
86.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.087.9176.9+1.158%
Season at home (7)89.183.7172.9+5.471%
Season away (5)88.893.8182.6-5.040%
Last 10 (10)86.885.0171.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)92.483.0175.4+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.592.9186.4+0.657%
vs Weaker (10)91.088.2179.2+2.860%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 90
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 90
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 90
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 90
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 90
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 90
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
101avg 90
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 90
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
104-95
104
95
+9
103avg 90
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 90
A19/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
28-26
22-16
20-20
29-24
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
20-17
32-25
32-18
19-23
27-21
28-23
17-23
15-18
20-26
25-25
31-20
28-24
22-21
31-17
19-27
21-40
188.3Avg total
95.5Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.591.7187.3+3.864%
Season at home (5)98.894.2193.0+4.680%
Season away (6)92.889.7182.5+3.250%
Last 10 (10)95.592.8188.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)93.491.0184.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)87.684.9172.5+2.754%
vs Weaker (17)99.090.9189.9+8.171%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
PerthSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H10/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H16/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A18/11
NBL
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.245.491.6+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.842.788.5+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)46.647.794.3-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.086.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.947.695.5+0.436%-
vs Weaker (10)44.941.886.7+3.160%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H05/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A19/11
NBL
95.8Avg total
49.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.545.893.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.547.596.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)46.443.990.3+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)49.546.395.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.294.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.843.987.7-0.246%-
vs Weaker (17)50.447.397.6+3.153%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.121.8
48.3%
50.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.08.6
28.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
73.8%16.7
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.9
55.3%
50.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.511.8
33.2%
33.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.5
73.5%
73.8%15.5
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWWWLLLLW
Sydney
LWWWLLWWWL
#3
League position
#7
+1.0
Net rating
+3.0
106.8
Offensive rating
114.1
105.8
Defensive rating
111.1
46.2%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
12.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.7%
3-point %
33.2%
51.6%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 114.1Defence105.8 · 111.1Shooting46.2% · 52.7%3-point %28.7% · 33.2%Ball care12.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 33.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Sydney v Perth99-86
05/02/23Perth v Sydney96-84
20/01/23Perth v Sydney111-104
07/01/23Sydney v Perth108-87
26/03/22Perth v Sydney80-102
19/02/22Sydney v Perth98-95
30/01/22Sydney v Perth96-81
27/05/21Perth v Sydney81-67
08/04/21Sydney v Perth69-73
01/04/21Perth v Sydney95-89
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23ABrisbane Bullets79-76
16/11/23HCairns Taipans88-80
10/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers94-76
06/11/23AMelbourne United102-95 OT
04/11/23HAdelaide99-88
27/10/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
21/10/23AAdelaide78-89
15/10/23ASydney86-99
13/10/23HMelbourne United81-88
06/10/23HAdelaide82-75
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23AMelbourne United93-105
12/11/23HBrisbane Bullets104-95
05/11/23HNew Zealand Breakers87-85
03/11/23AIllawarra Hawks103-83
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105
15/10/23HPerth99-86
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game89.089.188.8
Allowed / game87.983.793.8
Point differential+1.1+5.4-5.0
Avg total176.9172.9182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game95.598.892.8
Allowed / game91.794.289.7
Point differential+3.8+4.6+3.2
Avg total187.3193.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1210283%91.083.6+7.4
2 Sydney117464%95.591.7+3.8
3 Tasmania JackJumpers127558%89.085.2+3.8
4 Perth127558%89.087.9+1.1
5 South East Melbourne126650%92.491.5+0.9
6 Brisbane Bullets136746%87.488.4-1.0
7 New Zealand Breakers114736%87.789.0-1.3
8 Cairns Taipans114736%83.585.7-2.2
9 Adelaide124833%84.989.5-4.6
10 Illawarra Hawks103730%82.992.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth23273331114
Sydney26312622105
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